Category: Freepicks

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NHL free pick | Senators vs Canadians prediction | March 18 2025

ASA NHLfree pick on OVER 5.5 GOALS Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadians, 7:07pm ET

For the Ottawa Senators, through 66 games, they’ve scored 194 goals and allowed 185 goals or 2.94 GF/GP and 2.80 GA/GP. For the Montreal Canadiens, through 66 games, they’ve scored 195 goals and allowed 214 goals: 2.95 GF/GP and 3.24 GA/GP.

In a head-to-head scenario, we typically model it as each team’s offense versus the other’s defense and factor in the efficiency rates for both teams. In this matchup our model is projecting 5.88 total goals being scored.

These two teams have met twice already this season with the Canadians winning both 4-1 and 5-2. In the last eight meetings one of the two teams has scored 4+ goals and all eight have finished with 5 or more total goals being scored.

Ottawa has played in three straight higher scoring games with 7, 8 and 6 total goals being scored. Montreal’s last three games have finished with 4, 9 and 6 total goals. Bet this Senators vs Canadians prediction OVER the total as today’s NHL free pick.

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NHL Free Bet | Lightning vs Bruins | March 14th 2025

ASA NHL Free play on OVER 5.5 GOALS Tampa Bay at Boston – 7:07pm ET

Boston has scored 3 or more goals in 4 of their last five games and they’ve allowed 6 goals in 2 of their last five. Tampa Bay has had some issues defensively allowing 4 or more goals in four straight games. The Lightning have also produced 3 or more goals in 3 of their last five and put up 6 goals twice. Tampa Bay is 2nd in the NHL in Goals for per game at 3.49, Boston is 25th a 2.72. Boston is allowing 3.15 goals against, the Lightning allow 2.69. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league is shots against so both should get plenty of opportunities to put shots on goal. In the last seven head-to-head meetings one of the two teams has scored 3 goals. In the last three meetings one team has put up 4 or more goals.  We are betting 6 or more goals get scored in this one.

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NHL Free Bet | Red Wings vs Sabres | March 12th 2025

ASA NHL Free Bet on Detroit Red Wings -135 vs. Buffalo Sabres, 7:35pm ET

The Red Wings are in a desperate situation here coming off 6 straight losses and slipping to 12th in the Eastern Conference. Five of those six losses are excusable as they came to good teams above them in the standings.

Tonight they face a Buffalo team that is 25-32 SU on the season, the 4th fewest wins on the year. Buffalo won the first meeting of the season between these two teams but the Wings have won the last two 2-1 and 6-5 in a shootout.

Detroit has a clear advantage defensively allowing 3.19 goals against compared to the Sabres who rank 30th in GA/G at 3.48. Buffalo has struggled on the road with a 9-18-3 SU record away from home and are coming off a big home win over Edmonton on Monday night.

In Detroit’s most recent loss they peppered Ottawa goaltender Ullmark with 49 shots but were unlucky producing just one goal.

We expect the offense to have another high-volume of shot attempts tonight which will lead to a solid home win and snap this losing streak. NHL Free bet on Detroit Red Wings

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NBA Player Prop Bet | LeBron James | Pelicans vs Lakers prediction

ASA NBA Free Player prop bet – LEBRON JAMES UNDER 42.5 POINTS+ASS+REBOUNDS

This could easily be a load management game for LeBron who is averaging over 34 minutes per game this season. The Lakers have a much bigger slate of games looming against the Knicks and Celtics so we estimate LeBron to play 30-33 minutes tonight against the Pelicans. In this minutes range LeBron is 6-2 UNDER tonight’s prop number of 42.5. Granted, the Pelicans are terrible defensively but if the Lakers do jump out big early don’t expect to see LeBron in the lineup late in the game. In the only meeting between these two teams this season, LeBron totaled 33 Pts+Rebs+Ass. Today’s NBA player prop bet is UNDER LeBron James Points+Rebounds+Assists.

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NCAAB Free bet | February 25th 2025 | Santa Clara vs Gonzaga

#668 ASA PLAY ON Santa Clara +6.5 over Gonzaga, Tuesday at 11 PM ET

The Zags lost at home vs St Mary’s over the weekend which locked up the West Coast Conference Title for the Gaels.  Gonzaga had won or tied for the WCC title in 11 of the previous 12 seasons and now that’s out of reach and we look for a letdown from the Bulldogs here.  Santa Clara is a dangerous home dog as they’ve only lost 1 conference game here and that was vs St Mary’s.  The Broncos have won 5 of their last 6 games including a 30 point win @ Washington State over the weekend.  They are the #1 shooting team in the conference (eFG%) and they lead the WCC on 3 point FG% as well hitting 40% of their triples.  At home they are averaging 84 PPG and allowing just 68 PPG on the season.  Gonzaga has 8 losses on the season of those have come away from their home court.  One of their losses at home came vs this Santa Clara team by a final score of 103-99.  The Zags actually shot better from the field in that game and made 4 more FT’s yet still lost at home.  They continue to be overvalued with an 11-18 ATS record on the season including covering just 5 of their last 21 games.  Even if Gonzaga musters up enough energy to play well here after their disappointing home loss on Saturday, we’re not sure they can pull away in this game.  We expect a tight battle with Santa Clara have a great shot at the outright win.  

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