Category: Freepicks

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MLB prediction – ASA bets Brewers vs. Dodgers

MLB prediction or player prop from ASA: UNDER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Eric Lauer – Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers, 10:10PM ET

These two teams just squared off in Milwaukee last week with each winning two games. Lauer pitched a 4 hit, 2 earned run, 7 strikeouts gem in a loss. After having seen Lauer so recently we like the Dodgers hitters to have a leg up in this contest. The Dodgers are at home and off a home series, so they have plenty of time to prepare for Lauer and his pitching tendencies. Lauer averages 5.1 strikeouts per game on the season and has thrown 5 or less K’s in 5 of his last six starts. The Dodgers rank 13th in strikeouts per game this season and should see the ball well tonight, having faced Lauer recently. ASA’s MLB prediction Monday is UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts for pitcher Eric Lauer.

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ASA MLB free bets Guardians vs White Sox

ASA MLB free bets or player prop: OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Shane Bieber – Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox, 6:10PM ET

ASA MLB free bets for August 20th. In his last ten starts, Bieber is averaging 6.5 K’s per game. He has been especially good of late with 30 K’s in his last four starts. His pitch-count is typically in the high 90’s so he’ll get plenty of opportunities today in this MLB game. Bieber has a high strikeout to innings pitched ratio in his career and currently sits at 140 K’s in 138.7 innings this season. The White Sox are 7th best in baseball in the fewest strikeouts per game at (7.90). If we look at recent results though this lineup has struggled in August. In the last 15-days the White Sox have struck out 118 times in 476 plate appearances. That is 10th most in the league over that stretch of MLB games. In their last ten games against righties, they have averaged 6.6 K’s per game. Clearly, we have favorable trends working in our favor here with a hot pitcher and a team swinging and missing. ASA’s MLB free bets is on Over 5.5 K’s for Bieber in this MLB game.

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ASA NFL free pick Packers vs. Saints, Friday 8PM ET

NFL free pick Green Bay Packers -3 vs. New Orleans Saints

ASA has you covered with a free NFL pick on Friday evening when the Saints and Packers meet in Green Bay. The Packers offense looked much better than the Saints in the opening game, the defenses were about even. Green Bay’s offense will be the difference in this game.

The Packers had over 430-yards of total offense last week  at 6.6 YPPL against a very good 49ers defense. They turned the ball over too many times though which cost them dearly.  QB Jordan Love was 13/24 for 176 passing yards with 2 TD’s but also threw 3 INT’s. Two of those picks were basically on his WR’s. The running game was solid with RB Tyler Goodson who ran for 37 yards on 12 carries.

The Packer defense is going to be improved this season and had a tremendous week of practice against the Saints. Last week, Green Bay’s defense held the Niners to just 328 total yards (6.07 YPPL).

The Saints QB’s Ian Book and Andy Dalton didn’t show much in their preseason opener with 140 yards passing against a bad Texans defense in the opener.

The Saints running game struggled with 3.5-Yards per Carry or 130YDS on 37 touches. Overall, the Saints offense mustered just 270 total yards against a Texans defense that was 23rd in Defensive efficiency a year ago.

The Saints defense played well allowing just 275 total yards or 5.18YPPL last week but that came against a Texans offense that isn’t very good.

Packers head coach Matt LaFleur is on an 0-4 SU preseason run but should snap that streak with a winning football bet here.

This is the Packers only home game and they are off a loss in San Francisco so expect a little extra motivation here and a win by more than 3-points.

Be sure to check back here daily for your next NFL free pick by ASA.

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ASA Sports Betting MLB free bet – Player Prop

ASA play on: OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS: Luis Castillo – Seattle Mariners @ LA Angels, 9:30PM ET

This is one of the bigger strikeout numbers on the sports bettting board today, but every sports bettor will be playing Over 6.5 with Castillo. He has the 8th highest K/rate on the board today of all starts at 9.48 per 9/innings. Castillo has 105 strikeouts in 99.7 innings of work this season and has 6 or more K’s in 9 straight games, 7 or more in five straight. He is facing an Angels team that strikes out more than every other team in the Bigs at 9.57 per 9/innings. L.A. struggles against any type of pitchers but against right-handers they’ve struck out an average of 6.9 per 9/innings or once every 3.37 at bats. Overall, in their last 13 games the Angels are hitting just .216 as a team with 116 K’s in 436 at bats. Castillo averages 6.23 innings pitched per start and if he gets to that number today, he should easily have 8 or more K’s.

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ASA MLB prediction White Sox vs. Tigers

ASA player prop: OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS Lance Lynn – Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers, 2PM ET

Lynn is a solid strikeout pitcher with the 7th highest K/rate (9.35) per 9 innings on the board today and he’s facing a Tigers team that isn’t swinging well right now. Detroit is 22nd in the Bigs in K’s per game at 8.71 and they’ve been especially bad against right-handed starters with 6.7 per game. The Tigers hit just .210 as a team against righties and have been worse yet in their last ten games hitting just .195 with an average of 8.7 K’s per game. Recently, the Tigers have 152 K’s in their last 14 games which is the most in baseball. In that 14-game stretch they are striking out once every 3.04 at bats. Yesterday the Tigers struck out eleven times against the White Sox staff. Lynn has 62 K’s on the season in 59.7 innings of work after throwing 176 K’s a season ago in 157 innings. He has 6 or more strikeouts in 4 of his last five games. Lynn faced this Detroit lineup in mid-June and had 4 strikeouts in 4 innings of work. We expect a longer outing here and with more than 1 K per inning.