2020 SAN DIEGO PADRES PREVIEW
2019 STATISTICS
RECORD – 70 wins / 92 losses
OVERALL MONEY -$2550 (based on $100 wagered per game)
RETURN ON INVESTMENT -13.5%
HOME RECORD – 36 wins / 45 losses (-$1750)
ROAD RECORD – 34 wins / 47 losses (-$800)
RECORD AS FAVORITE – 36 wins / 38 losses (-$1580)
RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 34 wins / 54 losses (-$970)
OVER/UNDER RECORD – 77 Overs / 77 Unders / 8 Ties
2019 OFFENSIVE STATS
BATTING AVERAGE – .238 (28th in the Majors)
OPS (on base + slugging) – .718 (26th)
HOME RUNS – 219 (20th)
RUNS PER GAME – 4.21 (27th)
2019 PITCHING STATS
ERA – 4.60 (18th)
FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 4.22 (8th)
WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.29 (9th)
STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 3.19 (6th)
RUNS ALLOWED PER GAME – 4.87 (14th)
ASA SAN DIEGO ANALYSIS – The Padres finished with just 70 wins last season which was their 9th consecutive losing year. This team has not been in the playoffs since the 2005/06 season and even that year they finished only 82-80 but won the NL West. They also held the unwanted tag as the worst team in the National League to wager on last season (-25.5 units based on $100 per game with a -13.5% profit margin). San Diego’s pitching staff deserved much better than a 22 games sub .500 record. They were solid. They have an ace in the making with Chris Paddack whose 0.98 WHIP in his 26 starts was the lowest in team history. There were only 5 other starting pitchers in the Majors that posted a WHIP of below 1.00 last year (25 starts or more). The rotation should be solid again as San Diego adds Garrett Richards who is back after being injured last year and Zach Davies, who had a 3.55 ERA in 31 starts for the Brewers last year. We often hear the sum of the parts is better than the individuals, however in the Padres case it was the opposite. They have some very solid offensive talent with Manny Machado, Fernando Tatis Jr, and Eric Hosmer just to name a few. Machado had the lowest batting average of his career last season (.256) and Hosmer had underperformed in both of his seasons with the Padres after coming over from KC following 7 solid years. They are hoping the additions of OF Tommy Pham from Tampa will help jumpstart this line up. Pham hit .287 in his 2 years with the Rays after coming over from a successful stint in St Louis. If this offense can improve, as we think it will, and the pitching remains a constant high point the Padres could finish 2nd in the division.
