Category: Freepicks

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NBA Player Prop bets – Oct 18

ASA NBA Predictions or Player Prop bets for Tuesday, October 18th 2022

We have a few NBA Player props for you on opening night in the NBA. We will tread lightly to start the season with our NBA predictions and get more indepth as the year goes on. Be sure to check out all of ASA’s BASKETBALL PACKAGES online here!

Philadelphia 76ers – James Harden OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS

James Harden averaged 7.7 rebounds per game during the regular season and 5.7 in the postseason. For his career, he is averaging 5.6RPG. The Celtics are going to pay a lot of attention to Embiid, Harrell, Tucker and Harris on the boards which will give Harden plenty of opportunities to snag easy rebounds. Harden was 3rd in the NBA last season in rebounds per game among shooting guards.

Boston Celtics – Marcus Smart OVER 12.5 POINTS

The 76ers will have to pay a lot of attention to the Celtics “big 2” of Tatum and Brown which means a few extra open looks for Smart who has shot it extremely well in camp according to our reports. Smart has averaged 12.1PPG, 13.1PPG and 12.9PPG in his last three seasons overall. In 7 of his last ten games a season ago in the playoffs he scored more than 12.5-points. He averaged 15PPG in his last ten games and that was against Golden State and Miami two of the better defensive teams in the NBA. In four games against the 76ers last season Smart averaged 12PPG and one of those games was a blowout in which he played just 12 minutes.

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Free Pick North Carolina vs. Duke – Oct 15th

ACC Rivalry Ruckus – @Duke +7 vs. North Carolina – 8:00pm ET – POINT TRAIN CONSULTING

The Tar Heels offense is averaging an ACC best 501 yards per game. Duke’s defense allows 380-yards per game. Despite their prolific offense the Heels have played in four 1-score games this season with an average Margin of Victory of just +6PPG. UNC’s defense is not good and the Duke rushing attack will exploit their weakness. The Blue Devils average over 190-rushing yards per game, UNC allows over 167-rushing yards which is 96th in the country. This UNC defense gave up +138 more yards to Miami than the Canes averaged going into their game last week. Prior to that this defense gave up 576-yards to Notre Dame and 431-yards to Georgia State which where both significantly higher than those teams season averages. Duke is coming off a close road loss to Georgia Tech who looks much better after firing their coach. Duke is 7-8 SU their last 15 at home, but they’ve been competitive in those games with an average MOV of -3PPG. We like the points here and the home dog in this big rivalry.

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Free college bet Utah vs USC – Oct 15th

Free college prediction on the Utah vs USC game by ASA

ASA play on: Utah -3.5 vs USC, 8PM ET

ASA’s free college bet. We like the scheduling situation with the Utes are coming off a disappointing loss at UCLA 42-32 while USC is off a big home win over Washington State 30-14. Both offenses fairly even with the Utes averaging 6.6-Yards Per Play, USC averages 6.6YPP. Utah has a slight edge defensively as the UTES give up 316YPG compared to the Trojans 351.5YPG allowed. A big reason USC is 6-0 SU is that they have feasted on Turnovers this year with 15 takeaways, but Utah doesn’t turn it Over with 5 TO’s on the season. Utah also has an offense capable of keeping the Trojans offense off the field as they convert 48.48% of their 3rd down attempts which is 16th best in the nation. Home field will play an important role in the outcome of this game as the Utes are 23-2 SU, 16-9 ATS at home since 2018. In that stretch of 25 games, they have won by an average of 20.8PPG which is the 11th best MOV in that time frame. The home team is also 8-3 the last eleven meetings between these two schools. The Trojans have not been a great underdog with as 5-9 ATS their last fourteen as a pooch. They’ve also lost those games by an average of -11.1PPG. The line on this game is the tell with the Utes favored by over as field goal. Since 2015 teams that are 6-0 and an underdog to a team with a minimum of two losses are 3-12 SU. Free college prediction on the Utes!

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NHL free pick Philadelphia Flyers vs NJ Devils prediction – Oct 13th

ASA NFL pick for Thursday Oct 13th 2022

#6 ASA PLAY ON Philadelphia Flyers +115 on the Money Line over New Jersey Devils NHL prediction, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET – These two teams finished with nearly identical records in the standings last season. Even though the Devils are projected to, and should, be the better team this season this will not be an easy game for them. Flyers will be fired up at home and under their new head coach John Tortorella. He is a veteran head coach that demands effort on the ice and could be the “kick in the pants” this team needed. Philly being at home here is also key as goalie Carter Hart has had stronger numbers overall on home ice in comparison with road starts throughout his career. Look for the Flyers to surprise here and we love fading the line move in games like this where the line has swung so much. Philly opened as a small favorite and now the Devils are as high as a -135 favorite. If this game was in New Jersey we would feel differently but Philadelphia is going to have a ton of emotion and effort for their first game of the season on home ice and we look for Hart to have a big game between the pipes too. We think we’re getting some nice value getting this underdog at +115 in this one on home ice with the Flyers.

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Free College Bet Kent State vs Miami OH prediction

Free College Bet – Kent State -5.5 at Miami OH, 3:30PM ET

Free college bet brought to you by ASA. These were the two favorites to win the MAC East this season, but Miami lost their starting QB Gabbert and have struggled without him. Backup Aveon Smith is a capable runner, but he’s thrown for under 155 passing yards in every start this season which makes Miami one-dimensional on offense.  If you happened to miss it, last week Kent State put up over 735 total yards of offense in a win over Ohio U. The 31-points they scored in that game should have been more, but key turnovers or fumbles cost them multiple points. Kent has played one of the toughest schedules in college football with three games against Oklahoma, Washington and Georgia. That’s a big reason why you can throw out their defensive rankings for the season which have them near the bottom in several key categories. Interestingly enough, the Redhawks have some dismal defensive numbers of their own, but they haven’t faced near the schedule Kent has. Miami’s two toughest games were against Kentucky and Cincinnati which they lost by 24 and 21-points respectively. Last week the Golden Flashes RB Marquez Cooper had 240-rushing yards against Ohio U and we expect another big game from him here.