Category: Freepicks

Posted on by

NBA Free Bet – Player Prop – Nov 21

ASA player prop: OVER 23.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Evan Mobley – Cleveland Cavaliers

Nobody in the NBA gives up more combined points and rebounds to power forwards than the Atlanta Hawks at 36PPG/RPG. Mobley should have a big game here scoring and rebounding considering the Hawks are 26th in the league in defensive rebound rate and rank 20th in points per game allowed. Mobley is averaging 23.81 Pts+Rebs per game this season and 25.0 in his last ten. He has totaled 22 or more points+rebounds in 6 of his last seven games.

Posted on by

Liberty vs Virginia Tech prediction – By ASA

#338 ASA PLAY ON Liberty -9.5 over Virginia Tech, Saturday at 12 PM ET

Liberty is off a bad loss last week, just their 2nd loss of the season, @ UConn. The Flames lost that game 36-33 but outgained the Huskies by 156 yards. The situational spot was terrible for Liberty so we’re not surprised they weren’t at the top of their game. They had beaten Arkansas on the road a week earlier and had this huge home game vs a Power 5 team on deck. On top of that, UConn was playing for bowl eligibility in their final home game of the season and with the win the Huskies will play in the postseason for the first time since 2015. The “want to” in that game was heavily in favor of Connecticut. Not the case here with Liberty playing their final home game vs a name opponent. Va Tech has one of their worst teams in recent history with a 2-8 record. They are on the road here with absolutely nothing to play for and a home game on deck vs their arch rival Virginia. The Hokies were rolled 24-7 @ Duke last week getting outgained by 150 yards and have now lost 7 straight games. They’ve been outgained by over 1,100 yards in those 7 games and we have a feeling this team playing a meaningless non-conference game this late in the season may have tanked it. VT is 0-5 SU on the road this season (1-4 ATS) losing those games by an average of 2 TD’s. Their offense ranks outside the top 100 in total offense, rushing offense, and scoring offense. They’re facing a Liberty defense that ranks 30th nationally and has held a few potent offenses in check including allowing 19 points to Arkansas and 14 points to BYU. We’ll lay it with the much more motivated team playing one of the big boys in their own state.

Posted on by

NBA Player Prop Nov 17th

ASA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs

The Over/Under on this game itself is 236 which tells us it’s going to be a high scoring game. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, and two of the worst when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Spurs are 29th in the league allowing 1.169-points per possession, the Kings rank 27th giving up 1.147PPP. Johnson is averaging 22.71PPG on the season and has a pair of big game recently against a comparative team to the Spurs in the Denver Nuggets. Sacramento allows the 6th most points to shooting forwards, Denver is 8th in that defensive category. Our models are projecting 25.25 points tonight for Johnson.

ASA ON INSANE START TO NBA SEASON ON PLAYER PROPS! 24-7 HOT STREAK. GET BETS NIGHTLY FOR $9

Other recent free bets

Posted on by

NBA free bet Nov 16th

NBA Free Bet – Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction

ASA play on: Houston Rockets +6.5 at Dallas Mavericks, 8:40PM ET

*No Luka Doncic for Dallas tonight hence the big line move.* After winning with our play on the Clippers last night against the Mavs we will come right back with a NBA free bet against Dallas tonight. The Mavs are 6-7-1 AST their last 14 when playing without rest and their +/- in those games is just +1.6PPG which clearly isn’t enough for a cover tonight. Dallas is off to a 8-5 SU start to the season with a 7-1 record at home. The Mavs +7.1PPG average margin of victory at home though is very misleading as they have a 41-point win over the Grizzlies. If we remove that one blowout their average +/- at home is just 2.1PPG. In their last five home games they have won by a combined 13-points. The Rockets have the 4th worst road differential in the NBA at minus -9.4PPG but they’ve also faced a brutal road schedule, with 8 of ten opponents having an above .500 record. Houston has covered 7 of the last ten meetings in Dallas and get another ATS ‘W’ here. Good luck with this NBA wager Wednesday night.

Posted on by

NBA Prop Bet – Monday, Nov 14th

ASA PLAY ON: OVER 11.5 POINTS Al Horford, Boston Celtics

ASA’s best Prop Bet tonight. Horford has been somewhat limited this season as they manage his load/minutes early on. He did not play in the Celtics most recent game which was the second night of a back-to-back but in the previous game he scored a season-high 21-points. He has scored in double-digits in 5 straight games in which he’s played in and 6 of the last seven. Now he faces the 5th worst team in the NBA when it comes to points allowed per game to Centers in the OKC Thunder. Consider this. In the 10 games he’s played in he has faced a defense that is in the top half of the league in the least number of points allowed to Centers in every game but one. Tonight, it’s going to be a big game for the Celtics center.

Other recent free picks