Author: Lee Kostroski

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Free College Bet today – Georgia vs. Florida, 2-17-24

Free pick today from ASA – Georgia +3 over Florida – Saturday at 1 PM ET

These same 2 teams played a few weeks ago @ Florida and Gators won in OT and Gators were +8 FT’s made yet still almost lost. There is a big difference in home/road splits as Florida is 2-4 SU on the road this season and Georgia 11-3 at home.

When it comes to betting value it lies with the Bulldogs today. UGA who is +3 in this game and most recent home game they were -1.5 vs South Carolina who is 9-3 in SEC in 2nd place and 21-4 overall. The reason we are getting that added value is a results of Georgia’s recent 5-game losing streak. Looking closer we see in those 5 defeats; three losses were on the road and the two home losses were vs Bama and South Carolina who are in 1st and 2nd place in the SEC.

Florida has won 6 of 7 but four of those were at home and 3 of those six wins came by 2 points or less or in OT. We are also catching Florida looking ahead to 1st place Alabama next on the schedule.

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Free College Basketball Bet | 2/15/24 | Rutgers vs Northwestern

#718 ASA PLAY ON Rutgers vs Northwestern Prediction, Thursday at 6:30 PM ET

ASA BET: RUTGERS -3.5 vs Northwestern – Rutgers is peaking right now to say the least having won 3 in a row, 2 of those wins on the road, and in their most recent game on Saturday they rolled Wisconsin, one of the top teams in the Big 10, by 22 points. 

Much of that has been their outstanding defense holding 3 straight opponents to less than 60 points and all scored fewer than 0.87 PPP, but the offense received a boost as well.  That’s because Temple transfer, Jeremiah Williams, finally was on the court the last 3 games after missing the first 20 games of the season.  Williams has scored 42 points, grabbed 16 board, and had 9 assists in those 3 wins giving them a huge offensive boost. 

If the offense continues to improve, watch out.  They should play well in this one vs a NW defense that has struggled all year ranking dead last in the Big 10 in eFG% allowed.  The Rutgers defense ranks 2nd nationally in efficiency and have allowed opponents to shoot only 36% at home while giving up only 60 PPG. 

They are catching Northwestern in a bad spot.  The Cats are off back to back home wins vs Nebraska & Penn State, however this team has been flat out poor on the road with a 1-5 SU record with their only road win coming @ PSU by 4 points in a game the Nittany Lions blew and 2nd half double digit lead.  On top of that, NW will be playing without one of their key starters, Ty Berry, who injured his knew 2 games ago vs Nebraska and is now out of the season.  He is their top 3 point shooter and averages 12 PPG.  He would also be key in this game vs the Rutgers full court pressure so his absence will be a problem here. 

We feel the Scarlet Knights will be a problem for a number of teams down the stretch and call for a home win and cover on Thursday night. ASA’s Free College Basketball Bet for Thursday, February 14th.

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NBA Free Pick Today | Celtics vs Nets | 2-13-24

ASA’s Free NBA play on OVER 228.5 Boston Celtics at Brooklyn Nets, 7:30PM ET

Tonight, we will bet the OVER in this Eastern Conference showdown. The Celtics are going to get to 120+ in this game as they average that number on the season.

Boston is #1 in the league in offensive efficiency at 1.213-points per possession and has the 6th best Effective Field Goal percentage at 56.8%. The C’s should have an easy go of it on the offensive end of the court against a Nets defense that ranks 18th in defensive efficiency and allows 115.4PPG. The Nets defense has been even worse in their last five games allowing 1.228-points per possession and 120.6PPG.

Boston is the 7th best 3-point shooting team in the league and should exploit a Brooklyn D that ranks 24th in opponents 3PT% allowed. We will need Brooklyn to score in this game but if they get to around 110 this game should go Over rather easily. The Nets average 113.9PPG on the season and do it with volume shooting as they rank 4th in FG attempts per game. We expect a total of 230 or more points. NBA free pick today is on this game Over the total.

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Florida vs Auburn Prediction | 2-10-24 | Free Bet today

#692 ASA Free pick ON Florida +2 over Auburn, Saturday at 3:30 PM ET

Auburn is in a potential flat spot here after getting their revenge over in state rival Bama earlier this season.  They did just that earlier this year after losing @ Alabama in late January the Tigers turned around and lost again @ Mississippi State a few days later.  While the Tigers were completely focused on knocking off the Tide on Wednesday, the Gators have had a full week off since losing by 1 point @ Texas A&M last Saturday. 

Florida was rolling nicely prior to the 1 point loss having won 5 of their previous 6 games.  They are 9-1 at home this year with their only loss coming by 2 points vs Kentucky, a game the Gators blew a double digit lead.  Florida was favored by 3.5 in that game and they’ve been favored in every home game this season until today.  Auburn is a perfect 12-0 at home, however on the road they are just 3-3 on the season and since the start of last season the Tigers have a SU record of 7-11 in true road games. 

Florida hits 50% of their shots at home and averages 90 PPG and they’ve beaten Auburn 14 straight times in Gainesville.  The last time the Tigers win @ Florida was in February of 1996.  We’ll take the points with the home team.  

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NBA Free picks | Bucks vs Mavs | Warriors vs Hawks | 2-3-24

ASA NBA FREE BETS or NBA PICKS – PLAYER PROP BETS FOR FEBRUARY 3RD, 2024

ASA Player Prop – Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks OVER 19.5 POINTS+REBOUNDS

We will start with the Vegas betting lines on this game and the Over/Under which is set at 246. That tells us this is potentially going to be a very high scoring game for both teams with plenty of possessions, shots taken and rebound opportunities.

Middleton is inline for a big game today versus this Mavs defense that is 22nd in defensive efficiency rating allowing 1.182PPP.

K-Midd has seen his minutes go up gradually with each passing game and has basically played 30+ minutes in 5-straight games.

In his last six games he has totaled 22 or more Points+Rebounds and is averaging 21 in his last ten games.

The Mavericks allow the 6th most points to SF at 23.6PPG and the 4th most rebounds at 8.3RPG.

ASA Player Prop – Steph Curry Golden State Warriors OVER 5.5 ASSISTS

Both teams are coming off games last night, but the Warriors had a comfortable win in Memphis while the Hawks were in a dogfight with Phoenix.

Curry played 32+ minutes which is less than his average per game so his usage should be normal tonight in this second night of a back-to-back.

The O/U on this game is 244 which means a ton of possessions for both teams and more opportunities for points and assists.

Curry may have a harder time scoring with the longer defender of DeJounte Murry guarding him but that should open up more opportunities to create scoring chances for teammates.

Curry is averaging 6.3APG over his last ten games and has been over 5.5 in 8 of his last nine games.

The Hawks give up the 5th most APG to PG’s on the season at 9.2APG and when these same two teams squared off a few weeks ago, Curry finished with 8 assists.

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