ASA’s 2020 Milwaukee Brewers Preview



RECORD – 89 wins / 74 losses (includes playoffs)

OVERALL MONEY -$340 (based on $100 wagered per game)


HOME RECORD – 49 wins / 32 losses (+$580)

ROAD RECORD – 40 wins / 42 losses (-$250)

RECORD AS FAVORITE – 65 wins / 44 losses (+$280)

RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 25 wins / 30 losses (+$60)

OVER/UNDER RECORD – 71 Overs / 87 Unders / 5 Ties


BATTING AVERAGE – .246 (21st in the Majors)

OPS (on base + slugging) – .767 (12th)

HOME RUNS – 250 (7th)

RUNS PER GAME – 4.75 (15th)


ERA – 4.40 (16th)

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 4.46 (16th)

WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.32 (15th)

STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 2.63 (16th)


ASA MILWAUKEE ANALYSIS – Milwaukee has finished the regular season with 86, 96, and 89 wins the last 3 seasons.  While we are in Wisconsin and Brewer fans, we would expect them to finish closer to .500 this season.  Last year they had 89 wins but the stats they put up would not normally support a team with nearly 90 wins.  They were basically in the middle of the pack in most pitching and offensive stats.  Defensive stats had them as an average team and their runs scored vs run allowed were almost dead even on the season.  Our overall record prediction system had the Brewers rated as the “luckiest” team in MLB last year winning 8 more games than they should have based on their overall statistics.  Christian Yelich might just be the best offensive player in the game, however Milwaukee lost 3 key starters with Mike Moustakas, Eric Thames, and Yasmani Grandal moving on to other teams.  Those 3 players alone combined for 88 home runs & 225 RBI.  Adding outfielder Avisail Garcia (.278 BA & 20 HR’s) will allow Ryan Braun to play first base along with Justin Smoak who came over from the Blue Jays.  The pitching staff also lost 4 of their top 6 starters from a year ago.  Brandon Woodruff is the ace here (11-3 record / 3.62 ERA last season) but there are many unknowns after that.  One signing to watch is starting pitcher Josh Lindblom who came over from the Korean League.  He had a 35-7 record his last 2 years in Korea with an ERA around 2.60.  He last pitched in the Majors in 2017.  The bullpen was great 2 years ago and just average last season, although they do have closer Josh Hader back this season (37 saves in 2019).  We’re fairly confident the Brewers will take a step back in 2020 in a tough division.