ASA’s 2020 Baltimore Orioles Preview



RECORD – 54 wins / 108 losses

OVERALL MONEY -$1980 (based on $100 wagered per game)


HOME RECORD – 25 wins / 56 losses (-$1960)

ROAD RECORD – 29 wins / 52 losses (-$200)

RECORD AS FAVORITE – 8 wins / 9 losses (-$280)

RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 46 wins / 99 losses (-$1700)

OVER/UNDER RECORD – 84 Overs / 68 Unders / 10 Ties


BATTING AVERAGE – .246 (20th in the Majors)

OPS (on base + slugging) – .725 (25th)

HOME RUNS – 213 (23rd)

RUNS PER GAME – 4.50 (22nd)


ERA – 5.59 (30th)

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 5.56 (30th)

WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.46 (28th)

STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 2.22 (27th)


ASA BALTIMORE ANALYSIS – The Orioles finished with 108 losses in 2019, which was the second most in the Majors (Tigers had 114 losses).  Over the last 2 seasons this once proud franchise lost a ridiculous 223 games which is by far the most in MLB over that stretch (Detroit had 2nd most losses at 212).  Well we know they probably won’t lose 100+ this season with the shortened schedule but we project their winning percentage to be very similar to last year which was just 33%.  This team was obviously very bad last year and they potentially got worse in the off-season.  They lost arguably one of their best offensive players via trade as Jonathan Villar (24 HR’s and 40 stolen bases) was sent to the Marlins in December.  On top of that, the O’s also traded starting pitcher Dylan Bundy to the Angels after the 2019 season.  Bundy ate up 162 innings last year which was the most by any Baltimore pitcher.  Baltimore didn’t get anyone of immediate help in either of those deals and they signed nobody of significance in free agency.  They actually hit the ball OK for a team with 100+ losses ranking 20th in batting average but their pitching was a huge problem.  They finished at or near the bottom in nearly every key pitching category.  They allowed more runs and more home runs than any team in baseball.  Their 6.06 runs per game allowed was the first time since 2000 a team in the Majors gave up more than 6 RPG.  They had a grand total of TWO pitchers on their entire team that finished the year with an ERA of less than 4.00 (with at least 10 innings pitched).  That’s bad.  They have a few nice offensive pieces in Trey Mancini and Renato Nunez but the pitching will be their downfall again this season.  On top of that they reside in the tough AL East with the with Yankees, Red Sox, and Rays.  Another poor season is absolutely in store for the Orioles.