Category: Freepicks

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Free bet | Georgia State vs App State prediction | Nov 11

#156 ASA PLAY ON Georgia State -2 over App State, Saturday at 2 PM ET

Free bet today or Georgia State vs App State prediction. Value here with GSU coming of 2 losses vs Ga Southern & JMU while App State is off 2 home wins vs low tier conference teams USM and Marshall.  App State is 1-3 SU on the road with only win over UL Monroe by 1 point which was far from an impressive road win.  ULM is just 1-7 on the season vs FBS teams with their only win coming over Army by 4 points.  Geogia State has played the much tougher Sun Belt schedule so far having faced JMU, Troy, Ga Southern, and ULL (all of the top teams in the league).  App State has yet to play either of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt, JMU and Troy.  Georgia State should control ground game in this one which is key.  They have a very good running team averaging 187 YPG and App State is 123rd defensively vs the run allowing 195 YPG.  The Mountaineers remain overvalued having covered just once in their last 5 games.  We like Georgia State as a small home favorite as todays free bet.

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FREE NFL BET – Nov 5th – Rams vs Packers prediction

ASA PLAY ON: UNDER 19.5 TOTAL POINTS 1ST HALF – RAMS @ PACKERS 1PM ET

The Packers’ first half struggles are well documented as they are one of the slowest starting teams in the NFL. Going in reverse order the Packers first half points have been: 3, 0, 3, 3 and 0 in their past five games. In their first two teams they scored 10 and 9-points so even those games weren’t high scoring. The Packers average just 4.1PPG in the 1st half which is lowest in the league. The Rams are below average in 1st half scoring at 11PPG and we can expect a regression with Brett Rypien starting for the injured Matt Stafford. We don’t see these two teams getting to 20-points in the first half.

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NFL Bears vs Chargers prediction – Oct 29th

ASA play on UNDER 46.5 POINTS Chicago Bears @ LA Chargers – 8:20PM ET

Despite money and tickets flowing in on the Over in this game the line has trended down from 48 and currently sits at 46.5. Scoring continues to be down in the NFL this season with games averaging 43.4PPG. Unders are hitting at a near 60% this season and the TV night games have been especially profitable with the Under. The Bears are coming off a misleading final last week when they scored 30 points on just 320 total yards of offense. That 10.7 yards per point is significantly better than the 15.2YPPT they averaged going into last week’s game. Chicago kept their game plan very simple for QB Bagent with most throws being check downs. The Bears will try and rely on their running game here that is 5th in the league in rushing yards per game, 7th in attempts and 5th in yards per rush. Chicago’s defense has shown improvement as they allowed an average of 34.5PPG in their first four games of the season and just 17PPG in their last three. The Chargers offense has managed just 24, 17 and 17 points in their last three games and speculation is that Herbert’s finger on his throwing hand is a problem for the young QB. Los Angeles is averaging just 15.2 yards per point which is below league average and have had problems sustain drives as evidenced by their 3rd down conversion rate of 39.02% which is 19th in the league. Bet Under here.

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Free Bet – Air Force vs. Colorado State – Oct 28th

ASA play on: #162 Colorado State +14 vs. Air Force, 7:00PM ET

We are on the home dog here with the Rams plus the points in this rivalry as our free bet. The points are a premium here with the oddsmakers projecting around 46 total points being scored. Air Force has played three road games with wins at 0-8 Sam Houston State, at 3-5 San Jose State and 3-4 Navy. The Falcons have put up some impressive offensive numbers, but they’ve come against Utah State, San Jose State, San Diego State who all rank 91st or worse in total defense and Wyoming who is 73rd. Granted, Colorado State is bad defensively, one of the worst in college football, but they have given up the majority of their yards via the pass at 308 passing yards per game allowed. The Rams actually allow just 3.9 yards per rush which is around the national average. Air Force relies heavily on their running game which is best in the nation in rushing yards per game at 306. Colorado State is coming off a close loss against an improved 6-1 UNLV team where they managed 5.8 yards per play while allowing 5.9YPP. The Falcons are coming off a game against the option Naval Academy and now must travel to CSU to face an entirely different offense. The Rams complete 63.7% of their pass attempts which is 37th best in college football and complete 28.6 pass attempts per game for 336.4YPG which is 6th most in CFB. Last year the Falcons were favored by 22-points at home and won by 12. They are clearly over-valued here so let’s grab the live home dog with backdoor ability as today’s free bet.

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NBA free bet – Ivica Zubac – Player Prop Oct 27th

ASA NBA Player Prop bet – OVER 10.5 POINTS – Ivica Zubac – LA Clippers

Zubac is coming off a solid 20-point game in the Clippers opener against the Blazers and while we doubt he’ll get to 20 tonight, we do expect him to eclipse 11. Against the Blazer Zubac had 10 field goal attempts with 5 offensive rebounds. The Jazz struggled to defend centers last season allowing the 7th most points to that position at 23.8PPG. Last season the Jazz allowed the 5th most offensive rebounds to opponents which means Zubac should get a few easy put-backs here. In all four meetings last season, Zubac managed 12+ points in every meeting. Bet OVER 10.5 POINTS Ivica Zubac.

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