Category: Freepicks

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NBA free bets – Player Props Tuesday, Jan 31st

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 14.5 POINTS – Brook Lopez – Milwaukee Bucks

In analyzing Brook Lopez’s last ten games we see some low scoring numbers against the Nuggets, Cavs and Heat. Those three teams are a few of the best in the league in points allowed per game to Centers. In other games against the Pelicans, Pacers and Pistons, Lopez posted scoring numbers of 15, 15 and 21 points. The correlation we are making here is that the Hornets are the 5th worst team defending Centers this season allowing 24.7PPG and much like the Pels, Pacers and Pistons.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 26.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Jrue Holiday – Milwaukee Bucks

The oddsmakers are telling us this is going to be a high scoring game with a total set of 244.5 points. That means more scoring opportunities and more assist opportunities for Holiday. The Hornets allow the 7th most assists per game to PG’s this season at 8.6 per. They also allow the 11th most points to PG’s on average at 24.4PPG. In Holiday’s last five games he is averaging 27.2 Pts+Ass per game, in his last ten games he’s been even better yet at 31.5.

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NBA Player Props by ASA – Monday, Jan 30th

ASA Player Prop OVER 33.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Stephen Curry – Warriors

We tend to stay away from Over player props on the NBA elite as you typically don’t get value in the numbers but that’s not the case tonight. Curry will be rested here, has scored 34 and 35-points in his last two games alone and is very capable of doing so again tonight. He is averaging 6.24 rebounds per game on the season so those are just a bonus for his O/U here. OKC is 10th in points allowed per game to Point Guards and also give up 5.6 rebounds per game to that position.

ASA Player Prop OVER 24.5 POINTS DeAaron Fox – Kings

Fox is in line for a big game tonight against a Wolves team that struggles to contain PG’s. Minnesota allows the 3rd most points to point guards in the NBA at 25.3PPG. Fox was very aggressive in their game against the Wolves the other night with 29-points on 10 of 24 shooting. Expect a similar effort tonight in this quick turnaround rematch.

ASA Player Prop OVER 3.5 3-POINTERS Fred VanVleet – Raptors

There is great value with this plus money bet as VanVleet should be dialed in from deep against this Suns team. Phoenix is 20th in the NBA in 3-point percentage defense and are 7th in made 3-pointers per game allowed to PG’s this season. VanVleet has had volume 3’s in his last three games with 8, 10 and 9 attempts. He is shooting over 40% from deep in his last ten games and has a great opportunity in front of him tonight.

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NBA Player Prop Picks – ASA 2 bets for Friday, Jan 27th

ASA Player Prop OVER 24.5 POINTS – Pascal Siakam – Toronto Raptors

Siakam is poised for a big game tonight against a Warriors team that struggles against good power forwards. For the season the Warriors are the 4th worst team in the league in points allowed to PF’s and in the last two weeks it’s been even worse. Golden State is allowing 25.9PPG to PF’s in the past 14 days and Siakam is putting up over 25PPG on the season. Big night here.

ASA Player Prop OVER 32.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS – Pascal Siakam – Toronto Raptors

Siakam is poised for a big game tonight against a Warriors team that struggles against good power forwards. For the season the Warriors are the 4th worst team in the league in points allowed to PF’s and 11th in rebounds allowed at 11.6 per game. in the last two weeks it’s been even worse. Golden State is allowing 13 rebounds per game and 25.9PPG to PF’s in the past 14 days. Siakam is putting up over 33-points+rebounds per game on the season. Big night here.

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NBA Free Bets for January 25th by ASA

ASA has you covered with some free action in the NBA

ASA play on: Sacramento Kings -3.5 vs Toronto Raptors, 10PM ET

The Kings are quietly sitting 3rd in the Western Conference at 27-19 and continue to fly under the radar. Sacramento is 16-10 SU at home with a +/- of +6.6PPG which is the 6th best average in the NBA. Toronto is 6-15 SU away from home this season with an average Margin of Victory of minus -2.2PPG. The Raptors are 1-3 ATS their last four on the road. You’ll also be surprised to know the Kings have been solid ATS as a favorite this season. When laying less than double-digits the Kings have rewarded backers with a 14-8 ATS record. Sacramento is the #1 rated offensive efficiency team at home this season at 1.227-points per possession, whereas the Raptors rank 15th on the road in OEFF. The Raptors do hold an edge defensively but it’s not as great a difference as the offensive numbers that favor the Kings. Sacramento is 5-1 SU their last six at home and the five wins came by 21.6PPG. We like them here minus the short number.

ASA Team Total UNDER 124.5 POINTS – GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS

The Warriors have put up some big scores in recent games, but they came against bad defensive teams. Today they face the #1 rated defensive efficiency team in the Grizzlies who allow just 1.099-points per possession. The Warriors have faced some similar defensive teams in recent games (Cavs, Celtics, Bulls and Suns) and failed to top 120 points in any of those games. Golden State has scored more than 124 points against the Grizzlies just 1 time in their last 10 meetings. Our math model is projecting 114.6-total points for the Warriors.

ASA Player Prop OVER 25.5 POINTS+REBOUNS – Jusuf Nurkic – Portland Trailblazers

Nurkic is inline for a big game tonight against a Jazz team that allows the 5th most points to centers and the 3rd most rebounds. In two meetings this season versus the Jazz he has totaled 25 and 29 points+rebounds respectively. In his last ten games he is averaging 25Pts+Rebs and is coming off a 36 total night against the Spurs.

ASA NBA Player Prop OVER 26.5 POINTS+ASSISTS – Fred VanVleet – Toronto Raptors

VanVleet is averaging 19.1PPG on the season but in his last ten games that number has jumped up to 21.3PPG. The same can be said about is Assists statistics. For the year he is averaging 6.3APG but in his last ten games that average is 6.9APG. The Kings allow the 6th most points (24.6PPG) in the NBA to PG’s and 7.9-assists per game. There is a good chance VanVleet scores enough to get Over this number, the assists will just make it that much easier.

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NBA Player Prop Bets – Jan, 23 2023

ASA has HAMMERED the Sports Books this basketball season with a 80-46 NBA Prop Bet run! Don’t settle for the just the free picks when more winners are included in the nightly pick Service.

ASA Player Prop OVER 29.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS Nikola Vucevic – Chicago Bulls

The Hawks allow the 2nd most points to Centers this season at 25.6PPG. In the last two weeks that average has ballooned to 35.4PPG. On the year they also allow nearly 16 rebounds per game to Centers. On the season, Vucevic is averaging 17.5PPG and 11RPG but he’s been much better of late averaging 20PPG/13.6RPG in his last ten games.

ASA Player Prop OVER 9.5 POINTS Zach Collins – San Antonio Spurs

The Blazers are the worst team in the NBA when it comes to points allowed to Centers as they give up on average 27PPG. In the last two weeks it’s been even worse for the Blazers as they’ve allowed an average of 38.2PPG to C’s. They rank 23rd out of 30 teams in points allowed in the paint. In his last ten games Collins is averaging 10.8PPG on 52% shooting. He is coming off a 17-point game against the Clippers and can build on that momentum here.

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