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NFL free bet | Vikings vs Bengals prediction | December 16

ASA’s FREE NFL play on UNDER 40.5 Minnesota Vikings at Cincinnati Bengals, Saturday 1PM ET

NFL free bet from ASA on Saturday, December 16th. The Bengals w/Jake Browning under center scoring-fest is about to come crashing back down to earth this week when he faces this Vikings defense. Minnesota just pitched a shutout in Las Vegas and has allowed 12 total points in the past two games. The Vikings defense has allowed 19 or less points in 7 of their last ten games. Minnesota ranks 10th in total yards per game allowed, 8th in yards per play allowed, 5th against the run and allows the 14th least passing yards per game. In their last three games the Vikes defense is giving up just 4.7 yards per play. Browning and the Bengals put up 34-points against the Colts and Jaguars in the past two weeks but neither of those two defenses are as good as the one they’ll face on Saturday. The Bengals defense has been atrocious this season but the Vikings with QB Mullins won’t be able to exploit that weakness. It won’t help that the Vikings will be without RB Mattison who is out here. In their last three games the Vikings are averaging just 4.5YPP and averaging 1-point scored for every 26 yards gained. The Bengals are allowing 6.5YPP on the season but have showed improvement in their last 3 games allowing just 5.5YPP. We would love to see this line go to 41 for a better number but will make a small wager or free NFL bet on Under 40.5.

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Free bet | George Mason vs Tennessee prediction | Dec 5th

ASA free play on: UNDER 137 George Mason at Tennessee, 6:30PM ET

The Volunteers are one of the very best defensive teams in college basketball under HC Barnes year in and year out and this season is no different. UT ranks 2nd in defensive efficiency ratings allowing .903 points per possession despite playing the 6th toughest schedule in college basketball. The Vols are coming off a game in which they allowed 100-points to North Carolina so we’re betting they will be in ‘lock down’ mode here against a very deliberate George Mason offense. The Patriots rank 331st in adjusted tempo and 301st in average possession length. GM is 313th in total field goal attempts per game at 55.8. They are above average in field goal percentage shooting, but they haven’t faced a defense of this quality and the Vols allow opponents to hit just 39.3% from the field. Tennessee isn’t a great shooting team themselves at 43.2% which ranks 256th and they are only slightly faster than average in pace. George Mason allowing 1.018 points per possession which ranks them top third in college hoops and they own the 37th best Effective FG% against.

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Free College Basketball bet | Vermont vs Yale | Dec 2nd

ASA play on: #306568 Vermont -1.5 vs. Yale, 7PM ET

Vermont enjoys a key advantage in this game with the 30th best shooting offense in the country. The Catamounts hit 47% of their FG attempts (30th), 36.4% of their 3-point attempts (40th) and make on average 13 3-pointers per game which is 13th most in the nation. Yale is not known for their defense either as they rank 156h in opponents FG% at 42% and 227th in 3PT% defense allowing 33.5% from beyond the Arc. Home court will certainly be an advantage for Vermont who is 17-1 SU their last 18 at home with an average +/- of +19.4PPG. In comparison, Yale is 9-10 SU their last 19 on the road. Last season these two met in Yale and the Bulldogs won 73-44 as a 1-point favorite. The year before Vermont won at home by 8-points. We are backing the home team with revenge in this one.  

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Free Bet | Oklahoma State vs Texas Prediction | Dec 2

#310 ASA FREE PLAY ON Texas TEAM TOTAL Over 34.5 Points (vs Oklahoma State), Saturday at 12 PM ET

There are some 35’s and 35.5’s posted as well but 34.5 is still available as some sportsbooks.  We like the Longhorns to score at least 35 points in this game so we’re taking Texas OVER their TEAM TOTAL which is currently set at 34.5.  One key to this game is Texas absolutely needs style points so we expect them to keep scoring even if they do get a big lead (favored by 15 points).  They will most likely be one of many 1 loss teams fighting for a spot in the CFP Final 4.  The Horns already showed last week they’re fine with running up the score at this point beating Texas Tech 57-7 while scoring their final TD with just over 30 seconds remaining in the game.  They should be very successful on offense here facing an Okie State defense that ranks outside the top 100 nationally in YPG allowed, YPP allowed, rushing yards allowed, and passing yards allowed.  The OSU defense will have to pick their poison here as Texas is very balanced averaging 189 YPG rushing and 272 YPG passing.  The Longhorn offense has scored at least 30 points in 10 of their 12 games this year and in many of those they had big leads and no incentive to keep scoring which they do here.  They’ve also scored at least 35 points in 4 of their last 5 meetings vs Oklahoma State.  Perfect conditions with this game being played inside at the Cowboys home field.  Over 34.5 Points for Texas in this game is our play. 

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NBA Prop Bets – Monday, Nov 27th

ASA’s 2 NBA Players Prop bets in the NBA for Monday, November 27th

WASHINGTON WIZARDS TYUS JONES – OVER 11.5 POINTS

Jones is coming off a 4-point outing against the Hawks but should get right in this match up versus the Pistons. Jones is averaging 10.8PPG over his last ten games but in three of those games he managed just 6-total points. In the other seven games over that ten game stretch he has averaged 14.5PPG. Tonight, the Wiz face a Detroit team that allows the most points to Point Guards this season at 28.5PPG. Detroit is 24th in defensive efficiency allowing 1.178 points per possession on the season and allow opponents to shoot 50.3% on the season which is 30th or last in the league. Tyus Jones is coming off a poor shooting night against the Hawks, but he had shot 64.3%, 46.2%, 69.2%, 57.1% and 85.7% in his previous five games. Lastly, the Total on this game is 236 total points which means a high scoring game for both teams with more than average scoring opportunities for both teams.

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS MALCOLM BROGDON – OVER 19.5 POINTS

What we know about Malcolm Brogdon going back to his Virginia days is that he likes to get his. Brogdon is working hard this season to put up numbers to showcase his skills before the trade deadline. He is second on the teams in field goal attempts at 15.8 and averages 17.7PPG on the season. In the last three games he has scored 18, 20 and 19 points. He has scored 18+ in 7 of his last ten games and will have a great opportunity to put up a big scoring night against the Pacers. Indiana averages the most possessions per game at 104.1 and attempt 95.1 field goals per game which is also first. That means this is going to be a faster paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities for the Blazers and more specifically Malcolm Brogdon. Brogdon is shooting 36.5% from beyond the Arc this season and the Pacers defense allows opponents to shoot 39.1% from the 3-point line which is 3rd worst in the league. Brogdon should put up a big scoring night against a Pacer defense that is 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and allow the 4th most points to Point Guards in the league.

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