Category: Freepicks

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NFL Wild Card Free Bet – Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans – Saturday, Jan 13

#141/142 ASA PLAY ON Over 44.5 Points – Cleveland Browns vs Houston Texans, Saturday at 4:30 PM ET

These 2 met in Houston a few weeks ago and the total was set at 40.5 as Texans QB Stroud was injured and not able to play in that one.  Despite that, Houston still put up 22 points and lost the game 36-22 which went way over the total.  Houston struggled for much of the game which was to be expected with Stroud out.  Cleveland, on the other hand, tallied over 400 yards and had opportunities to put up more than the 36 points they posted.  They were shut out on downs twice in Houston territory and only had to punt 3 times in the game.  Browns QB Flacco threw for 368 yards and 3 TD’s as they struggled to run the ball vs a very good Houston rush defense.  Look for Cleveland to have success and air it out again on offense.  Their defense has been night and day in their home vs away splits.  The Browns allow +115 more total YPG on the road and while they only give up 14 PPG at home, on the road that jumps to 30 PPG!  Their road games average 54 total points this season.  Houston’s offense has been much better at home averaging 370 YPG and 25 PPG compared to putting up only 19 PPG on the road.  Stroud is back and healthy which will make a huge difference in their offense this time around vs Cleveland.  Both like to play fast ranking in the top 8 in tempo (seconds per play) and Cleveland has run the most offensive plays in the NFL this season.  In their meeting a few weeks ago the Browns ran 74 offensive snaps and Houston ran 66 for 140 total plays.  The NFL average per game is around 126.  No quit in either offense here no matter what the situation as this is obviously win or go home.  Over is the play. 

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NBA Free Bet | Grizzlies vs Hawks prediction | Dec 23rd

ASA’s NBA FREE BET play on Memphis Grizzlies +1 vs Atlanta Hawks, 7:40PM ET

The Grizzlies are significantly better with Ja Morant on the floor as evidenced by their two wins with him back in the lineup. Today they face a Hawks team off a game last night in Miami. Atlanta is 5-13 SU their last 18 when playing without rest and they’ve lost those games by an average of minus -2.7PPG. Going back to the start of last season the Grizzlies have an average point differential of +5.1PPG when holding a rest advantage over their opponents and a 16-12 record. Atlanta took a hit when they lost up-and-coming Jalen Johnson and have just 3 wins in their last ten games. This is the Hawks 3rd game in four nights and 4th in six days so fatigue will be a factor. Memphis has two quality wins over the Pelicans and Pacers in their last two games and the numbers have not caught up with them yet.

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NFL FREE BET | GIANTS vs SAINTS prediction | December 17th

POINT TRAIN New York Giants @ New Orleans Saints – 1PM ET

WAGER – GIANTS +5.5

  • Tommy DeVito and the Giants find themselves in a 3-game winning streak and fresh off a convincing win over a Packers team that was surging up the standings.
  • A newfound ground game has made life much easier for DeVito and the passing game which makes their offense that much tougher to defend. NY is averaging 5.0-Yards Per Rush in their last three games, up from their season average of 4.1.
  • DeVito has been efficient and a game manager. In 3 games he’s 52/73 for 595 total yards with 5 TD’s to 0 INT’s.
  • The Saints defense has been in a steady decline allowing 5.3-Yards Per Play in their last three games. Prior to facing the pathetic Panthers offense last week, the Saints had allowed 27, 24 and 33 points in the three previous games.
  • The Giants defense has held 5 of their last eight opponents to 19 or less points.  
  • The Saints don’t enjoy much of a home field advantage with a 3-3 record and an average point differential of +0.2ppg.
  • Grab the points with the G-Men

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    NFL free bet | Vikings vs Bengals prediction | December 16

    ASA’s FREE NFL play on UNDER 40.5 Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals, Saturday 1PM ET

    NFL free bet from ASA on Saturday, December 16th. The Bengals w/Jake Browning under center scoring-fest is about to come crashing back down to earth this week when he faces this Vikings defense. Minnesota just pitched a shutout in Las Vegas and has allowed 12 total points in the past two games. The Vikings defense has allowed 19 or less points in 7 of their last ten games. Minnesota ranks 10th in total yards per game allowed, 8th in yards per play allowed, 5th against the run and allows the 14th least passing yards per game. In their last three games the Vikes defense is giving up just 4.7 yards per play. Browning and the Bengals put up 34-points against the Colts and Jaguars in the past two weeks but neither of those two defenses are as good as the one they’ll face on Saturday. The Bengals defense has been atrocious this season but the Vikings with QB Mullins won’t be able to exploit that weakness. It won’t help that the Vikings will be without RB Mattison who is out here. In their last three games the Vikings are averaging just 4.5YPP and averaging 1-point scored for every 26 yards gained. The Bengals are allowing 6.5YPP on the season but have showed improvement in their last 3 games allowing just 5.5YPP. We would love to see this line go to 41 for a better number but will make a small wager or free NFL bet on Under 40.5.

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    Free bet | George Mason vs Tennessee prediction | Dec 5th

    ASA free play on: UNDER 137 George Mason at Tennessee, 6:30PM ET

    The Volunteers are one of the very best defensive teams in college basketball under HC Barnes year in and year out and this season is no different. UT ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency ratings allowing .903 points per possession despite playing the 6th toughest schedule in college basketball. The Vols are coming off a game in which they allowed 100-points to North Carolina so we’re betting they will be in ‘lock down’ mode here against a very deliberate George Mason offense. The Patriots rank 331st in adjusted tempo and 301st in average possession length. GM is 313th in total field goal attempts per game at 55.8. They are above average in field goal percentage shooting, but they haven’t faced a defense of this quality and the Vols allow opponents to hit just 39.3% from the field. Tennessee isn’t a great shooting team themselves at 43.2% which ranks 256th and they are only slightly faster than average in pace. George Mason allowing 1.018 points per possession which ranks them top third in college hoops and they own the 37th best Effective FG% against.

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