2020 MIAMI MARLINS PREVIEW
2019 STATISTICS
RECORD – 57 wins / 105 losses
OVERALL MONEY -$1,500 (based on $100 wagered per game)
RETURN ON INVESTMENT -9.2%
HOME RECORD – 30 wins / 51 losses (-$820)
ROAD RECORD – 27 wins / 54 losses (-$680)
RECORD AS FAVORITE – 3 wins / 2 losses (-$50)
RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 52 wins / 101 losses (-$1450)
OVER/UNDER RECORD – 77 Overs / 73 Unders / 12 Ties
2019 OFFENSIVE STATS
BATTING AVERAGE – .241 (25th in the Majors)
OPS (on base + slugging) – .673 (30th)
HOME RUNS – 146 (30th)
RUNS PER GAME – 3.80 (29th)
2019 PITCHING STATS
ERA – 4.74 (20th)
FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 4.89 (25th)
WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.35 (17th)
STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 2.24 (26th)
RUNS ALLOWED PER GAME – 4.99 (19th)
ASA MIAMI ANALYSIS – Only Detroit and Baltimore had fewer wins than Miami last season. They won 63 games in 2018 and regressed to 57 a year ago. Their pitching wasn’t terrible as starter Sandy Alcantara has a chance to be very good despite his 6-14 record last year. His 3.88 ERA suggests he was much better than his record and if he can slow down on his walks (81 last year) he should be their ace. The Marlins did very little in the free agent market especially pitching wise where they will basically have the same rotation as last season. It could be argued this was the worst offensive team in baseball last year as they finished near or right at the bottom in a number of key categories. They have very little power hitting only 146 HR’s last year which was worst in MLB and just 128 the year prior which was also last in the Majors. The centerfield and right centerfield wall at Marlins Park will be moved in this season which may help come but we’re not counting on it. Hoping to help their lack of power issue Miami added Jesus Aguilar who hit 35 HR’s for Milwaukee 2 years ago (but just 12 last year) and Jonathan Villar who hit a career high 24 dingers for Baltimore in 2019. Other than that we’re basically looking at the same team from last season. As expected they struggled in close games (16-28 record in 1-run games) so if they can improve upon that they should top 60 wins this season.
