Category: Freepicks

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NBA Player Prop Nov 29th

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP 27-10 YTD RECORD

ASA player prop OVER 16.5 POINTS Andrew Wiggins – Golden State Warriors

The Dallas Mavericks are one of the best defensive teams in the league when it comes to Point Guards and Shooting Guards. Where they are not good defensively is when it comes to Shooting Forwards such as Wiggins. The Mavs allow the 8th most points to SF’s this season at 21.9PPG. In the last two weeks they are 3rd worst, giving up 24PPG. In Wiggins last three games he as scored 31, 20 and 17-points. In his last ten games he has averaged 18PPG, on the season he scores 19PPG. He has failed to score 16 or more points just two times in his last ten games, once against the Suns and versus the Spurs. The Suns are one of the best teams in the league defending SF’s and he barely played against the Spurs in a blowout. With all the focus on Curry and Thompson we expect a big game from Wiggins.

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NBA Player Prop Bet – Nov 28th

ASA play on over 24.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers

ASA play on over 24.5 POINTS – Anthony Davis – LA Lakers

This NBA player prop jumped off the pages for us for a couple reasons. Davis is averaging 26.31PPG on the season and has averaged 33.4PPG over his last five games. Yes, his usage takes a hit with LeBron back in the lineup, but he has a favorable matchup against a Pacers team that gives up more points to Centers than any other team in the league at 27.6PPG. Last night the Pacers just allowed Ivica Zubac for the Clippers to pour in 31-points, which is 21-points higher than his season average.

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NBA Free Bet – Player Prop – Nov 21

ASA player prop: OVER 23.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Evan Mobley – Cleveland Cavaliers

Nobody in the NBA gives up more combined points and rebounds to power forwards than the Atlanta Hawks at 36PPG/RPG. Mobley should have a big game here scoring and rebounding considering the Hawks are 26th in the league in defensive rebound rate and rank 20th in points per game allowed. Mobley is averaging 23.81 Pts+Rebs per game this season and 25.0 in his last ten. He has totaled 22 or more points+rebounds in 6 of his last seven games.

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Liberty vs Virginia Tech prediction – By ASA

#338 ASA PLAY ON Liberty -9.5 over Virginia Tech, Saturday at 12 PM ET

Liberty is off a bad loss last week, just their 2nd loss of the season, @ UConn. The Flames lost that game 36-33 but outgained the Huskies by 156 yards. The situational spot was terrible for Liberty so we’re not surprised they weren’t at the top of their game. They had beaten Arkansas on the road a week earlier and had this huge home game vs a Power 5 team on deck. On top of that, UConn was playing for bowl eligibility in their final home game of the season and with the win the Huskies will play in the postseason for the first time since 2015. The “want to” in that game was heavily in favor of Connecticut. Not the case here with Liberty playing their final home game vs a name opponent. Va Tech has one of their worst teams in recent history with a 2-8 record. They are on the road here with absolutely nothing to play for and a home game on deck vs their arch rival Virginia. The Hokies were rolled 24-7 @ Duke last week getting outgained by 150 yards and have now lost 7 straight games. They’ve been outgained by over 1,100 yards in those 7 games and we have a feeling this team playing a meaningless non-conference game this late in the season may have tanked it. VT is 0-5 SU on the road this season (1-4 ATS) losing those games by an average of 2 TD’s. Their offense ranks outside the top 100 in total offense, rushing offense, and scoring offense. They’re facing a Liberty defense that ranks 30th nationally and has held a few potent offenses in check including allowing 19 points to Arkansas and 14 points to BYU. We’ll lay it with the much more motivated team playing one of the big boys in their own state.

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NBA Player Prop Nov 17th

ASA Player Prop OVER 21.5 POINTS – Keldon Johnson, San Antonio Spurs

The Over/Under on this game itself is 236 which tells us it’s going to be a high scoring game. These are two of the fastest paced teams in the NBA, and two of the worst when it comes to defensive efficiency. The Spurs are 29th in the league allowing 1.169-points per possession, the Kings rank 27th giving up 1.147PPP. Johnson is averaging 22.71PPG on the season and has a pair of big game recently against a comparative team to the Spurs in the Denver Nuggets. Sacramento allows the 6th most points to shooting forwards, Denver is 8th in that defensive category. Our models are projecting 25.25 points tonight for Johnson.

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