Category: Freepicks

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WNBA Free Bet | June 2nd, 2024 | Liberty vs Fever

ASA Free WNBA bet on New York Liberty -14.5 vs Indiana Fever, 7PM ET

The Fever are in a tough scheduling situation here after playing a physical game yesterday against the Sky. Indiana won 71-70 and are now playing the second leg of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. Indiana has played one of, if not the toughest schedule thus far in the league and were in this same situation a few weeks ago in Vegas. They lost that game by 19-points. New York is rested and playing their last home game before a 3-game road trip. The Liberty have the 3rd best Net Differential in the WNBA at +8.4 with the 3rd best ONR and 4th best DNR. This will be the 3rd meeting of the season for these two teams with the Liberty winning by 36 and 11 -points already. In the most recent clash, the Liberty were favored by -13-points and the Fever weren’t in this horrible schedule situation. Lay the points with New York.

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WNBA Free Bet today | May 24th 2024

ASA WNBA Free play on LA Sparks +1.5 vs Indiana Fever, 10PM ET

Our model as the Sparks favored at home here so we will gladly take the points with the better team. Indiana is 0-5 SU on the season, the Sparks are 1-2 SU. Los Angeles was recently a 2-point favorite at home in their most recent game, which was a win over Washington, who we grade slightly better than the Fever.

L.A.’s two losses have come against an improved Atlanta team and the Champs from a season ago on the road in Las Vegas. Indiana has faced a tough early season slate themselves and have lost two straight close games to Connecticut and Seattle.

The Sparks will have the two best players on the floor in Derica Hamby who is averaging 22PPG, 13.7 RPG and 2.0SPG and has a pair of double-doubles this season. Kia Nurse is averaging 16.3PPG on 54.5% shooting overall and 45% from beyond the Arc. Her 3PT% is second best in the league among players with 6 or more 3PT attempts per game.

L.A. has won 8 of the last ten meetings outright with the Fever and we like them to get a W at home tonight.

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NBA Free Player Prop Bets | May 19th | 2024

ASA play on UNDER 11.5 Rebounds Josh Hart – NY Knicks

Hart suffered an abdominal strain in the previous game and played just 30 minutes after logging 43+ in 3 of the first 6 games of this series. He was clearly hurt in Game 6 and this is the type of injury that can easily be aggravated. Hart’s greatest asset is his toughness and willingness to go after every loss ball or rebound. He is one of the better rebounding guards in the NBA but today we don’t see him getting to double-digit boards in what could be a limited capacity. Hart is averaging 11.4 rebounds per game in his last 10 games so slightly Under this Total and he has averaged just 7.3 RPG in the last three games of this series.

ASA play on OVER 21.5 Points Pascal Siakam – Indiana Pacers

When you talk about the Pacers, naturally the conversation revolves around Haliburton, but Siakam is the guy you can count on most for scoring in clutch situations. We know Siakam’s usage rate will be high in this elimination game and the Knicks are without their best defender in Anunoby and Josh Hart is not 100%. Siakam had his way in Game 6 with 25-points on 11 of 21 shooting but only played 30 minutes in the Pacers win. He has scored 22+ points against the Knicks in 3 of the last four games and the game he didn’t post a big scoring number was the blowout home win in Game 4 when he played just 22 minutes. Siakam will get his share of looks in this game and should see field goal attempts of 19 which will be enough to push his scoring total Over the number.

