Category: Freepicks

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Nascar Cup race – Firekeepers Casino 400 – 8/6/23

ASA’s Nascar Cup race predictions for Sunday, August 6th 2023

FIREKEEPERS CASINO 400 – MICHIGAN

TOP 3 FINISH – #12 RYAN BLANEY – +$280 – We expect the #12 Ford and Blaney to be in contention for a win today in Michigan for several good reasons. A Ford has won on this track the last 8 races with Blaney capturing the Checkered flag in 2021. In last season’s race at Michigan Speedway Blaney finished 5th overall with Ford’s finishing with 3 cars in the top 5 overall. Blaney has four Top 3 finishes this season including a win in Charlotte earlier this season. The #12 is 6th overall on the season in laps led and this car has been especially fast with this specific tire setup this season. Our money is on Blaney to have a great race today.

TOP 10 FINISH – #12 RYAN BLANEY -$170 – We expect the #12 Ford and Blaney to be in contention for a win today in Michigan for several good reasons. A Ford has won on this track the last 8 races with Blaney capturing the Checkered flag in 2021. In last season’s race at Michigan Speedway Blaney finished 5th overall with Ford’s finishing with 3 cars in the top 5 overall. In the last four races on this track he has finished in the Top 10 three of four times. The #12 is 6th overall on the season in laps led and this car has been especially fast with this specific tire setup this season. Blaney has finished in the Top 10 in nearly half the races this season with ten.

TOP 10 FINISH – #20 Christopher Bell – -$180 – Bell in the Joe Gibb’s Toyota grabbed the pole for Sunday’s Cup race and is in a strong position for a Top 10 finish. Bell had a top speed of 193.282mpg in qualifying while covering the 2-mile track in just 37.232 seconds. Bell has been especially good at this track/car setup which was evident in the qualifier. Last year he started 2nd at Michigan Speedway, led for 31 laps but finished 26th after a wreck. In 22 races this season, Bell has finished Top 10 eleven times which is tied for 3rd most. He’s a bit of a chalk here but we like him in this scenario for a Top 10.

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MLB free pick | July 19th | By ASA

FREE BET IN MLB Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays

ASA Free Play Wednesday MLB Texas Rangers -105 over Tampa Bay Rays at 2:05 ET – The Rays are slumping and the Rangers are tough at home plus Texas has a pitching edge here with Jon Gray on the mound. Gray has a 3.45 ERA this season and has held batters to a .229 batting average after also holding hitters to a .222 batting average last season. The Rays are going with a bullpen game here and Tampa Bay has lost 10 of 13 games. The Rangers struggled to close out the first half of the season but are now 5-0 since the All-Star break and all signs point to 6 in a row right here. Consider Texas for a Wednesday afternoon investment on the money line. 

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Nascar predictions | Quaker State 400 | Atlanta Motor Speedway

ASA has a few Nascar wagers to make on Sunday, July 9th.

NASCAR is heading to Atlanta Speedway this weekend for the Quaker State 400. This track has undergone some reconstruction this season with new pavement and higher banked turns. The other big change was the narrowing of the straights which makes for much tighter racing conditions. Last week Nascar had a shocker when Shane Van Gisbergen won the street race in Chicago in his debut on the Cup series. We expect to see some familiar faces back in the front of the pack on the Atlanta Motor Speedway this Sunday.

TOP 10 – #2 Austin Cindric +$125 – You will see a reoccurring theme with our Nascar bets this week and that’s the support of Fords. This will be the second race run at Atlanta Motor Speedway this season and in the first race here Fords finished 1st, 2nd 7th and 11th. In four career Cup races in Atlanta, Cindric for the Roger Penske team, has a pair of solid runs with a 3rd and 11th place finish. The benefit for Cindric this weekend is strong support from his Penske teammates who should have strong showings on this large quad -oval Speedway.

RACE WINNER – #12 Ryan Blaney +$1200 – In our opinion, Blaney is a fantastic longshot this weekend to win in Atlanta. The Ford’s ran extremely well on this track earlier this race season with four cars in the top 11. One of those drivers was Ryan Blaney who finished 7th for the Roger Penske team. The #12 with Blaney behind the wheel has 5 top 10’s on this track, 4 top 5’s and a win in 2021. Blaney also had a dominating win earlier this season in Charlotte, where he led for 163 laps, which is a similar track to Atlanta’s. I’ll also have Blaney as a Top 3 finisher at +$320.

TOP 3 – #6 Brad Keselowski +$400 – Keselowski had a 2nd place finish here earlier this year and ran 1st for 47 laps which was second most behind Joey Logano. The #6 car and Keselowski have yet to win a race this season, but he does have 3 top 5 finishes and 6 top 10’s. The Atlanta track has a redesign, but Keselowski has 17 Cup races here with 10 top 10’s. Keselowski has raced 250 times on a 1-2 mile Speedway in his career and has 18 wins, 72 top 5’s and 129 top 10’s. The Ford’s have an aerodynamic advantage here and we like the #6 car to be in the running all race long.

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MLB free pick | Cubs vs. Guardians | June 30th

ASA has a MLB FREE BET for you today in baseball

ASA Free Play ON Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105) over Cleveland Guardians @ 2:20 ET – We were a dealt a tough loss with our premium pick yesterday when Cleveland, known for strong bullpen, blew a late 2-0 lead and lost in extra innings at Kansas City despite a huge 13-6 edge in hits in the game. That is a tough defeat for a team to bounce back from and now the Guardians are at Chicago a for a day game after that heart-breaking loss. The Cubs should roll here as the pitching edge of Steele (8-2, 2.62 ERA) over Quantrill (2-4, 5.61 ERA) also gives them a big edge here. Look for the home team to win big as the Cubs have seen 30 of their 37 wins this season come by at least a 2-run margin and this one should be no different. FREE PLAY on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+105)

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MLB free wager | Rangers vs. Tigers | June 29th

ASA Free Play ON Texas Rangers Money Line -160 over Detroit Tigers @ 2:05 ET -Taking pitchers out of the equation, since one could argue a case for either starting pitcher here, note the difference in the teams here as well as the home field edge for Texas which is why there is really a strong argument for the favorite in this one. The Rangers are at home where they are 26-14 plus they have gone 29-11 this season when facing teams that do not have a winning record on the season. The Tigers are 16-24 in road games this season and Detroit is 11-25 against teams with a winning record this season.  Given these numbers you can see why laying the price with the Rangers at home is absolutely worth a look in this one as the odds in favor of the road team make the price a bargain even in the -160 range on this one.  Texas is the play here. 

 

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