ASA’s 2020 Atlanta Braves Preview

2020 ATLANTA BRAVES PREVIEW

2019 STATISTICS

RECORD – 99 wins / 68 losses (includes playoffs)

OVERALL MONEY +$1,600 (based on $100 wagered per game)

RETURN ON INVESTMENT +7.1%

HOME RECORD – 51 wins / 33 losses (+$510)

ROAD RECORD – 48 wins / 35 losses (+$1090)

RECORD AS FAVORITE – 75 wins / 43 losses (+$1220)

RECORD AS UNDERDOG – 24 wins / 25 losses (+$380)

OVER/UNDER RECORD – 81 Overs / 78 Unders / 8 Ties

2019 OFFENSIVE STATS

BATTING AVERAGE – .258 (9th in the Majors)

OPS (on base + slugging) – .789 (7th)

HOME RUNS – 249 (8th)

RUNS PER GAME – 5.28 (7th)

2019 PITCHING STATS

ERA – 4.20 (10th)

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – 4.34 (13th)

WHIP (walk + hits allowed per inning) – 1.36 (18th)

STRIKEOUT to WALK RATIO – 2.54 (20th)

RUNS ALLOWED PER GAME – 4.59 (12th)

ASA ATLANTA ANALYSIS – The Braves won the N.L. East last year but were bounced in the playoffs by St Louis.  Their pitching numbers were pretty average with their WHIP and FIP numbers not in line with a team that won 97 regular season games.  They brought over starting pitcher Dallas Keuchel from Houston mid-season last year and he gave them 8 wins and a 3.75 ERA.  Keuchel has moved on to the White Sox and the Braves brought in Cole Hamels from the Cubs to replace him.  They also lost starter Julio Teheran, who ate up 174 innings last year (most on the Braves), to the Angels.  Opponents hit .256 against this staff (19th in MLB) and it looks like it got weaker in the off season.  Offensively they lose starting 3B Josh Donaldson to the Twins along with his 37 home runs.  They did add outfielder Marcell Ozuna from the Cards who has decent power numbers (52 HR’s over the last 2 years) so that should help.  Last year their win total was set at 86 so they outperformed expectations by a 11 games.  The total win number set on this team for this year was 90 so a regression is expected.  We would agree with that assumption.