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  • NBA Prop Bets – Monday, Nov 27th

    ASA’s 2 NBA Players Prop bets in the NBA for Monday, November 27th WASHINGTON WIZARDS TYUS JONES – OVER 11.5 POINTS Jones is coming off a 4-point outing against the Hawks but should get right in this match up versus the Pistons. Jones is averaging 10.8PPG over his last ten games but in three of…

  • Free NFL bet | Jaguars vs Texans prediction | Nov 26th 2023

    ASA play on: UNDER 48 Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans – 12:00 PM CT This is a big game for the potential winner in the AFC South with the Jags holding a 1-game lead in the standings, but the Texans beat the Jags earlier in the season. The first meeting had a total of 43.5…

  • Free bet | Washington State +16 vs Washington | Nov 25

    #203 ASA PLAY ON Washington State +16 over Washington, Saturday at 4 PM ET As we’ve stated the last few weeks, this Washington team is primed to get upset.  We are on Oregon State last week and while the Huskies won by 2 points, OSU won the stat sheet with more first downs, more yardage,…

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WNBA prediction | Chicago Sky | Future Bet | May 13th

ASA WNBA FUTURE WAGER – OVER 11.5 WINS CHICAGO SKY

ASA WNBA FUTURE WAGER – OVER 13.5 WINS CHICAGO SKY

This gritty Sky team won 18 games a year ago with 11 of those coming on the road. Chicago had the 6th best offensive Net Rating in the league at 101.3 and were 7th in defensive Net Rating at 103.4. They were the 3rd best EFG% team in the league at 50.1%. They were the 8th slowest paced team in the league which kept them competitive in most games with a lower possession rate. Despite their overall losing record they had an acceptable average loss margin of minus -1.6PPG.

The Sky made some key additions through the draft with 6’7 Kamilla Cardoso from the National Champions South Carolina. Cardoso will have a huge impact in the WNBA this season, rebounding and as a rim protector. Unfortunately for the Sky she will miss the first few weeks of the season with a shoulder injury. Another top draft pick was Angel Reese, the Bayou Barbie from LSU, who lost in the Final Four this past season, but won a National Championship the year before. Those two players were Superstars in college hoops and will immediately provide the Sky with franchise type players to build a future around.  

The Sky brought in an experienced coach in Teresa Weatherspoon who was one of the original WNBA players in 1997 and is currently in the Women’s Basketball Hall of Fame. Weatherspoon prides herself on cultivating relationships with her players and bringing energy to the team. She has 17 years of coaching experience, including 3 years on the New Orleans Pelicans staff.

There has been some turnover on the roster with key departures of Kahleah Copper and Courtney Williams, but they do get Diamond DeShields back from injury after missing the 2023 season. Dana Evans has been with the Sky since their 2021 Championship season and will provide that veteran leadership the younger players will need at this stage of their careers.

With some added depth in Elizabeth Williams and Isabelle Harrison we expect this Chicago Sky team to get to .500 or 20 wins this season. 

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NBA Playoff Free Bet | May 10th 2024 | Nuggets vs Wolves

ASA NBA free play Minnesota Timberwolves ML -185 vs Denver Nuggets, 9:30PM ET

I’m going to trust my eyes in this one and think the T’Wolves are the better team right now and the Nuggets don’t have the depth to compete here.

LACK OF DEPTH

The Nuggets won last year’s Championship but had depth with Bruce Brown and Jeff Green providing big minutes off the bench. They don’t have that option this year and Jamal Murray clearly isn’t 100% healthy.

JOKER

Everything starts with Jokic on the offensive end of the court for Denver and….

Minnesota has three Bigs (Towns, Gobert and Reid) to throw at Jokic and wear him down.

BREAKING DOWN GAMES 1 & 2

In Game 1 the Nuggets shot 47% overall and 42% and still only managed 99-points. In Game 2 the Wolves defense was smothering (without Gobert) and they held the Nuggets to 35% overall and 30% from Deep and allowed just 80-points.

POSTSEASON

Minnesota currently has the 4th best Defensive Net Rating in the postseason and the 2nd best Offensive Net Rating. In comparison, the Nuggets rank 8th in DNR, 12th in Offensive Net Rating.

SEASONAL

Surprisingly, Denver has not been great off a loss this season with a 13-14 ATS record.

Minnesota is 32-11 SU on their home court this season and have the 4th best average Margin of Victory at +8.7PPG.

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