ASAwins MLB free bet July 18 2021

#903/904 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 8 Runs – San Diego Padres @ Washington Nationals, Sunday at 3:35 PM ET – Scherzer has a 2.66 ERA on the season and 12 of his 17 starts have resulted in an under.  At home he is even better!  Scherzer, as a host, has a 1.90 ERA with a ridiculous 0.70 WHIP.  The Padres have been tough at the plate but Scherzer is on a mission here after he had a rare bad start at San Diego right before the break.  Speaking of payback, the Padres starter Joe Musgrove is much better than he showed at home against the Nationals just before the break.  Musgrove allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings but he should bounce right back on the road in this one.  Musgrove has a 3.18 ERA on the season and his 0.92 WHIP is even lower than his WHIP at home on the year.  The Padres right-hander gets into a pitchers duel with Scherzer here.  Per our computer math model, this game lands around 5 to 6 runs and even if it reaches 7 that is still a winning ticket based on the 8 that is posted at most books as of early morning Sunday.  We like the odds being in our favor for a well-pitched affair in this one!  Bet the UNDER

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