ASA FREE PLAY ON Louisville +17 over Notre Dame, Saturday at 2:40 PM ET
This line opened with the Irish favored by 14 and has been pushed all the way to -17. Not that we’re getting that extra value, we’re jumping on Louisville here. The Irish are 3-0 on the season but have yet to play a team with a pulse as the record of their opponents thus far is a measly 1-10 SU. We realize Louisville’s record isn’t good at this point but the fact is this will be the best team Notre Dame has played this year. Remember the Cardinals were 8-4 last year and won a bowl game vs Mississippi State and returned many of their key players this season. Turnovers have been the problem with Louisville currently at -8 TO ratio this season. Last week they had an embarrassing performance @ Georgia Tech losing big, however they actually outgained the Yellow Jackets but were -3 in turnovers. This is a desperate 0-3 team in ACC play that we think brings their best on Saturday. Just a few weeks ago Louisville played host to Miami FL and the Cards were +2.5 in that game. Now they are getting 17 POINTS from a Notre Dame team we have rated just 4 points higher that the Canes in our power ratings. This line is a huge overreaction to each team’s record at this point and we like Louisville to keep this game fairly close throughout.