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Featured Articles


The Orioles finished with 108 losses in 2019, which was the second most in the Majors (Tigers had 114 losses).  Over the last 2 seasons this once proud franchise lost a ridiculous 223 games which is by far the most in MLB over that stretch (Detroit had 2nd most losses at 212).  Well we know they probably won’t lose 100+ this season with the shortened schedule but we project their winning percentage to be very similar to last year which was just 33%.  This team was obviously very bad last year and they potentially got worse in the off-season.  [KEEP READING…]


Things will look different in San Francisco this year as manager Bruce Bochy has retired after 13 seasons with the Giants.  His last 3 seasons with the team were less than spectacular with a combined record of 214-272.  In steps Gabe Kapler who was fired by the Phillies after last season with a sub .500 record in his 2 years as manager there.  Kapler will have to deal with a pitching staff that took a few huge hits in the off-season.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NASCAR Organics 325 Pocono Saturday

This weekend NASCAR travels to Pocono, Pennsylvania for a double-header on Saturday and Sunday in what should be a thrilling two days of racing. This 2.5-mile Tri-Oval, nicknamed the “Tricky Triangle” is similar in length and shape to last weekend’s race at Talladega but that is where the similarities end. Unlike the “Dega” the Poconos Raceway is shallow banked and runs more like a road course than a Speedway. [KEEP READING]


The Padres finished with just 70 wins last season which was their 9th consecutive losing year.  This team has not been in the playoffs since the 2005/06 season and even that year they finished only 82-80 but won the NL West.  They also held the unwanted tag as the worst team in the National League to wager on last season (-25.5 units based on $100 per game with a -13.5% profit margin). [KEEP READING…]


The Dodgers finished with 106 regular season wins last year which was just 1 win behind the Astros for tops in the MLB.  This year, prior to the season, they were tabbed to win 101.5 games which was the second highest total behind the Yankees who had their win total set at 102.5.  LA has dominated the NL West with 7 straight division titles and 2 World Series appearances (lost both) during that stretch.  [KEEP READING]


Colorado is the one team in MLB where looking exclusively at their overall stats simply doesn’t tell the entire story.  Because their ballpark is by far the most hitter friendly in the Majors, their offensive numbers are often inflated.  In turn, their pitching numbers are usually better than what the statistics tell for that same reason.  In tune with that, their offensive stats last year were solid and their pitching numbers stunk.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Real Heroes 400 Nascar predictions

One of the major sports gets back into action today with Nascar taking the track at Darlington Speedway. The Real Heroes 400 Nascar Cup Series will take place today at 3:30PM ET on FOX TV. This will be the first Nascar race since March 8th and fans and sports bettors could not be more excited. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Week 1 Lines and insights

The opening numbers have been posted on the NFL games scheduled for Week #1 and we could not be more excited about the prospect of getting back to football and some semblance of normalcy. We jotted down some notes on the match ups and have already started the process of breaking down the games. Without giving anything away we absolutely love a few of these situations and the season cannot get here fast enough! [KEEP READING…]


The Diamondbacks overachieved last year winning 85 games when they were projected by the oddsmakers to win 75. Those 85 wins placed them 13th out of 30 teams in regards to most wins which fell in line with their key stats which had them as a middle of the pack team both pitching & hitting. Arizona won 8 of their final 10 games making a push at the wildcard but fell a few games short.  [KEEP READING…]


The Cards reclaimed their spot at the top of the NL Central last season winning their 4th division title in the last 7 years.  Their pitching carried them last season as the offense ranked in the bottom third of the league in many statistics.  They entered the playoffs last season having scored the fewest runs of any of the post season teams.  [KEEP READING…]


Pittsburgh finished dead last in the NL Central with just 69 wins, 7th least in the Major Leagues.  Because of that, they basically cleaned house with the GM & Manager both getting fired.  Hurdle, who had been Pittsburgh’s manager for 9 years with 3 winning seasons, will be replaced by Derek Shelton who was on Minnesota’s staff last season.  Shelton has been a coach in MLB since 2005 but never as a manager.  [KEEP READING…]


