ASA’s Weekly CFB Ratings Oct 1 2019

The ‘movers and shakers’ this week are Ohio State and Clemson The Buckeyes continue to soundly beat every opponent they face and are great on both sides of the football. Clemson struggled to beat a freshman QB in North Carolina this past week and a few bad offensive outings can’t be ignored. Joining the top 25 in our power ratings are SMU and Appalachian State who both remain unbeaten on the season.


1.        Alabama: -26.75 – Even after a 59-31 win the Tide slip a little in our most recent rankings. We’ve mentioned all year the Tide have questions on defense allowing 3.7 yards per rush (42nd) and 4.5 yards per play (18th) despite the 46th ranked schedule. 

2.        Clemson: -23.5 – The Tigers were basically outplayed by UNC this past weekend and now have a pair of unimpressive wins on their resume. The Heels were allowing nearly 400YPG on the season and Clemson managed just 330 total yards against them.

3.            Ohio State – 23.5 – The Buckeyes are not only winning, but they are doing it in convincing fashion. Despite facing the 22nd ranked schedule, OSU has an average differential of +43.8PPG, best in the NCAA’s. 

4.        LSU: -20.5 – LSU remains unchanged after a bye-week. The Tigers rank in the top 11 of both offensive and defensive efficiency but have played a weak schedule.

5.        Georgia: -19 – The Bulldogs are 4-0 and coming off a bye-week. The Dawgs are very similar to LSU above them in OEFF/DEFF and have also faced a soft schedule.

6.            Oklahoma: -18.5 – The Sooners continue to win with their offense which is averaging nearly 650YPG. That is nearly 100 more yards than the next best (Alabama) in college football.

7.         Auburn: -14.25 – Of the top 10 teams, the Tigers have played the toughest schedule to date, and have a point differential of +20.8PPG. Auburn ranks top 20 in OEFF, top 10 in DEFF.  

8.           Wisconsin: -14 – The Badgers defense allows just 3.1 yards per play (1st) and under 200YPG which is also #1 in CFB. Wisky suffered a hangover after the Michigan win and slugged through an ugly win over Northwestern last Saturday.

9.            Notre Dame: -10.5 – The Irish found a way to win Saturday in a potential flat spot after the Georgia game the week before. Granted the Irish were +4 in TO’s but they also held UVA to just 4 yards rushing.

10.         Florida – 10.25 – The Gators have played an easy schedule which skews their +25.2-point differential for the season. A top 15 defense is the strength of this Florida team.

11.      Oregon -10 – The Ducks were off last week and have their next conference test with California this weekend. Oregon is #1 in the nation in completion percentage 77%.

12.         Texas: -9.75 – The Longhorns enjoyed a week off and now prepare for W. Virginia. UT has a top 15 OEFF rating and a top 25 SOS. Texas throws for over 330YPG (9th).

13.          Utah: – 9.75 – The Utes have played a tough schedule with their lone loss coming against USC. Utah handed Washington State their second straight beat-down 38-13 this past week. 

14.         Missouri: -9.75 – The Tigers have been double-digit favorites in all but one game and were favored by -9.5 in that one game. Mizzou has a top 30 offense in total yards per game and top 12 in defensive YPG.

15.          Penn State: -9.5 – The team everyone has been waiting for at Penn State finally showed up last Friday. The Lions destroyed Maryland 59-0 with +20 first downs.  

16.         Michigan -9.5 – The Wolverines held Rutgers to just 154 total yards last week in their 52-0 shutout. UM’s passing game threw for 335 yards at 12 yards per attempt.  

17.      Texas A&M: – 9 – The Aggies have two losses on their record, but they’ve come by a combined 22 total points to Clemson and Auburn. The Aggies survived a scare this past weekend with a 4-point win over Arkansas.

18.       Michigan State: -9 – MSU has our 3rd best defense in college football but the offense is barely above average (55th). The Spartans had a misleading 9-pt win over Indiana but scored on the final play of the game when IU was lateralling on the kickoff return.

19.         Iowa: -9 – The Hawkeye’s are off another big win over a lesser opponent in Middle Tennessee State 48-3. The Hawks run for 351 yards at 6.9YPC. Iowa has played the 110th easiest schedule in CFB.

20.         Washington – 8.5 – The Huskies had an impressive win on the scoreboard over USC last week but benefitted from a fumble recovery in the endzone for a TD and an 89-yard TD run. Statistically the game was essentially even.

21.         Boise State – 8.0 – The Broncos don’t move in our ratings after a week off. The Broncos have a top 25 offense and defensive efficiency ratings.

22.         Oklahoma State: – 8.0 – The Cowboys are 1st in the nation in rushing yards per game at 322 and 5th in rushing yards per attempt at 6.5. The Boys win over K-State was impressive with +282 total yards and +13 first downs.

23.      UCF: -7.75 – The Knights beat UConn 56-21 this past Saturday but called off the dogs in the 4th quarter when the Husky’s scored two meaningless TD’s. The Golden Knights have a top 10 offense that averages 7.3 yards per play.

24.      SMU -7.5 – The Mustangs have an impressive win on their resume at TCU and have scored 41 or more points in every game but one. SMU averages 44.4PPG which ranks them 7th in college football.

25.          Appalachian State -7.25 – the Mountaineers have played a soft schedule but do have one impressive road win at North Carolina who just took Clemson to the wire. App State ranks top 14 in OEFF and 26th in DEFF.