Category: Freepicks

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NFL Prop Bets | Bijan Robinson | Sept 16th 2024

ASA 2 free player prop bets – Atlanta Falcons – Bijan Robinson

OVER 64.5 RUSHING YARDS Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons

OVER 29.5 RECEIVING YARDS Bijan Robinson – Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta attempted the 3rd most rushing attempts per game in 2023 at 30.7. In the opener against the Steelers the Falcons fed Robinson 18 times for 68 yards. He also had 43 receiving yards on 7 targets. Robinson obviously has breakaway or big play ability with two 30+ yards rushing plays and one 40+. He will face an Eagles defense that allowed 163 rushing yards at 7.8-yards per rush in the opener to the Packers. Last season the Eagles ranked 11th in rushing yards per game allowed and 19th in rushing yards per attempt. Philadelphia was 30th in passing yards allowed per game in 2023, giving up 255.7PYPG. Robinson has gone Over 100 total rushing/receiving yards in 5 of his last nine games. With the Falcons trying to protect an immobile QB Cousins we expect a heavy usage rate for Robinson here.

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WNBA Free Bet | Mystics vs Sky Prediction | Sept 11 2024

ASA WNBA free play on Washington Mystics +1 at Chicago Sky, 8PM ET

These two teams have near identical records with the Mystic 14-24 SU, the Sky are 13-22 SU. The Mystic though have been under-valued by the oddsmakers all season long with a 23-11-1 ATS record compared to the Sky who are 16-19 ATS.

Washington has played well of late with a 5-2 SU record their last seven games which includes several quality wins. The two losses in that stretch came to the Lynx and Sun who are two of the best four teams in the league. Also included in that stretch is a road win against this same Sky team with Angel Reese in the lineup for Chicago.

The Sky had lost 7 straight games prior to winning their last two against the Sparks and Wings. The most recent win was an upset as they were without Reese (injured out for the season) yet won 92-77 at home over the Wings as a +4-point dog.

Since the Olympic break the Mystics have played much better than the Sky with a Net rating of -1.8 compared to the Sky who have a Net rating of -5.2.

This will be a tight game but we like the Mystic to prevail by single-digits.

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NFL Free Bet | Cardinals Prediction | Sept 8 2024

NFL free bet – ARIZONA CARDINALS Team Total OVER 20.5

Free pick brought to you by ASA

Let’s start with theBuffalo defense. The Bills defense slipped last season going from 2nd in 2022 to 12th in 2023 in our rankings when you factor in overall schedule and strength of opposing offenses face.

Arizona has some ups and downs last season but the Cardinals were  a much better team with a healthy QB Murray under center towards the end of the season. Arizona put up 24, 29, 16, 35 and 20-points respectively in their last five games.

Arizona will be much better offensively this season and have a legitimate receiving threat in rookie Harrison Jr. along with 3rd year TE Trey McBride. The Bills allowed 20+ points in 9 of their seventeen regular season games last season.

This team total has bounced around with betting tickets hitting this number so shop around and find that key number of 20.5 and bet it OVER.

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CFB FREE BET | Sept 7 2024 | From ASA

#348 ASA CFB FREE BET ON Ole Miss -41.5 over Middle Tennessee State, Saturday at 4:15 PM ET

CFB Free bet today from ASA. Ole Miss can name the score here and head coach Lane Kiffin has shown he’s not opposed to running up huge numbers on inferior opponents.  Last week the Rebels beat FCS Furman 76-0 and they took their foot slightly off the gas after leading 73-0 in the 3rd quarter. 

You might say well that’s Furman an FCS team but the Paladins have a very solid program and entered the year ranked in the top 15 in the FCS poll.  One trusted FBS / FCS power rating system, Jeff Sagarin, has Furman and this Middle Tennessee state team rated almost dead even.  The 76 point win wasn’t a turnover laced fluke as Furman had only 1 turnover in the game.  Ole Miss outgained the Paladins by a ridiculous +600 yards (772 to 172 total yards) and the Rebels had 37 first downs to just 7 for Furman. 

While Mississippi was destroying one of the better teams at the FCS level, MTSU was struggling at home to simply win a game vs one of the worst FCS programs, Tennessee Tech.  The Blue Raiders were outgained in that 32-25 win, had fewer first downs and needed a TD with under 1:00 minute remaining to escape with a home win as a 24 point favorite. 

Tennessee Tech finished 4-8 last year and hasn’t won more than 4 games in any of the last 4 seasons.  For comparisons sake, this same Tennessee Tech team who almost beat MTSU last Saturday, played Furman last year (Mississippi’s opponent last week) and lost 45-10. 

The Blue Raiders are lost a ton of players from last year (just 7 starters back) and are working on new systems on both sides of the ball with new head coach Derek Mason. 

Heading to Oxford is not ideal for this MTSU team still trying to figure things out.  Unless Lane Kiffin decides to take it easy here, which he hasn’t in the past, this one will get really ugly and we like the Rebels as a CFB free bet.

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CFB FREE BET | Arizona vs New Mexico prediction | 8-31-24

#182 ASA FREE PLAY ON Arizona -30 over New Mexico, Saturday at 10:30 PM ET

New Arizona head coach Brent Brennan takes over a team loaded with talent after former head man Jedd Fisch moved onto Washington.  The Cats have 3 players projected as 1st round draft picks next year (WR, OL, and CB).  On top of that Arizona returns QB Fafita who put up big numbers (2,900 yards passing and 25 TD’s) after taking over the starting job in game 4 last year. 

The Cats put up 38 PPG after Fifita took over and they should log huge numbers here vs a New Mexico defense that gave up 567 yards last week to FCS Montana State. 

The Lobos were double digit dogs at HOME to Montana State and the final score (lost 35-31) was not indicative of the Bobcats dominance.  New Mexico had 2 defensive TD’s in the game and were outgained by over 200 yards, outrushed by over 200 yards, and had 10 minute time of possession disadvantage.  Now after getting dominated by a very good FCS team, the Lobos take the road and face on one of the better FBS teams. 

Arizona has an advantage with a full game of film on New Mexico as well while the Lobos are flying blind not knowing how the Wildcats will operate with a new coaching staff.  Arizona could easily push 50 points here while we don’t expect the Lobos offense to do much after scoring just 17 points (minus the defensive points) last week at home.  Blowout.  

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