ASAwins Power Ratings – Oct 29th
Ohio State remains in our top spot after a dominating win over Wisconsin. As we’ve stated in previous editions, what sets this Buckeyes team apart from the others is their defense. Chase Young is on a different level defensively with 13.5 sacks and 5 forced fumbles. Oklahoma dips slightly after their upset loss to Kansas State which could end up costing them a playoff bid in the end. The schedules for everyone are starting to stiffen up so we’ll see the cream rise to the top in the next few weeks. The three unbeaten teams on the bottom of our power ratings (SMU, Baylor and Minnesota) have faced the 52nd or worse rated schedule this season.
1. Ohio State: – 28.0 – The Buckeyes confirmed our top rankings with a resounding 38-7 win over a good Wisconsin team. OSU averaged 5.9 yards per play against a Badger D that had been allowing just 3.3 on the season.
2. Alabama: – 27.75 – The Tide have the second-best average margin of victory per game at 33.4 behind only Ohio State. Alabama has a top 10 offense but is 19th in yards allowed per game. The big test comes next week against LSU.
3. LSU: -25 – LSU beat Auburn this past weekend at home by 3-points but outgained the “other” Tigers by 200+ yards and had 14 more first downs. QB Burrow has 30 TD’s and just 4 INT’s this season.
4. Clemson: -23.5 – The Tigers have faced only one team in the top 40 of our overall offensive and defensive efficiency ratings and continue to build their padded stats against a soft schedule. Clemson is 7th in points per game and 6th in points allowed per game.
5. Oklahoma: -22.25 – The Sooners suffered a loss to Kansas State which wasn’t even as close as the final score indicated. K-State held a 25-point lead in the 4th quarter before OU made a late bid that came up short. The Sooners are 1st in total yards and scoring in the nation but the defense is a question mark.
6. Georgia: – 19.0 – Even though the Dawgs were off this past week their strength of schedule takes a small hit. The Georgia defense allows just 86.1 rushing yards per game and 10.6PPG which are the fifth best numbers in the nation. A big test for Georgia comes this weekend against the Gators.
7. Oregon: -12.0 – The Ducks beat both Washington schools on back-to-back weeks after a last second FG to beat the Cougars this past Saturday. OU has 7 straight wins after a loss to Auburn in the opener.
8. Florida: – 12.0 – The Gators were off last week and face Georgia in the Largest Cocktail Party Saturday. Florida is anchored by a defense that holds foes to just 15.8PPG and a passing attack averaging 277YPG.
9. Auburn: -11.75 – Auburn has limitations offensively, but the defense is solid, and they’ve faced a brutal schedule. Freshman QB Nix and the Tiger offense are 107th in the nation in passing yards per game.
10. Wisconsin: -11.5 – The Badgers looked bad against the Buckeyes but who hasn’t this season. Wisconsin allowed 38-points and 431 yards to Ohio State but still have a top 10 defense in: yards allowed, passing yards, rushing yards and point allowed.
11. Utah: – 11.25 – The Utes dominated Cal Saturday by holding the Bears to just 25 rushing yards and 85 passing. Utah has a top eleven defense in several categories including: total yards, rushing yards, passing yards and points allowed per game. Utah has given up just 10PPG in conference play.
12. Penn State: – 10.75 – Penn State has three solid wins in a row after a soft early season schedule. PSU outgained Michigan State by 38-yards last week in their 21-point win. The Lions allow just 280.5 yards per game (9th) but haven’t faced an offense ranked higher than 68th in yards per game.
13. Michigan: -9.25 – The Wolverines have two road losses to quality opponents in Wisconsin and Penn State and outmatched the Irish last week with 303 yards rushing at 5.3YPC. The Wolverines defense is 8th in yards allowed per game, 6th in passing yards allowed and 16th in points allowed.
14. Notre Dame: -9.0 –Notre Dame has a pair of L’s on their schedule, but they came against Georgia and Michigan. The driving rain last week hurt the Irish and their passing attack and favored the more physical Wolverines.
15. Texas A&M: – 9.0 –It’s worth mentioning again that the Aggies three losses have come against Alabama, Clemson and Auburn who combined have just 2 total losses. A&M has better than average national statistics that has come against a tough schedule. 61st in yards per game, 38th in yards allowed per game.
16. UCF: -8.25 – The Knights offense dominated a Temple defense last week with 614 total yards which was 214 more than the 400YPG the Owls were allowing on the season. UCF is 2nd in the country in total yards per game offensively at 561.4YPG and allow just 339YPG which ranks them 30th. UCF averages 46.6PPG which is 5th best in the nation.
17. Missouri: -8.25 – Mizzou has back-to-back losses and the bye week couldn’t come at a better time for the Tigers. Mizzou has a top 50 offense in several statistical categories and rank 10th in yards allowed per game defensively.
18. Texas: -8.0 – The Longhorns outgained TCU last week but lost by 10-points with turnovers being a deciding factor. UT averages 39.1PPG which is 11th in the nation and 477 total yards per game which is 17th. Defensively the Horns are giving up 465YPG but look at the offenses they’ve faced.
19 SMU: -8.0 – The Mustangs came up with another win last week in beating Houston to remain unbeaten. SMU has our 16th ranked offensive efficiency rating and 32nd defensive efficiency. SMU averages 43PPG which is 6th in the country.
20. Baylor – 7.50 – The Bears were off last week, and their strength of schedule gets a slight boost during the bye week. Baylor is top 20 in both scoring offense at 38.9PPG and scoring defense allowing just 19.1PPG.
21. Iowa State: -7.25 – The Cyclones lost to Oklahoma State last week despite outgaining the Cowboys by 60+ yards and a 9-minute time of possession edge. ISU averages 480 yards per game which is 15th and allow just 342YPG which is 34th
22. Washington: – 7.25 – The Huskies have played a tough schedule to date and have a top 25 offensive efficiency ratings and top 50 defensive efficiency number.
23. USC: -7.25 – USC survived a scare in Colorado last week getting outgained, but a TD with 2:15 left to play sealed the win for the Trojans. The Trojans have an average margin of victory at +6.4PPG despite three losses on the season.
24. Cincinnati -7.25 – The Bearcats have won 5 straight after a loss to the best team in the nation, Ohio State, in Columbus. Cincinnati has a top 24 defense in points allowed per game (28.6) and a running game producing 173YPG which is 57th in the nation.
25. Minnesota: – 7.0 – The Gophers have faced a very soft schedule, but they continue to win. Minnesota destroyed Maryland last week with nearly 500-total yards of offense to just 210 for the Terps. The Gophs are 12th in yards allowed per game defensively and 14th in points scored per game at 38.4PPG.