ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings Oct 15th


ASAwins Power Ratings – Oct 15th

Wisconsin moves up again this week after a shutout win over a Michigan State team, they held to under 150 total yards. That win that was statistically even or better than Ohio State’s win over the Spartans the previous week. We will find out a lot more about this Badger team when they go to the Horseshoe in a few weeks. Oklahoma jumps up a notch after a win against Texas in the Red River Rivalry but still have questions on defense. Gone from this week’s top 25 ratings are a pair of Big Ten teams in Iowa and Michigan who just aren’t playing at a high level. Joining our list this week for the first time is Cincinnati and USC.

1.        Alabama: -26.75 – The Tide are second in yards per play offense, third in 3rd down conversion percentage and win games by an average of 34PPG. Last year on this date the Tide allowed 30 less points per game than they allow this season.  

2.            Ohio State: – 26.5 – The Buckeyes margin of victory this season is 40.5PPG which is best in the NCAA’s. OSU has covered the spread by an average of 18PPG which is second to only Wisconsin.  

3.        LSU: -24.5 –The Tigers have faced a tough schedule and continue to win with an impressive offense. LSU is 2nd in the nation at 377 passing yards per game and second in overall scoring a 50PPG, just 1-point behind Bama.

4.            Clemson: -22.5 – The Tigers defense continues to play well after holding Florida state to 253 yards last week, 150 less yards than their season average. Clemson holds foes to 3.8 yards per play (4th) and 0.187 points per play (7th).

5.        Oklahoma: -20.5 – The Sooners offense is the best in the nation at 599.8 yards per game and 9.3 yards per play. OU’s Red River Rivalry win over Texas could have been much worse as they had +201 total yards.

6.            Georgia: -19.5 – The Bulldogs don’t drop much here after an OT loss on the road in the tough SEC. The Dawgs put up 468 yards against the Gamecocks and held them to under 300YDS. Georgia still a top 10 team in several offensive and defensive categories. 

7.            Wisconsin: -16.5 – The Badgers defense shutout Michigan State and continue to be one of the best in the country. Bucky allows just 2.9 yards per play and 176.5YPG which are both 1st in the country. Teams convert just 15.66% of 3rd downs against Wisconsin.  

8.            Auburn: -11.0 – The Tigers were off last week but fluctuate down slightly based on a dip in strength of schedule. Auburn is 18th in points allowed per game defensively and 18th against the run.  

9.            Notre Dame: -10.75 – The Irish score 39.2PPG which is 15th best in the nation and allow just 16.8PPG which is 13th. Notre Dame has the 9th highest average scoring differential and have played a tough schedule.

10.         Florida: – 10.5 – The Gators lost by 14-points to LSU in Baton Rouge but were only outgained by 55-yards. Even after facing the high-octane LSU offense the Gators have a top 10 D in terms of defensive efficiency.

11.      Oregon: -10.5 – The Ducks defense was impressive again last week holding Colorado to 3-points and just 299 total yards. Oregon is 8th in total yards allowed, 8th in passing yards allowed and 3rd in points allowed. 

12.         Penn State: – 10.25 – Penn State came away with an ugly win over Iowa last week despite getting outgained by 62-yards. The Lions allow just 259YPG which is   4th best in the country, 53 rushing yards per game (3rd) and 8.2PPG (2nd). Those numbers have come against a very soft schedule though.

13.         Utah: – 9.75 – The Utes have a top ten defense in several categories including total yards, rushing yards and points allowed per game. Utah also has a big play offense that is 11th in the nation averaging 6.8YPPL.   

14.         Missouri: -9.75 – Mizzou got by Ole’Miss this past week with 562 total yards and a running game that averaged 5.4 yards per carry and 233 total rush yards. The Tigers defense is outstanding, and the offense is starting to catch up.

15.         Texas: -9.0 – The Longhorns get a little pass defensively as they’ve faced three of the top six offenses in college football (LSU, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma). UT averages 39.3PPG which is 13th in the nation and 456 total yards per game which is 35th.  

16.         Michigan: -9.0 – The Wolverines jumped out to a 28-0 lead over Illinois then let the Illini score 25 straight before two TD’s in the 4th quarter. UM held Illinois’ to 256 total yards. Michigan is 14th in yards allowed per game, 9th against the pass and 15th in points allowed per game. The offense though is averaging just 388YPG which ranks 83rd.  

17.      Texas A&M: – 9.0 – The Aggies are 3-3 SU but the three losses have come against Alabama, Clemson and Auburn. A&M did “hold” Bama to 448 yards which is 107 less yards than their season average.  

18.         Washington: – 8.5 – The Huskies impressed in a 51-27 win over Arizona last weekend with a plus +190-yard edge. UW has a top 30 offense and defense in terms of points scored and allowed per game and the 20th ranked margin of victory at +14.2PPG

19.         Boise State: – 8.0 – The Broncos jumped out to a 31-14 lead over Hawaii last week and coasted from there. Boise does it with the 16th ranked total O and the 11th best passing offense.

20.      UCF: -7.25 – The Knights have a top 3 total offense and top 33 total defense. UCF’s average margin of victory per game is +16.6PPG which is 14th best in the nation.

21.      SMU: -7.25 – The Mustangs remain unbeaten at 6-0 and are coming off a bye-week. You better be ready to score points against SMU as they put up 44.2PPG which is 6th best in the country. The Mustangs average just under 500YPG which is 11th.

22.         Iowa State: -7.25 – The Cyclones do it with defense which just held West Virginia to 41 rushing yards and 1.5 yards per rush.

23.         USC: -7.0 – The Trojans have lost three games this year but two of those have come by 17 total points to a pair of top 25 teams in Notre Dame and Washington. USC passes the eyeball test and continues to be competitive each week.

24.         Cincinnati -7.0 – The Bearcats continue to beat teams on the schedule and their lone loss came at Ohio State. Cincinnati has a top 50 defense and have produced enough offense to win 5 straight.

25.         Oklahoma State: – 7.0 – Drastic differences between the offenses and defenses for the Cowboys. Okie State is 9th in total yards per game, 7th in rushing but are 89th in yards allowed and 81st in rush D. OSU turned the ball over 5 times against Tech last week in their 10-point loss.

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