ASA MLB free bet June 11

ASA play on: UNDER 8.5 Miami Marlins @ Houston Astros, 4:10PM ET

We don’t see many runs being scored in today’s game between the Marlins and Astros and will bet UNDER here. Even though Houston is one of better teams in league at 36-22 and 1st in the A.L. West, they don’t average a lot of runs per game (23rd at 4.10RPG) and hits per game (21st). Houston is facing a pitcher they haven’t seen before in lefty Braxton Garrett, not to mention they average hit just .222 against lefties which ranks 26th in MLB. Houston will go with starting pitcher Framber Valdez who is 6-2 with an ERA of 2.61 which is 14th best in the league. The Astros have won his last 6 starts and he’s given up just 12 runs on 35 total hits. Even in his 2 most recent losses he pitched well giving up only 3 earned runs on 6 hits in 12.1 innings pitched. Miami is 11th in runs per game at 4.52 but don’t hit lefties well at all with the worst OBP% and a team batting average of .206 which is also last in MLB. The Marlins have had a few higher scoring games, but they came against Washington and at Colorado who rank 29th and 30th in runs allowed per game this season. The Astros are 2nd in the league allowing just 3.38 runs per game with their best pitcher on the mound. Bet Under.