ASA’s 2020 Colorado Rockies Preview

2020 COLORADO ROCKIES PREVIEW

2019 STATISTICS

RECORD – 71 wins / 91 losses

OVERALL MONEY -$950 (based on $100 wagered per game)

RETURN ON INVESTMENT -5.1%

HOME RECORD – 48 wins / 38 losses (+$410)

ROAD RECORD – 28 wins / 53 losses (-$1360)

RECORD AS FAVORITE – 36 wins / 26 losses (+$240)

RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 35 wins / 65 losses (-$1190)

OVER/UNDER RECORD – 77 Overs / 74 Unders / 11 Ties

2019 OFFENSIVE STATS

BATTING AVERAGE – .265 (5th in the Majors)

OPS (on base + slugging) – .782 (9th)

HOME RUNS – 224 (15th)

RUNS PER GAME – 5.15 (9th)

2019 PITCHING STATS

ERA – 5.56 (29th)

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 5.23 (29th)

WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.49 (30th)

STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 2.15 (29th)

RUNS ALLOWED PER GAME – 4.91 (29th)

ASA COLORADO ANALYSIS – Colorado is the one team in MLB where looking exclusively at their overall stats simply doesn’t tell the entire story.  Because their ballpark is by far the most hitter friendly in the Majors, their offensive numbers are often inflated.  In turn, their pitching numbers are usually better than what the statistics tell for that same reason.  In tune with that, their offensive stats last year were solid and their pitching numbers stunk.  A deeper dive into the numbers tells us the Rockies hit .300 at home (.230 on the road), crushed 132 HR’s at Coors Field (92 on the road), and scored 165 more runs at home on the season.  Colorado’s pitching staff ERA at home was 6.20 (4.92 on the road), they allowed teams to hit almost .300 at home (allowed .256 on the road), and they gave up 130 more runs at Coors Field.  You get the point.  This team was projected to win 86 games last year and fell well below that number at 71.  That came just one year after they registered a 91-72 record.  The only team that missed their projected wins by a larger margin last year was the Detroit Tigers.  Much of the Rockies poor season spanned the months of July & August where they had just a 15-38 record.  They were actually 6 games above .500 in late June.  They did almost nothing in the free agency market to improve yet they also didn’t lose any big names.  This is basically the same team as last year.  We would expect them to improve their record over last season since they did underachieve.  However, when all is said and done this is a team that will most likely finish a bit below .500.