Milwaukee has finished the regular season with 86, 96, and 89 wins the last 3 seasons.  While we are in Wisconsin and Brewer fans, we would expect them to finish closer to .500 this season.  Last year they had 89 wins but the stats they put up would not normally support a team with nearly 90 wins.  They were basically in the middle of the pack in most pitching and offensive stats.  [KEEP READING…]


Cincinnati has been a dreadful franchise over the past 5+ seasons.  After finishing with 97 & 90 wins back in 2012 & 2013, the Reds have averaged just 69 wins per season over the last 6 years.  They finished dead last in the NL Central in 2015, 2016, 2017, AND 2018!  Last year they improved to 4th in the division but still finished 12 games below .500.  [KEEP READING…]


After making it to the post-season in 4 consecutive seasons, the Cubs finished 3rd in the NL Central last year and were left out of the playoffs.  They lost a few key cogs in the off-season with key reserve outfielder Nick Castellanos (.277 career batting average) and P Cole Hamels moving on in free agency.  [KEEP READING…]


After a disappointing 2018 finishing just 2 games above .500, the Nationals bounced back in a big way in 2019 beating Houston as a +180 underdog in the World Series. Amazingly this team won the crown despite facing elimination 5 different times in the playoffs. This team won 93 regular season games in 2019 which didn’t seem likely after their 24-33 start over the first 2 months of the season.  [KEEP READING…]


Series Preview: Lakers vs. Grizzlies – If the Playoffs started today the Lakers would host the young Grizzlies in the opening round and make quick work of Memphis in a four-game series. The Lakers have been the second-best team in the league behind Milwaukee with the second-best player this season in LeBron James behind Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Lakers are a top 5 team in both offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, 2nd in average point differential at +7.4PPG. [KEEP READING the rest of the West here…]


New leadership takes over in Philly where Gabe Kapler was fired and Joe Girardi takes over as manager. He’ll have some serious pressure to win right away as GM Matt Klentak expects them to win right now. The Phillies have spent enormous amounts of money on free agents over the last 3 seasons, hello Bryce Harper, but haven’t made the playoffs since 2011.  [KEEP READING…]


New manager Luis Rojas has been with the organization since 2007 and while he’s never been the head man in the Majors, he has multiple years of managerial experience in the minor leagues.  He inherits a team that should have some solid momentum coming into 2020 as they finished with a very good 46-26 record after the All Star break. [KEEP READING…]


Only Detroit and Baltimore had fewer wins than Miami last season.  They won 63 games in 2018 and regressed to 57 a year ago.  Their pitching wasn’t terrible as starter Sandy Alcantara has a chance to be very good despite his 6-14 record last year.  [KEEP READING…]


Series Preview: The Bucks and Magic first round match up will be a quick one with the Bucks sweeping the Magic in four games much like the regular season. Milwaukee beat this team by an average of 17PPG this season and one of those wins came without Giannis suiting up for the Bucks. Milwaukee dominated the Magic on the boards with a plus +17 margin of  total rebounds per game and shot 37.2% from beyond the arc which was better than their season average of 35.6%. [KEEP READING…]


The Braves won the N.L. East last year but were bounced in the playoffs by St Louis. Their pitching numbers were pretty average with their WHIP and FIP numbers not in line with a team that won 97 regular season games. [KEEP READING…]


Wisconsin clinched the Big 10 West last Saturday with a 38-17 win over Minnesota in Minneapolis.  The Badgers picked up an easy cover (Wisconsin was -2.5) and the game went over the total (45).  The Badgers led 10-7 at half and they were struggling to run the ball (only 66 yards rushing) with Minnesota selling out to stop Jonathan Taylor.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Rankings – Nov 26

As the regular season ends it’s our current assessment the Buckeyes are the best team in college football on both sides of the football. LSU, Alabama and Oklahoma have incredible offensive numbers, but the defenses are all suspect. Clemson has the second-best overall numbers compared to Ohio State, but they’ve played a very weak schedule. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – For Games on Nov 30th

