ASA’s 2020 Philadelphia Phillies Preview

2020 PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES PREVIEW

2019 STATISTICS

RECORD – 81 wins / 81 losses

OVERALL MONEY -$870 (based on $100 wagered per game)

RETURN ON INVESTMENT -4.3%

HOME RECORD – 45 wins / 36 losses (-$130)

ROAD RECORD – 36 wins / 45 losses (-$750)

RECORD AS FAVORITE – 58 wins / 40 losses (+$40)

RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 23 wins / 41 losses (-$910)

OVER/UNDER RECORD – 76 Overs / 80 Unders / 6 Ties

2019 OFFENSIVE STATS

BATTING AVERAGE – .246 (22nd in the Majors)

OPS (on base + slugging) – .746 (17th)

HOME RUNS – 215 (22nd)

RUNS PER GAME – 4.78 (14th)

2019 PITCHING STATS

ERA – 4.53 (17th)

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 4.88 (23rd)

WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.37 (19th)

STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 2.55 (18th)

RUNS ALLOWED PER GAME – 4.90 (18th)

ASA PHILADELPHIA ANALYSIS – New leadership takes over in Philly where Gabe Kapler was fired and Joe Girardi takes over as manager.  He’ll have some serious pressure to win right away as GM Matt Klentak expects them to win right now.  The Phillies have spent enormous amounts of money on free agents over the last 3 seasons, hello Bryce Harper, but haven’t made the playoffs since 2011.  The total set on Philadelphia back in February was 86 wins which seems a bit much for a team that hasn’t topped 81 wins since 2011.  The fact is this team was below average both offensively and defensively.  Their pitching numbers (ERA, FIP, and WHIP) were all below the league averages and their hitting numbers (OPS, on base percentage, and RPG) were also all under the league average.  Their starting rotation remains the same with one addition.  Zach Wheeler (23-15 record last 2 seasons combined) one of the top starters on the free agent market last year comes over from the division rival Mets.  Aaron Nola, who has 41 wins his last 3 seasons, remain their ace.  The Phillies are hoping CF Andrew McCutcheon comes back from ACL surgery and adding Yankee SS Didi Gregorious (.270 BA & 97 HR’s in 5 years with New York) should help.  When all is said and done, we expect this team to be right around .500 again in the tough NL East that has 3 teams that finished with 86 or more wins last season (Braves, Mets, and Nats). 

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