Author: Lee Kostroski

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NBA free bet from ASA Oct 26

ASA NBA free bet for October 26th 2022

ASA play on: OVER 233 San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves, 8PM ET

This is a home-home series as these same two teams just met on Oct 24th in Minnesota. That game finished with 221 points and had a posted Total of 235. That game could have easily gone over the number but each team had an abnormal quarter. After putting up a combined 124-points in the first half it looked like a sure Over bet winner. Then the Wolves managed just 14-points in the 3rd quarter while the Spurs put up 12-points in the 4th. We should see another high scoring affair here with two teams that like to play fast. The Spurs are 4th in pace of play, the T-Wolves are 5th so we know there will be plenty of possession for a high scoring game. Minnesota is 13th in defensive efficiency, the Spurs are 21st so neither are exceptional on that end of the floor. San Antonio is scoring 117PPG, Minnesota is putting up 115.8PPG. Last season when these two teams met they put huge totals in 2 of the four games with 288 and 248-points. The oddsmakers lowered this Total by a few points so let’s grab the value and bet OVER.

Player Prop: OVER 35.5 POINTS + ASSISTS – Donovan Mitchell Cleveland Cavaliers

Let’s start with the Magic defense when it specifically comes to shooting guards. On average the Magic allow 26.23PPG and 8.39APG to shooting guards. That’s a recipe for disaster going up against one of the better SG’s in the NBA in Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell is scoring 33.3PPG and averaging 7.0APG this season. We know he will get plenty of usage tonight as point guard Darius Garland is out. On the season Mitchell averages 38 minutes per game. A unique aspect to this bet is the fact Mitchell could score enough to cash this Over without registering an assist. Overall, Orlando is 23rd in defensive efficiency as a team and they give up over 115PPG so the Cavs should put up a big number in this one.

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NBA Player Prop Tuesday, Oct 25 2022

NBA Player Prop from ASA – OVER 9.5 rebounds Pistons – Isaiah Stewart

ASA PLAY ON: OVER 9.5 REBOUNDS Player Prop: Isaiah Stewart Detroit Pistons – Stewart is averaging 10.67 rebounds per game this season and is the 8th highest rebounder among centers this season. Going back to last season he has had double-digit rebounds in 6 of his last ten games. When it comes to Centers specifically, the Wizards were one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA a year ago. This season the Wiz rank 24th in rebounds allowed per game to Centers at 17.40. Stewart’s minutes are up this season as is his rebounding numbers after averaging an impressive 8.7 boards per game a season ago in 71 games played. The Pistons are one of the highest possessions per game teams in the NBA which also helps our cause here with Stewart’s Over the total NBA Player Prop.

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NHL free pick Philadelphia Flyers vs NJ Devils prediction – Oct 13th

ASA NFL pick for Thursday Oct 13th 2022

#6 ASA PLAY ON Philadelphia Flyers +115 on the Money Line over New Jersey Devils NHL prediction, Thursday at 7:05 PM ET – These two teams finished with nearly identical records in the standings last season. Even though the Devils are projected to, and should, be the better team this season this will not be an easy game for them. Flyers will be fired up at home and under their new head coach John Tortorella. He is a veteran head coach that demands effort on the ice and could be the “kick in the pants” this team needed. Philly being at home here is also key as goalie Carter Hart has had stronger numbers overall on home ice in comparison with road starts throughout his career. Look for the Flyers to surprise here and we love fading the line move in games like this where the line has swung so much. Philly opened as a small favorite and now the Devils are as high as a -135 favorite. If this game was in New Jersey we would feel differently but Philadelphia is going to have a ton of emotion and effort for their first game of the season on home ice and we look for Hart to have a big game between the pipes too. We think we’re getting some nice value getting this underdog at +115 in this one on home ice with the Flyers.

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NFL Player Props for Oct 9th

NFL Player Props for Week 5 in the NFL – ASA

Kenny Pickett Over 18.5 Rush Yards (-115)

Last week Pickett rushed for 15 yards on 6 carries, also punching in 2 rushing touchdowns. Additionally, the rookie from Pitt threw 3 Ints on his 13 pass attempts. With a full week of first team reps, Pickett will lead the Steelers into Buffalo for a baptism by fire. Mike Tomlin will pull out all the stops to get his team off a 3 game losing streak, including utilizing his QBs running ability to limit turnovers. Pickett will need to scramble regularly in a game that the Steelers should be playing from behind. 

Cooper Kupp Over 8.5 Recs (-105)

Kupp is arguably the best WR in football currently, averaging 10.5 receptions per game so far this year. Sean McVay schemes Kupp open and Matthew Stafford rarely looks to go elsewhere with the ball. Dallas has been stingy against the pass, ranking 6th in pass yards per game in 2022. However, Kupp should continue to see massive volume in the short and intermediate route concepts that will allow the Rams to get the ball out quick. 

DJ Moore Under 50.5 Rec Yards (-115)

The Panthers offense has been abysmal this year, ranking dead last in yards per game. Everyone thought Baker Mayfield would be an upgrade over Sam Darnold, but we’ve seen much of the same. DJ Moore is averaging 34.5 yards per game, and is fresh off an uninspiring 6 for 50 against the Cardinals depleted secondary. San Francisco’s defense ranks first in both sacks and points allowed, making for a long afternoon for Carolina’s offense.   

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Free College Bet Kent State vs Miami OH prediction

Free College Bet – Kent State -5.5 at Miami OH, 3:30PM ET

Free college bet brought to you by ASA. These were the two favorites to win the MAC East this season, but Miami lost their starting QB Gabbert and have struggled without him. Backup Aveon Smith is a capable runner, but he’s thrown for under 155 passing yards in every start this season which makes Miami one-dimensional on offense.  If you happened to miss it, last week Kent State put up over 735 total yards of offense in a win over Ohio U. The 31-points they scored in that game should have been more, but key turnovers or fumbles cost them multiple points. Kent has played one of the toughest schedules in college football with three games against Oklahoma, Washington and Georgia. That’s a big reason why you can throw out their defensive rankings for the season which have them near the bottom in several key categories. Interestingly enough, the Redhawks have some dismal defensive numbers of their own, but they haven’t faced near the schedule Kent has. Miami’s two toughest games were against Kentucky and Cincinnati which they lost by 24 and 21-points respectively. Last week the Golden Flashes RB Marquez Cooper had 240-rushing yards against Ohio U and we expect another big game from him here.