While the Iowa offense remains quite pedestrian, the defense has been playing top notch for much of the season but especially as of late.  Their 19-10 win over Illinois last week marked the Illini’s lowest scoring output of the season.  It was the 2nd consecutive week that the Hawkeye defense held their opponent to a season low in scoring after limiting Minnesota to just 19 points 2 weeks ago.  [KEEP READING…]


Penn State kept their Big Ten East title hopes alive with a 34-27 win at home vs Indiana last Saturday.  IU kicked a FG with 13 seconds remaining to cut the lead to a TD but were unable to recover their onside kick attempt.  Despite the win, Penn State was outgained by 91 yards and have now been outgained in half their games this season (5).  The PSU defense looks like they are trending in the wrong direction late in the season.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings – Nov 19th

We mentioned last week how the current playoff committee is flawed and this week the proof is in the Vegas spread on one game in particular. Ohio State is a 19-point favorite over Penn State who the committee had ranked 4th in the opening poll.  In our ratings system it’s clear the Ohio State Buckeyes have the best overall team in terms of offense and defense. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings – Nov 12th

I don’t know about you, but I’m not a fan of the current National Playoff ranking system and the flawed method in place to pick the four best teams for the playoffs. The entire committee should be fired after having Penn State in the top four last week. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – For games on Nov 16th

Michigan State enters their big rivalry game having lost 4 straight games.  The first 3 were somewhat understandable as they were underdogs in each and facing some of the Big Ten’s best (Ohio State, Wisconsin, Penn State).  Last week, however, they were coming off a bye and favored by more than 2 TD’s vs Illinois and lost 37-34.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings – Nov 5th

The big game this week is obviously the LSU versus Alabama game which will impact the final four playoff positioning. Those two SEC powerhouses are essentially even offensively but LSU has an advantage defensively. The key for Bama hinges on whether QB Tagovailoa can go or not for this game but the Tide are keeping quiet on that until game time. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – For games on Nov 9th

Penn State steps in with a perfect 8-0 record and they had a bye last weekend.  Their most recent game was a 28-7 win @ Michigan State two weeks ago.  It wasn’t an ideal spot for PSU as they were coming off a huge prime time win over Michigan while MSU was off a bye week. The Nittany Lion defense, which ranks 9th nationally in total defense, held the Spartans to 267 total yards and forced 4 turnovers.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Weekly College Football Power Ratings Oct 28th

Ohio State remains in our top spot after a dominating win over Wisconsin. As we’ve stated in previous editions, what sets this Buckeyes team apart from the others is their defense. Chase Young is on a different level defensively with 13.5 sacks and 5 forced fumbles. Oklahoma dips slightly after their upset loss to Kansas State which could end up costing them a playoff bid in the end. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – For games on Nov 2nd

The Huskers free fall continues losing at home 38-31 to Indiana last Saturday.  They have now lost 3 of their last 4 games to drop to 4-4 on the season.  They were hoping to get starting QB Adrian Martinez back under center last week but his knee is still not quite ready so he sat for the 2nd consecutive game.  That meant that Noah Vedral would get another start for the Huskers and attempt to win his first game this year under center. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – For games on Oct 26th

This game has been billed for weeks as a battle of Big 10 unbeatens but Wisconsin failed to hold up their end of the bargain last week.  They went to Illinois as 30-point favorites and walked out with a 24-23 loss.  The Badgers outgained Illinois by over 100 yards and had more than a 2 to 1 time of possession edge but a few key turnovers determined the outcome.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings Oct 22

Ohio State jumps to our #1 ranking this week as they continue to dominate and have an edge over the rest of the best with their defense. Wisconsin dips this week after their loss in Illinois but don’t fall as far as you think, much like Georgia didn’t after a loss to South Carolina two weeks ago. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings Oct 18

Wisconsin moves up again this week after a shutout win over a Michigan State team, they held to under 150 total yards. That win that was statistically even or better than Ohio State’s win over the Spartans the previous week. We will find out a lot more about this Badger team when they go to the Horseshoe in a few weeks. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NBA Future Wagers and Predictions 2019-20

