ASAwins Power Ratings – Nov 26th
As the regular season ends it’s our current assessment the Buckeyes are the best team in college football on both sides of the football. LSU, Alabama and Oklahoma have incredible offensive numbers, but the defenses are all suspect. Clemson has the second-best overall numbers compared to Ohio State, but they’ve played a very weak schedule. Georgia is great defensively but just average offensively. However, it shakes out we’ll get a great four team playoff to finish the Bowls off. In this week’s rankings the Ducks have dropped after an upset loss to ASU last week while another Pac12 team jumped up in our rankings with USC beating UCLA handily. With rivalry weekend here there could be some major movement in next weeks rankings so stay tuned.
1. Ohio State: – 29.25 – The Buckeyes have the #1 yards per play differential in college football as they average 6.9YPPL on offense (6th) and allow only 3.3YPPL on defense (1st). OSU average margin of victory is +38.9PPG.
2. LSU: -27.0 – The Tigers have the 5th best scoring differential in college football at +22.5PPG. LSU can score as they average 49.9PPG but they also allow 24.4PPG which is 40th.
3. Clemson: -25 – The Clemson defense is statistically one of the best in the nation, but the soft schedule (37th) attributes to those incredible numbers. The Tigers give up just 10.4PPG, 3.9 yards per play and just 238.2YPG. They rush it for 260.5YPG at a 6.6 yards per clip.
4. Georgia: -24 – The Bulldogs have been outgained in two straight games by SEC foes but held on to win both. They don’t put up gaudy offensive statistics and really on a great defense to keep them in games. 1st in points allowed per game at 10.1PPG, 4th in yards per play allowed at 4.1YPPL.
5. Alabama: -23.0 – The Tide are 7th in total yards per game, 3rd in passing and 2nd in points scored per game at 48.5PPG. The defense is 16th in yards allowed and 10th in points allowed per game.
6. Oklahoma: -19.5 –The Sooners continue to find ways to win after another close W over TCU last week. OU’s last three wins have come by a combined 7-points. Oklahoma is 1st in total yards per game at 574.7 per.
7. Oregon: -14.75 – The Ducks were bombarded by big plays at Arizona State last week and ended falling short 28-31. Oregon is top 14 in both scoring offense and scoring defense which makes them 7th in scoring differential.
8. Utah: -13.75 – Utah has outgained every opponent this season including USC who they lost to. The Utes have one of the best yards per play differential as they average 6.6YPPL on offense and allow just 4.2YPPL on defense.
9. Auburn: -12.25 – The Tigers have three losses on their resume, but they’ve come against LSU, Georgian and Florida who are all top 10 teams. Auburn’s defense holds opponents to just 30.07% 3rd down conversion rate which is 12th best in the nation.
10. Florida: -11.75 – The Gators have a top 22 defense in most key categories, but the offense ranks 116th in rushing yards per game, 19th in passing yards per game.
11. Wisconsin: -11.5 – Teams convert on just 24.64% of their 3rd down attempts against the Badgers which is 1st in the nation. The Badgers allow just 14.4PPG on the season (6th) and 270YPG which is 6th best. Wisconsin also has they 14th best rushing attack in the country at 251.2 per.
12. Michigan: -11.5 – Michigan had allowed 21 or more points 5 times in their first seven games but have since allowed 14 or less points in four straight. The Wolverines offense has averaged 41.5PPG in their last four contests.
13. Penn State: -9.75 – Penn State was outgained by Ohio State by nearly 200 total yards last week and had 12 less first downs in the game. PSU allows just 90.2 rushing yards per game which is 4th in the nation and 14.8PPG which is 9th.
14. Notre Dame: -9.25 – The Irish are 3rd against the pass defensively allowing just 153.5PYPG and 18th in total yards allowed at 319.4YPG. The Golden Domers offensive number aren’t overly impressive expect for their yards per play average of 6.2YPPL which is 29th.
15. Texas A&M: -9.25 – The Aggies have four losses this season to teams with a combined 39-5 SU record.
16. Minnesota: -9.0 – The Gophers have outgained seven of their opponents this season by 140 or more yards per game. Minnesota is top 10 in both total yards allowed per game and against the pass.
17. Memphis: -8.50 – The Tigers have now scored 42 or more points in five straight games and average 42.2PPG on the season (8th best). Memphis is top 10 in total yards per game and 7th in yards per point offense at 11.7YPPT.
18. Baylor -7.50 – The Bears bounced back last week in a tough spot to beat Texas by 14-points. The sign of a good team is their ability to win on the road and the Bears are 4-0 SU away from home with an average differential of plus 13PPG.
19. USC: -7.50 – USC finished the season with a blowout win over rival UCLA last week 52-35. The Trojans offense revolves around a passing attack that averages 335YPG which is 5th best in the country.
20. Iowa State: -7.25 – The Cyclones have a net yards per play differential of +1.5YPPL and an offense that averages 479.3 total yards per game (12th).
21. Cincinnati -7.25 – The Bearcats run the football effectively averaging 197.RYPG and stop the run well allowing just 133.7RYPG which both rank 35th or better nationally.
22 SMU: -7.0 – The Mustangs offense is 9th or better in total offense, passing offense and points scored per game but they must outgun teams to win with a defense allowing 436YPG.
23. Oklahoma State: -6.25 – The Cowboys average nearly 470 total yards per game which is 12th in the nation. OSU relies on a running game that is 15th best in rushing yards per game at 246 per.
24. Central Florida – 6.25 – The Knights have won four of their last five games and have done it behind an offense that averages 536.4YPG (4th) and scores 43.8PPG (6th). The defense is solid with a top 53 ranking in points allowed, rushing yards allowed, passing yards allowed and total yards allowed.
25. Texas: -6.0 –The Longhorns have some bad defensive stats (105th in yards allowed), but they’ve faced five offenses that rank 35th or higher in average yards per game. The Horns passing O is 21st best in the nation at 291.5PYPG.