#705/706 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 151 Points – Villanova @ St Johns, Wednesday at 9 PM ET
This total is too high in our opinion. It’s the 2nd highest total Nova has faced since December 1st and the first was vs a St Joes team with a bad defense (241st in defensive efficiency) back in mid December. This may be set a bit high based on the Wildcats most recent game which was an 80-72 win over the weekend vs Seton Hall. That final was very deceiving as the two teams had 133 points with just 40 seconds remaining and scored 19 points from that point on. Nova is the #1 defensive efficiency team in the Big East and one of the slowest tempo teams in the nation (326th). St John’s wants to play fast but we anticipate the Wildcats controlling the tempo here as they do not want to get in an up and down game with the Johnnies. As fast as St Johns plays, they have only topped 150 points in 4 of their 11 conference games and those games were vs Creighton & Georgetown (2 games each) which are 2 of the fastest paced teams in the Big East. This has been a lower scoring series as of late with the last 4 meetings going under and this is the highest posted total during that stretch. The average total points scored between these 2 over the last 4 meetings was just 138 points. We like the UNDER tonight.