Posted on

College Basketball free bet – Saturday, Jan 21st

#768 ASA PLAY ON West Virginia -1 over Texas, Saturday at 5 PM ET

We’ve faded Texas in each of their last 2 games with winning results.  This team is vastly overrated in our opinion and there is a reason the unranked West Virginia Mountaineers are favored over the Horns who currently preside in the top 10 in the AP rankings.  The Longhorns lost by 11 @ Iowa State earlier this week so they will be playing their 2nd straight road game.  The game prior to that, Texas had to come from 9 points down at half, at home vs Texas Tech to win by 2 points.  They are 4-2 in conference play and 3 of their 4 wins have come by 4 points or fewer.  The Horns simply aren’t playing that well right now despite their top 10 ranking.  Prior to their double digit loss to ISU earlier this week, they trailed Texas Tech by 9 at half and trailed TCU by 18, both at home before coming back to win tight games.  Texas is averaging 80 PPG this season but in their road games they are only putting up 64 PPG on just 40% shooting.  WVU is undervalued because they are 1-5 in Big 12 play but 4 of their 5 losses have come by 7 points or less or in OT.  The Mountaineers have some momentum after beating a very good TCU team by 9 on Wednesday, their season long offensive and defensive metrics are very comparable to Texas, and they are very well coach with Bob Huggins as the helm.  The Horns are 1-6 ATS their last 7 road games and we expect WVU to pick up a win and cover at home on Saturday.