#257/258 ASA PLAY ON Over 50 Points – Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET
Bills total vs Miami closed 54 or 55 and we were on that Over. This week it’s just 51 when our numbers have it similar to last week’s closing total. The Bills are the constant here so comparing Miami with Baltimore, the Ravens offense leads NFL in scoring (33 ppg) and efficiency scoring 1 point for every 11.5 yards gained and YPP at 6.9. Those numbers are better than Miami’s offense. The Ravens defense ranks 31st in YPP allowed 6.7, last in pass defense at 353 YPG (next worst is 297 YPG allowed), AND they allowed 68 points last 2 weeks vs Miami & New England. After scoring 72 points in their first 2 games, the Bills had just 19 last week but gained 500 yards! Buffalo crossed into Miami territory on EACH of their last 6 offensive possessions and scored only 3 points. They had their chances to say the least. The Ravens have scored 75 points in their last 2 games vs decent defenses (Miami and New England) and they should have success vs a Buffalo defense that remains very banged up especially in the defensive backfield where 5 of their 9 top DB’s (CB’s and safeties) are out or questionable. Part of the reason this total is set lower than it should be is weather. The remnants of Hurricane Ian could be in the area with possible rain and 10 to 15 MPH winds. Something we’ll have to keep an eye on as we get closer to game time.
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