Author: Lee Kostroski

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WNBA Free Bet today | May 24th 2024

ASA WNBA Free play on LA Sparks +1.5 vs Indiana Fever, 10PM ET

Our model as the Sparks favored at home here so we will gladly take the points with the better team. Indiana is 0-5 SU on the season, the Sparks are 1-2 SU. Los Angeles was recently a 2-point favorite at home in their most recent game, which was a win over Washington, who we grade slightly better than the Fever.

L.A.’s two losses have come against an improved Atlanta team and the Champs from a season ago on the road in Las Vegas. Indiana has faced a tough early season slate themselves and have lost two straight close games to Connecticut and Seattle.

The Sparks will have the two best players on the floor in Derica Hamby who is averaging 22PPG, 13.7 RPG and 2.0SPG and has a pair of double-doubles this season. Kia Nurse is averaging 16.3PPG on 54.5% shooting overall and 45% from beyond the Arc. Her 3PT% is second best in the league among players with 6 or more 3PT attempts per game.

L.A. has won 8 of the last ten meetings outright with the Fever and we like them to get a W at home tonight.

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NBA Playoffs Prop Bet | May 22nd 2025

ASA NBA PLAYER PROP BET ON: UNDER 12.5 POINTS – PJ WASHINGTON – DALLAS MAVERICKS

Washington comes into this game averaging 14.2PPG in his last ten, but that is with him exploding for 29, 27 and 21 points in three games against the Thunder.

His usage was up significantly as the Thunder focused their defensive effort on Luka and Kyrie. Washington attempted 18, 23 and 19 field goals in those games which are much higher than his regular season average of 11 FGA’s per game.  

On the season he averages 13.06PPG.

Minnesota has one of, if not the best defense in the NBA. The Wolves allowed 1.09 points per possession this season which was best in the NBA. They faced the Suns and Nuggets in the playoffs who were both top 9 in offensive efficiency ratings this season and still allowed just 1.095PPP.

The Mavs have gone from attempting 89.7 field goals per game in the regular season to 83.7 in the Playoffs and we know Luka and Kyrie are both going to dominate FGA’s in this one.

Minnesota allowed the second fewest points to power forwards on the season and have several player they can defend Washington win.

Under 12.5 points PJ Washington.

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WNBA Free Bet | May 20th | 2024

ASA FREE WNBA bet on New York Liberty (-12) vs. Seattle Storm, Monday, May 20th 7PM ET

The Liberty have a clear scheduling advantage here with a day of rest compared to the Storm who are playing the second of a back-to-back and 3rd game in four days. New York was 15-5 SU at home last season, the Storm were 7-13 SU away.

Seattle has gotten off to a slow 1-2 start this season, the Liberty are off to a 3-0 start. New York failed to cover the season opener against Washington, who has exceeded expectations, then beat the Fever twice badly. Seattle will be playing their third straight road game where they have had their fair share of struggles.

The Storm had the 3rd worst Net differential on the road a year ago at -5.9 and had an average loss margin away from home of -4.6PPG. With the scheduling advantage we like the Liberty big in this one.

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NBA Free Player Prop Bets | May 19th | 2024

ASA play on UNDER 11.5 Rebounds Josh Hart – NY Knicks

Hart suffered an abdominal strain in the previous game and played just 30 minutes after logging 43+ in 3 of the first 6 games of this series. He was clearly hurt in Game 6 and this is the type of injury that can easily be aggravated. Hart’s greatest asset is his toughness and willingness to go after every loss ball or rebound. He is one of the better rebounding guards in the NBA but today we don’t see him getting to double-digit boards in what could be a limited capacity. Hart is averaging 11.4 rebounds per game in his last 10 games so slightly Under this Total and he has averaged just 7.3 RPG in the last three games of this series.

ASA play on OVER 21.5 Points Pascal Siakam – Indiana Pacers

When you talk about the Pacers, naturally the conversation revolves around Haliburton, but Siakam is the guy you can count on most for scoring in clutch situations. We know Siakam’s usage rate will be high in this elimination game and the Knicks are without their best defender in Anunoby and Josh Hart is not 100%. Siakam had his way in Game 6 with 25-points on 11 of 21 shooting but only played 30 minutes in the Pacers win. He has scored 22+ points against the Knicks in 3 of the last four games and the game he didn’t post a big scoring number was the blowout home win in Game 4 when he played just 22 minutes. Siakam will get his share of looks in this game and should see field goal attempts of 19 which will be enough to push his scoring total Over the number.

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WNBA prediction | Chicago Sky | Future Bet | May 13th

ASA WNBA FUTURE WAGER – OVER 11.5 WINS CHICAGO SKY

ASA WNBA FUTURE WAGER – OVER 13.5 WINS CHICAGO SKY

This gritty Sky team won 18 games a year ago with 11 of those coming on the road. Chicago had the 6th best offensive Net Rating in the league at 101.3 and were 7th in defensive Net Rating at 103.4. They were the 3rd best EFG% team in the league at 50.1%. They were the 8th slowest paced team in the league which kept them competitive in most games with a lower possession rate. Despite their overall losing record they had an acceptable average loss margin of minus -1.6PPG.

The Sky made some key additions through the draft with 6’7 Kamilla Cardoso from the National Champions South Carolina. Cardoso will have a huge impact in the WNBA this season, rebounding and as a rim protector. Unfortunately for the Sky she will miss the first few weeks of the season with a shoulder injury. Another top draft pick was Angel Reese, the Bayou Barbie from LSU, who lost in the Final Four this past season, but won a National Championship the year before. Those two players were Superstars in college hoops and will immediately provide the Sky with franchise type players to build a future around.  

The Sky brought in an experienced coach in Teresa Weatherspoon who was one of the original WNBA players in 1997 and is currently in the Women’s Basketball Hall of Fame. Weatherspoon prides herself on cultivating relationships with her players and bringing energy to the team. She has 17 years of coaching experience, including 3 years on the New Orleans Pelicans staff.

There has been some turnover on the roster with key departures of Kahleah Copper and Courtney Williams, but they do get Diamond DeShields back from injury after missing the 2023 season. Dana Evans has been with the Sky since their 2021 Championship season and will provide that veteran leadership the younger players will need at this stage of their careers.

With some added depth in Elizabeth Williams and Isabelle Harrison we expect this Chicago Sky team to get to .500 or 20 wins this season. 

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