Category: Freepicks

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ASA Free college football bet BYU vs. South Florida – Sept 3

ASA free college bet on BYU / SOUTH FLORIDA OVER 58 total points

These two teams produced 62 total points a year ago and went OVER the total of 53.5.

Both return a ton of production from a year ago and shouldn’t miss a beat heading into this season. BYU returns 88% of their productions, South Florida 86%. Neither defense was very good a year ago and should give up points in the opener. The Bulls ranked: 117th in Points Allowed Per game 36.3. 97th in Yards Per Point Allowed at 13.2. South Florida gave up 40 or more points in 6 of 12 games. BYU had a few issues of their own defensively: The Cougars ranked 103rd in Red Zone Scoring Percentages allowed at 88.37. 108th in 3rd Down Conversions Per Game Allowed. 51st in Points Per Game allowed (25.7PPG). Overall, when it came to defensive efficiency BYU was 83rd overall, SF was 120th.  BYU had the 4th most efficient offense in college football a season ago and put up an average of 30.9PPG. With 8 starters back on that side of the football the Cougars will be as good if not better this season. South Florida was 83rd in OFEI last year but will be MUCH better with nearly everyone back. The Bulls averaged 21.8PPG and did score 27+ in 6 of their last ten a year ago. The number is set slightly to low on this game and we will bet the OVER.

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​Point Train college football FREE OPINION PLAY Sept 3

​Mississippi State -16.5 vs. Memphis – 7:30PM ET – college football winner

  • The loss in line value (opened -12) is keeping us off this game as a rated wager but we still lean to the side of the Bulldogs.
  • Miss State was favored by 3-points at Memphis last year and lost 29-31 after a late game 2-point conversion failed. 
  • Mississippi State lost last year’s game despite outgaining the Tigers by 212 total yards. A fumble return for a touchdown and 94 yard punt return for a TD were the difference. 
  • The Bulldogs return a ton of their production from a year ago and rest assured they haven’t forgotten last year’s loss. 
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MLB free wager from ASA – Player Prop – A’s vs. Nationals

ASA’s MLB free wager or player prop: UNDER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS Cole Irvin Oakland A’s vs. Washington Nationals, 7PM ET

Today’s MLB free wager – Cole Irvin isn’t known as a strikeout pitcher with a 6.20 K/rate per 9 innings. On the season he has just 98 strikeouts in 142.3 innings of work or 4.26 per game. He is coming off an 11 K outing against Miami but the Marlins rank 8th in strikeouts on the season and 7th in the last 15 days. In his last ten starts he has two other higher strikeout games against the Angels and Rangers. The Angels strike out more than anyone in baseball and the Rangers are 10th. Irvin will face a Washington team that doesn’t strike out often. The Nats strikeout the 2nd least number of times per game in the Majors with 945 on the year in 4,274 at bats. Irvin is a lower volume pitcher with an average pitch count of 87.8 his last ten starts. We definitely like Under the number here for today’s baseball free play.

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MLB prediction – ASA bets Brewers vs. Dodgers

MLB prediction or player prop from ASA: UNDER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Eric Lauer – Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers, 10:10PM ET

These two teams just squared off in Milwaukee last week with each winning two games. Lauer pitched a 4 hit, 2 earned run, 7 strikeouts gem in a loss. After having seen Lauer so recently we like the Dodgers hitters to have a leg up in this contest. The Dodgers are at home and off a home series, so they have plenty of time to prepare for Lauer and his pitching tendencies. Lauer averages 5.1 strikeouts per game on the season and has thrown 5 or less K’s in 5 of his last six starts. The Dodgers rank 13th in strikeouts per game this season and should see the ball well tonight, having faced Lauer recently. ASA’s MLB prediction Monday is UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts for pitcher Eric Lauer.

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ASA MLB free bets Guardians vs White Sox

ASA MLB free bets or player prop: OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Shane Bieber – Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox, 6:10PM ET

ASA MLB free bets for August 20th. In his last ten starts, Bieber is averaging 6.5 K’s per game. He has been especially good of late with 30 K’s in his last four starts. His pitch-count is typically in the high 90’s so he’ll get plenty of opportunities today in this MLB game. Bieber has a high strikeout to innings pitched ratio in his career and currently sits at 140 K’s in 138.7 innings this season. The White Sox are 7th best in baseball in the fewest strikeouts per game at (7.90). If we look at recent results though this lineup has struggled in August. In the last 15-days the White Sox have struck out 118 times in 476 plate appearances. That is 10th most in the league over that stretch of MLB games. In their last ten games against righties, they have averaged 6.6 K’s per game. Clearly, we have favorable trends working in our favor here with a hot pitcher and a team swinging and missing. ASA’s MLB free bets is on Over 5.5 K’s for Bieber in this MLB game.

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