ASA’s 2020 New York Mets Preview

2020 NEW YORK METS PREVIEW

2019 STATISTICS

RECORD – 86 wins / 76 losses

OVERALL MONEY -$640 (based on $100 wagered per game)

RETURN ON INVESTMENT -2.9%

HOME RECORD – 48 wins / 33 losses (-$50)

ROAD RECORD – 38 wins / 43 losses (-$590)

RECORD AS FAVORITE – 60 wins / 38 losses (-$120)

RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 25 wins / 38 losses (-$530)

OVER/UNDER RECORD – 79 Overs / 70 Unders / 13 Ties

2019 OFFENSIVE STATS

BATTING AVERAGE – .257 (11th in the Majors)

OPS (on base + slugging) – .770 (11th)

HOME RUNS – 242 (11th)

RUNS PER GAME – 4.88 (13th)

2019 PITCHING STATS

ERA – 4.24 (11th)

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 4.10 (6th)

WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.30 (13th)

STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 3.04 (7th)

RUNS ALLOWED PER GAME – 4.55 (10th)

ASA NEW YORK METS ANALYSIS – New manager Luis Rojas has been with the organization since 2007 and while he’s never been the head man in the Majors, he has multiple years of managerial experience in the minor leagues.  He inherits a team that should have some solid momentum coming into 2020 as they finished with a very good 46-26 record after the All Star break.  While their bullpen struggled last year, the Mets starters were outstanding last year especially at the top with Jacob DeGrom and Noah Syndergaard.  DeGrom had only 11 wins but the Mets offense and bullpen let him down often.  His numbers were superb with a 2.43 ERA and a 2.67 FIP to go along with a 5 to 1 strikeout to walk ratio.  Unfortunately they lose Syndergaard this year as he is undergoing Tommy John surgery and won’t be available until 2021 at the earliest.  They also lose Zach Wheeler (11-8 record) which will put another dent in their starting rotation.  Their relief pitching was poor as they had 32 bullpen losses (8th most in MLB) and a save percentage of 58% (24th worst in MLB).  Their only key loss offensively was 3B Todd Frazier who is now with the Rangers.  Their offense was near or in the top third in most key MLB categories so they should be fine there.  They added a few relievers via free agency and if the bullpen improves this team could be OK.  In a tough division the losses they have to overcome with their starting pitching might be too much.