Category: Freepicks

MLB Monday Free Pick OVER 9.5 in Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland Guardians @ 7:10 ET – Action on pitchers. Boston has allowed an average of 8.6 runs per game last 16 games! Even taking out the crazy 28-5 loss to Toronto, the Red Sox have allowed 7.3 runs per game last 15 games! In other words, no matter the starting pitcher Boston has been giving up piles of runs. If Pivetta starts tonight, that is even better as he has allowed 20 earned runs in his 13.1 innings in the month of July! As for the Guardians, they have averaged 6 runs per game last 7 games and their last 6 games have averaged a total of 10 runs scored. I look for this one to get to double digits regardless of who is on the mound but will mention that Plesac is the expected starter and he has allowed 11 runs (8 earned) in 14.2 innings in the month of July. Look for a high-scoring game at Fenway Park tonight. Free Pick OVER 9.5 in Boston

Rickenbach MLB Sunday Free Pick OVER 9 in Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners @ 2:35 ET – Action on pitchers. This is a contrarian play…like so many of mine are! But the fact is I don’t care who the starting pitchers are here. I know Flexen has good numbers. I also know Otto is likely to struggle. Yesterday’s game between these teams totaled just 3 runs despite 17 hits. No matter the starting pitchers here (my play is action), note that Seattle has won 13 straight games and scored an average of 5.4 runs per game last 11 games. The Rangers have scored an average of 5.7 runs per game in the first 9 games of this 10-game homestand and the last two games were the first two times they have been held below 5 runs in any of these games! Free Pick OVER 9 in Texas.

*action on pitchers* MLB Tuesday Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees @ 7:05 ET – My biggest concern here is the weather. I like this play no matter who the starting pitchers are but just hope they can get the game in. The Yankees are the best team in baseball and will score their fair share of runs. The Pirates continue to be a scrappy team that is scoring decently and particularly when at home. That said, I feel we have good value here with a low total. The Yankees are scoring an average of 5 runs per game and no other team in MLB has topped the 400 run mark on the season like they have. New York is off a shutout loss Sunday but had scored an average of 6 runs per game in going 6-1 prior to that loss. The Pirates are also off a home shutout loss Sunday but had averaged 6.4 runs in their last 9 home games prior to that one and had won 6 of 8 as a host prior to that. You can see why I like this play no matter the pitchers but I will also mention that Taillon struggled often in the month of June and Quintana also struggled last month when he faced better-hitting teams. That is certainly the case here with facing the Yankees. Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Pittsburgh

Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach MLB Sunday Free Pick Seattle Mariners -145 vs Oakland A’s @ 4:10 ET – The Mariners Robbie Ray has a 2.45 ERA at home and a 2.84 ERA in day games. The A’s Frankie Montas has a 4.88 ERA in road games and he is 1-5 in day games this season. The Athletics have the worst record in the league while the M’s are at least a respectable team near .500 and at home for this one. Lay it! Free Pick SEATTLE -145

*action on pitchers* MLB Monday Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Kansas City Royals vs Texas Rangers @ 8:10 ET – The Rangers should hammer a struggling Bubic. I like overs in spots like this when it is the road team with the better pitcher on the mound because usually the home team is destined to get their runs regardless. At the same time the road team should pound at the plate when they face a struggling pitcher even though they are away from home and that is the set up we have here. Bubic is 0-3 with a 7.78 ERA at home this season. As strong as Perez has been for Texas this season, he has allowed 20 hits in 12 innings in his last two road starts. More of the same here. The Royals have scored an average of 6 runs per game last 7 home games. The Rangers have scored an average of 7 runs per game last 6 road games. Free Pick OVER 8.5 in Kansas City .