Author: ASA Inc

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​Point Train college football FREE OPINION PLAY Sept 3

​Mississippi State -16.5 vs. Memphis – 7:30PM ET – college football winner

  • The loss in line value (opened -12) is keeping us off this game as a rated wager but we still lean to the side of the Bulldogs.
  • Miss State was favored by 3-points at Memphis last year and lost 29-31 after a late game 2-point conversion failed. 
  • Mississippi State lost last year’s game despite outgaining the Tigers by 212 total yards. A fumble return for a touchdown and 94 yard punt return for a TD were the difference. 
  • The Bulldogs return a ton of their production from a year ago and rest assured they haven’t forgotten last year’s loss. 
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MLB free wager from ASA – Player Prop – A’s vs. Nationals

ASA’s MLB free wager or player prop: UNDER 4.5 STRIKEOUTS Cole Irvin Oakland A’s vs. Washington Nationals, 7PM ET

Today’s MLB free wager – Cole Irvin isn’t known as a strikeout pitcher with a 6.20 K/rate per 9 innings. On the season he has just 98 strikeouts in 142.3 innings of work or 4.26 per game. He is coming off an 11 K outing against Miami but the Marlins rank 8th in strikeouts on the season and 7th in the last 15 days. In his last ten starts he has two other higher strikeout games against the Angels and Rangers. The Angels strike out more than anyone in baseball and the Rangers are 10th. Irvin will face a Washington team that doesn’t strike out often. The Nats strikeout the 2nd least number of times per game in the Majors with 945 on the year in 4,274 at bats. Irvin is a lower volume pitcher with an average pitch count of 87.8 his last ten starts. We definitely like Under the number here for today’s baseball free play.

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MLB prediction – ASA bets Brewers vs. Dodgers

MLB prediction or player prop from ASA: UNDER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Eric Lauer – Milwaukee Brewers vs. LA Dodgers, 10:10PM ET

These two teams just squared off in Milwaukee last week with each winning two games. Lauer pitched a 4 hit, 2 earned run, 7 strikeouts gem in a loss. After having seen Lauer so recently we like the Dodgers hitters to have a leg up in this contest. The Dodgers are at home and off a home series, so they have plenty of time to prepare for Lauer and his pitching tendencies. Lauer averages 5.1 strikeouts per game on the season and has thrown 5 or less K’s in 5 of his last six starts. The Dodgers rank 13th in strikeouts per game this season and should see the ball well tonight, having faced Lauer recently. ASA’s MLB prediction Monday is UNDER 5.5 Strikeouts for pitcher Eric Lauer.

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ASA MLB free bets Guardians vs White Sox

ASA MLB free bets or player prop: OVER 5.5 STRIKEOUTS Shane Bieber – Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox, 6:10PM ET

ASA MLB free bets for August 20th. In his last ten starts, Bieber is averaging 6.5 K’s per game. He has been especially good of late with 30 K’s in his last four starts. His pitch-count is typically in the high 90’s so he’ll get plenty of opportunities today in this MLB game. Bieber has a high strikeout to innings pitched ratio in his career and currently sits at 140 K’s in 138.7 innings this season. The White Sox are 7th best in baseball in the fewest strikeouts per game at (7.90). If we look at recent results though this lineup has struggled in August. In the last 15-days the White Sox have struck out 118 times in 476 plate appearances. That is 10th most in the league over that stretch of MLB games. In their last ten games against righties, they have averaged 6.6 K’s per game. Clearly, we have favorable trends working in our favor here with a hot pitcher and a team swinging and missing. ASA’s MLB free bets is on Over 5.5 K’s for Bieber in this MLB game.

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ASA Sports Betting MLB free bet – Player Prop

ASA play on: OVER 6.5 STRIKEOUTS: Luis Castillo – Seattle Mariners @ LA Angels, 9:30PM ET

This is one of the bigger strikeout numbers on the sports bettting board today, but every sports bettor will be playing Over 6.5 with Castillo. He has the 8th highest K/rate on the board today of all starts at 9.48 per 9/innings. Castillo has 105 strikeouts in 99.7 innings of work this season and has 6 or more K’s in 9 straight games, 7 or more in five straight. He is facing an Angels team that strikes out more than every other team in the Bigs at 9.57 per 9/innings. L.A. struggles against any type of pitchers but against right-handers they’ve struck out an average of 6.9 per 9/innings or once every 3.37 at bats. Overall, in their last 13 games the Angels are hitting just .216 as a team with 116 K’s in 436 at bats. Castillo averages 6.23 innings pitched per start and if he gets to that number today, he should easily have 8 or more K’s.

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