Category: Freepicks

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NBA free pick today | Suns vs Blazers | Feb 1 2025

ASA NBA free pick play on Portland Trailblazers +4 vs. Phoenix Suns – 10PM ET

The Blazers are playing extremely well right now with a 6-1 SU record in their last seven games and the loss was a competitive game at home against the Thunder.

Trailblazer bettors have been rewarded with 7 straight cashes against the spread. In this current 7-game stretch the Blazers have the best Net Rating in the NBA at +12.1.

Phoenix is coming off a big win last night against Golden State and the Suns haven’t been a good bet when playing without rest with a 2-5-1 ATS record this season. They’ve lost those ‘unrested’ games by an average of -5.5ppg. Looking at the Suns last 7 games we see they have a Net Rating of +4.3, 16th Offensively, 11th Defensively.

Portland has owned the glass in their last 7 games with a Rebound % of 53.1 which is 2nd best in the league. Phoenix ranks 12th in REB% over their last 7 games at 50.5.

Portland has been a solid home dog this season with a 13-8 ATS record. It won’t be a surprise if the Blazers win this game outright.  NBA free pick today.

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Free NBA Bet | Player Prop bet | Friday, January 31st 2025

Free NBA play OVER 24.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS+ASSISTS – Immanuel Quickley – Toronto Raptors

Quickley gets a very favorable match up tonight against the Bulls who are a dumpster fire right now and don’t defend well. The Bulls are 23rd in the NBA in DEFF allowing 1.161PPP on the season and have the 25th worst EFG% defense over their last ten games. They give up the 7th most points to PG’s at 24.3ppg, the 3rd most assists and the most rebounds per game. Quickley has missed most of the season and returned to action on January 1st. Since then, he has totaled more than 24.5 P+R+A in 4 of six games and is average 26.17 in that 6-game stretch.

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NBA Free Bet daily | Bucks vs Jazz | January 27 2025

ASA NBA play on OVER 236.5 Milwaukee Bucks at Utah Jazz, 9pm ET

The Jazz are one of, if not the worst defense in the league. Utah allows 1.191-points per possession, only the Wizards allow more. The Jazz rank 26th in opponents FG%, 27th in total points allowed per game and 14.3 made 3-pointers per game (27th). Utah has allowed 123+ points in four straight, 111 or more in 7 in a row. The Bucks are going to score 125 or more in this game with an offense that is 11th in OEFF at 1.147PPP, ranks 6th in FG% and 2nd in 3PT%. Milwaukee makes the 6th most 3-pointers in the NBA at 14.3 per game. The Bucks have scored 117 or more points in 6 straight games and 122+ in five of those six. Utah is 20th in Offensive Efficiency at 1.119PPP and average 111.3ppg with 13.8 made 3-pointers per game (11th). We need Utah to get to the 112 range for this Over to hit and we expect them to get there as they’ve scored that in 5 of their last six games. Milwaukee is 10th in pace of play, the Jazz are 14th so we should get plenty of possessions to push this Over the number.

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Free College Basketball Bet | Houston vs Kansas | Jan 25 2025

#765/766 ASA FREE BET ON Under 128.5 Points – Houston vs Kansas, Saturday at 6:30 PM ET

The 2 strongest units on each team are easily the defenses.  Both rank in the top 5 nationally in defensive efficiency and Houston ranks #1 in the country in PPG allowed while KU ranks #16.  Both defenses also match up very well vs the opposing offense.  Kansas does not shoot many 3’s (289th in 3 point attempts) so most of their work is done inside the arc.  Houston just happens to be the #1 defense in the nation defending inside the arc allowing opponents to make only 39% of their 2 point attempts.  On the other end, Houston makes 8.5 triples per game (111th) but the Kansas defense has been outstanding defending beyond the arc giving up just 28% which is good for 10th in the country..  Houston defense allows only 17.9 made FG’s per game which is ridiculous (1st nationally) while KU only allows 22 made FG’s per game (23rd best).  So in order to put up some points in this game, these teams better get to the FT line which we don’t see happening very often.  Houston ranks 334th in percentage of points from the FT line and Kansas ranks 364th (dead last) in that metric.  These teams have combined to play 34 games this season and 29 of them have gone Under the total.  Add another Under to the ledger here as we expect a low scoring, grinder type game.  

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NBA free bet Heat vs Trailblazers | Jan 11th 2025

ASA’s NBA play on Portland Trailblazers +3.5 vs. Miami Heat, 10PM ET

I may regret backing the Blazers here as I typically don’t like betting teams in their first home game off an extended road trip but there are enough other positives to back Portland here.

Let’s face it, not all NBA players are 100% motivated on a nightly basis, which can make games difficult to predict. I’m betting the Blazers will be ready for this Heat team after losing to them by 60-points in late March a year ago. That is not a typo…60-point beat down by the Heat in Miami.

The Heat are without suspended Jimmy Butler and 2-3 SU their last five games. They are coming off a pair of road wins against the Warriors and Jazz, but the Heat have struggled as a road favorite this season going 1-6 ATS.

On that note, the Blazers have made backers money as a home underdog with a 9-5 ATS record.

Miami isn’t a great shooting team so we see them exploiting a bad Blazer FG% defense to win this game by margin.

Lastly, there was an immediate influx of money on the Heat, yet the line didn’t move as it normally would have in the Miami’s favor. We will make a light bet on the Blazers and the points tonight.

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