Category: Freepicks

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NBA Player Prop Bets – January 18th 2023

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 18.5 POINTS – Josh Giddey – Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder are on an impressive streak with road wins over the 76ers, Bulls and Nets. A big reason why has been the play of Giddey who has cored 20, 25 and 28-points in those three contests. That’s significant considering those three teams rank 1st, 2nd and 4th in the least amount of points scored per game against point guards. Indiana allows 22.9PPG to PG’s this season, which is roughly league average. Overall, the Pacers own the 10th worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA allowing 1.146-points per possession. Easy Over call for Giddey.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 24.5 POINTS – De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

We like the value here with a number that’s been set too low. These same two teams met on Jan 7th and the O/U for points scored by Fox was 26.5. We bet that Over and he finished with 34-points. In three games against the Lakers this season he has scored 37, 22 and 34 points. The Lakers are the 2nd worst team in the league when it comes to points allowed to point guards as they give up 26.9PPG. In a high possession game (the total is 247) he should get plenty of opportunities to score.

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP OVER 31.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – De’Aaron Fox – Sacramento Kings

We like the value here with a number that’s been set too low. These same two teams met on Jan 7th and the O/U for points+assists by Fox was 33.5. He finished with 43 in that most recent game. The Lakers are the 2nd worst team in the league when it comes to points allowed to point guards as they give up 26.9PPG. They allow the 9th most assists to PG’s at 8.4APG. In a high possession game (the total is 247) he should get plenty of opportunities to score and dish out assists here.

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NBA Free bet – Monday, Jan 16th

ASA OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE – Russell Westbrook LA Lakers

This looks like a gift to us as the Rockets are one of the worst teams in the league defending the 3-point line as they allow 36.8% which is 26th in the NBA. Granted, Westbrook isn’t known for his outside shooting but he has made 2 or more 3’s in 5 of his last six games. The Rockets allow the 2nd most 3-pointers made to PG’s this season at 3.4 per game. Russ will get 2 or more tonight.

ASA play on UNDER 224.5 Toronto Raptors @ NY Knicks, 3PM ET

These two teams have met twice this season with both games staying below the number with 220 and 219 total points being scored. The O/U numbers set by the oddsmakers on those two games were 216.5 so you can see for yourself the value in today’s number. Historically, if we look back at the last nine meetings the most combined points scored by these two teams is 225. All other meetings have been less than that. We are expecting both defenses to dominate in this game as the Raptors allow the 8th fewest points in the NBA, the Knicks allow the 7th fewest. Both teams are also slower paced so we know it won’t be a high possession game. The Raptors are the 4th slowest team in the NBA at 97.2 possessions per game, the Knicks are 8th slowest at 97.8 possessions per game. The Knicks are coming off a road game yesterday and their games average 218.7PPG when they play without rest. Unless both teams shoot well above their season averages, we can’t see this game going Over the Total.

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NBA Player Props for Jan 9th

ASA Player Prop OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS – Kentavious Caldwell Pope – LA Lakers

Pope is shooting it at a career high clip from deep at 47.9% this season. He is averaging four 3-point attempts per game in his last ten and making an average of 2.2. He seems to shoot better at home as he has made 2 or more 3-pointers in 5 straight in Denver. These teams have met 3 times this season already and Pope has made 7 total 3-pointers.

ASA Player Prop OVER 33.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Russell Westbrook – LA Lakers

The Lakers will be without LeBron and Anthony Davis tonight which means more of a burden falls on Westbrook. In his last three games Westbrook has totaled 38, 38 and 43 Pts+Res+Ass respectively. These same two teams met in mid-December and Russ put up a stat line of 15 points, 12 assists and 9 rebounds, narrowly missing a triple-double. Denver is the worst team in the league defending point guards when it comes to scoring as they allow over 27PPG.

ASA Player Prop 20.5 POINTS – Russell Westbrook – LA Lakers

The Lakers will be without LeBron and Anthony Davis tonight which means more of a burden falls on Westbrook. In his last three games Westbrook has totaled 23, 18 and 21 points respectively. Denver is the worst team in the league defending point guards when it comes to scoring as they allow over 27PPG. With an O/U of 237 there will be plenty of points scored by both and Westbrook should get his fair share.

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NBA Player Prop – Jan 8

OVER 20.5 POINTS – Tyrese Haliburton – Indiana Pacers

Haliburton and the Pacers have faced a gauntlet of great defensive teams when it comes to point guards. 5 of their last ten games have come against teams that rank 7 in points allowed per game to PG’s on the season. 9 of their last ten games have come against defenses that rank in the top half of the league in points to PG’s. Today he gets the Hornets who allow the 4th most points to PG’s at 25.3PPG. Haliburton has three straight lower scoring games by his standards but he breaks out here.

OVER POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Tyrese Haliburton – Indiana Pacers

Haliburton and the Pacers have faced a gauntlet of great defensive teams when it comes to point guards. 5 of their last ten games have come against teams that rank 7 in points allowed per game to PG’s on the season. 9 of their last ten games have come against defenses that rank in the top half of the league in points to PG’s. Today he gets the Hornets who allow the 4th most points to PG’s at 25.3PPG. Not only will Haliburton have a big scoring game but he’ll get his assists. He leads the league with 10.2 APG and has 12 in his last two games. He has also nabbed 24 rebounds in his last four games.

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NBA Prop bets – Thursday Dec 22

ASA player prop OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS CJ McCollum – New Orleans Pelicans

McCollum has made 3 or more 3-pointers in 3 straight games and 4 of his last five games. He averages 2.31 makes per game on the season but will have an increased usage here with two of the Pelicans leading scorers out tonight. The Spurs are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA ranking 30th in PPG allowed, 30th in opponents FG% and 3PT%. We expect McCollum to make 4 or more tonight.

ASA player prop OVER 21.5 POINTS Kyle Kuzma – Washington Wizards

Kyle Kuzma returns to Utah where he played in college, and we are betting he puts up big numbers tonight. Kuzma is averaging 21.55PPG on the season and has improved that average to 24.5PPG in his last nine games. He has scored 22 or more in 3 of his last four games. He will get plenty of opportunities here as he averages 19.2 field goals attempts per game in his last ten. The Jazz are 26th in the NBA in defensive efficiency rating for the season and have been even worse in their last five games, giving up 1.166 points per possession. Utah is the 5th worst team when it comes to defending power forwards as they allow 23.7PPG on 52.6% shooting.