ASA play on: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 over Dallas Mavericks, 8PM ET
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These two teams just met in Dallas the other night with the Mavs winning 110-108 as a 1-point favorite. The natural swing of this line should have the Wolves favored by 5-points here so we’ll grab the value play with Minnesota. The Wolves shot just 40% in that game which is well below their 45.4% season average. Minnesota was just a 2-point home favorite against the Suns but lost their most recent game by 9-points. Dallas has been very good defensively on the season with the 4th best defensive efficiency rating but rank 18th in OEFF. In comparison, the T-Wolves are 6th in OEFF, 11th in DEFF. Minnesota is 24-13 SU at home this season with the 11th best average +/- of +5.4PPG. The last meeting was chippy so expect a revenge minded Timberwolves team to get a big home win here.
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