ASA free college prediction Jan 23

ASA play on: #678 East Tennessee State +3 over Furman, 4PM ET

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This is another quick turnaround game for both teams as they just met at Furman last Saturday. Furman won that game by 12-points as a 10-point chalk. The glaring difference in that game was the 3-point shooting as the Paladins hit 8 of 26 compared to ETSU making just 4 of 20. We expect those number to trend in the opposite direction now that this game is being played on the Buccaneers court. ETSU has gone 72-13 (.847) inside Freedom Hall since the start of the 2015-16 season, including a 5-1 mark this year and a 16-1 record last year. Since the start of the 2015-16 campaign, ETSU has won the most games in the Southern Conference with 75 victories, Furman is next at 70. In five SoCon games this season, ETSU leads the conference in rebound margin (+6.4), ranks second in field goal percentage defense (.422) and scoring defense (69.2), ranks third in three-point field goal percentage (.383), three-point field goal percentage defense (.317) and scoring margin (+5.6). The Bucs are slightly lower than Furman in conference offensive efficiency ratings but hold a sizeable advantage in defensive efficiency. Those are significant numbers considering ETSU has played the tougher schedule. In SoCon road games Furman is 0-3 ATS with a 4-point win at Chattanooga, 6-point win at The Citadel and a 1-point loss at VMI and none of those teams are as good as ETSU. This is a quick revenge game and East Tennessee State will enjoy a home court advantage here with a handful of fans