The two big games on the schedule last week were Notre Dame at Georgia and Michigan at Wisconsin. The big take-aways from those games are this: Michigan isn’t what they were billed to be this season, Wisconsin is a playoff contender with a fantastic defense and maybe the best player in college football (Jonathan Taylor). The Dawgs failed as a big chalk but pulled out the home win over an under-valued Irish team. The big drop is the Wolverines this week as they fell 5-points in our ratings. LSU, Wisconsin, Auburn and Washington all took a small jump up.
1. Alabama: -27.5 – If the Tide have one chink in their armor it may be a defense that starts 4 freshmen on the D-line and a unit that is outside the top 10 in yards per play allowed at 4.2.
2. Clemson: -27.5 –Tigers QB Trevor Lawrence has been question recently by talking-heads but all he’s done in one calendar year is go 11-0 as a starter, win a National Championship and throw 30 TD’s to just 9 INT’s.
3. LSU: -20.5 – LSU demolished another weak opponent in Vanderbilt and have now scored 55+ points in 3 of four games, 45+ in all four. The Tigers haven’t ranked higher than 60th in passing yards per game in three years but currently rank 2nd at 413PYPG.
4. Georgia: -19 – The Bulldogs didn’t look nearly as impressive as anticipated by the oddskmakers in their close win over the Irish. UGA averaged over 235 rushing yards per game but managed just 152 against ND who hadn’t stopped the run effectively heading into the game.
5. Ohio State – 19 – The Buckeyes have one of the best yards per play differentials in college football as they average 7.1YPPL (10th) and allow 3.2YPPL (2nd).
6. Oklahoma: -17.5 – The Sooners had a week off and don’t fluctuate in our ratings.
7. Wisconsin: -14.5 – The Badgers defense allows just 3.2 yards per play (1st) and it takes opponents 37.9 yards to score a single point against them (1st). RB Jonathan Taylor is the best in the nation and will be a top 5 NFL pick.
8. Auburn: -13.25 – The Tigers make a slight jump this week after a solid rod win over Texas A&M. The Tigers have played the 2nd toughest schedule to date and have an average margin of victory of +17.8PPG.
9. Notre Dame: -11 – The Irish have played the toughest schedule in college football and played Georgia to the wire on the road last week. ND’s margin of victory over the Spread is +8.7PPG, 11th best in college football.
10. Florida – 10.25 – The Gators are more than QB Franks and they proved it with a 34-3 win over Tennessee this past Saturday.
11. Oregon -9.75 – The insanely accurate QB Herbert has 14 TD’s this year and 0 INT’s with a passer rating of 183.6. Oregon is 17th in passing yards per attempt at 9.4 and now 3-1 after an opening season loss to Auburn.
12. Texas: -9.75 – Texas rushed for over 200 yards against Okie State at 5.0YPR in their 6-point home win. UT held OSU to -120 less rushing yards than their season average.
13. Missouri: -9.5 – After a shocking loss in their opener to Wyoming the Tigers have outscored their last three foes 122-21. Mizzou has a top 35 offense in total yards per game and top 15 in defensive YPG.
14. Utah: – 9.5 – The Utes went to USC and lost a close game to the Trojans. Utah put up 247 rushing yards and held USC to just 13-yards on 22 attempts.
15. Texas A&M: – 9.5 – The Aggies have two losses on their record, but they’ve come by a combined 22 total points to Clemson and Auburn. The Aggies D is better than expected.
16. Michigan State: -9.5 – Sparty bounced back this week with a solid road win over Northwestern. MSU held the Wildcats to just 121 passing yards and 3.3 yards per rush.
17. Iowa: -9 – The Hawkeye’s don’t move in our ratings as they were off last weekend.
18. Washington – 8.5 – The Huskies looked impressive in their blowout win over BYU which was fortunate for us as we used UW as our Game of the Week. Washington has a +22.5PPG differential this season.
19. Penn State: -8.5 – Penn State doesn’t move in our rankings. Watch for a play from ASA on Friday night when PSU travels to Maryland to face the Terps
20. Michigan -8 – The Wolverines take a hit in the ratings this week after a poor showing in Wisconsin. It can’t be overlooked that UM was gashed for 359 rushing yards and had just 40 themselves.
21. Boise State – 8.0 – The Broncos remained undefeated with a 30-19 win over Air Force on Saturday. The Broncos +0.1 yards per play differential isn’t that impressive considering the competition.
22. Oklahoma State: -7.75 – The Cowboys are 3rd in the nation in rushing yards per game at 344 and 7th in rushing yards per attempt at 7.0. But they really haven’t played anyone yet.
23. Washington State: -7.75 – The Cougars allowed 67 points to UCLA who came into the game averaging just 14PPG. WSU put up 570 passing yards and 63-points but turned it over 6 times.
24. UCF: -7.75 – The Knights were upset at home by Pitt 34-35 but still rank 13th in yards per point offense and 15th in YPPL defense.
25. Kansas State -7.25 – The Wildcats hang on to our top 25 rating as they were on a bye week.
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