Best Over/Under play – Under 35.5 Minnesota Timberwolves – Last year the oddsmakers posted a win total of 44.5 for the Wolves so we see a significant drop in that number this year but we still have value. Minnesota went 36-46 last season and an average loss margin of -1.5PPG which was 22nd in the NBA. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – for games on Oct 19

The Buckeyes had last week off after blasting Michigan State 34-10 two weeks ago to move their record to a perfect 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS.  After outgaining Michigan State by 242 yards, the Bucks have now outgained all six of their opponents by at least 240 yards.  Their only non-cover on the season was their opener vs FAU when they won by 24 points but were favored by 27.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – for games on Oct 12

After struggling with Pitt in their final non-conference game (17-10 win) the Nittany Lions have absolutely rolled over their first two Big Ten opponents (Purdue & Maryland) to remain a perfect 5-0.  After beating Purdue 35-7 last week, they have now outscored their 2 Big Ten opponents 94-7 and outgained them by a whopping 850 yards!  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Power Ratings Oct 8

Ohio State is climbing the rankings every week and if they continue to play the way they’re playing, and Alabama’s defense continues to allow yards (36th), there will be a new #1 in our ratings. LSU continues to impress and jump Clemson this week as our 3rd overall best team in CFB. Florida takes a jump up too this week with the 11th ranked defensive efficiency and a win over Auburn.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Ratings Oct 1

The ‘movers and shakers’ this week are Ohio State and Clemson The Buckeyes continue to soundly beat every opponent they face and are great on both sides of the football. Clemson struggled to beat a freshman QB in North Carolina this past week and a few bad offensive outings can’t be ignored. Joining the top 25 in our power ratings are SMU and Appalachian State who both remain unbeaten on the season. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – for games on Oct 5 2019

The Buckeyes simply continue to destroy their opponents each and every week.  Last Saturday they were 17-point favorites @ Nebraska and they had that spread buried by halftime leading 38-0.  While the offense was fantastic in the 48-7 win topping 500 yards for the fourth consecutive game, it was the defense again that stepped up big vs a Nebraska offense that put up 673 yards a week earlier at Illinois.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Ratings Sept 25 2019

The two big games on the schedule last week were Notre Dame at Georgia and Michigan at Wisconsin. The big take-aways from those games are this: Michigan isn’t what they were billed to be this season, Wisconsin is a playoff contender with a fantastic defense and maybe the best player in college football (Jonathan Taylor). [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN FOOTBALL REPORT – for games on Sept 28 2019

Both of these teams had last week off to get ready for their Big Ten opener.  Two weeks ago Penn State (-17) played host to in-state rival Pitt in a game that went to the wire with the Nittany Lions winning 17-10.  The game ended with the Panthers threatening to score on the PSU 26-yard line. [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Ratings Sept 17 2019

Do we need to start questioning whether the Tide’s defense is as good as advertised after allowing 4.7 yards per rush to the Gamecocks? Will the lack of competition Clemson faces hurt them in the long run? Those question will be answered along with many more as this season shakes out. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Weekly CFB Ratings Sept 10 2019

The top spots remain the same this week with Bama and Clemson ranking #1 and #2 by a wide margin. There was quite a bit of movement involving Big Ten teams. The big jumps were by Ohio State (+1.5), Wisconsin (+2), Michigan State (+1.5) and Maryland joins the top 25. Michigan took a hit (-1.5) with a lackluster showing at home against Army while Penn State and Iowa essentially remained the same in our ratings. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – For Games on Sept 14, 2019

Ohio State ripped through a very solid Cincinnati team last week winning 42-0.  The Buckeyes easily covered the 16.5 point spread and it was the first time since November of 2005 that Cincinnati didn’t score a single point.  The Bucks were +18 first downs, +235 total yards and only punted 3 times the entire game.  [KEEP READING]


This is really a tough call.  The Cards have the lowest win total in the NFL this year set at 5, however there are so many unknowns with this team heading into the season.  New coach, new system on both sides of the ball, new rookie QB, etc…  With former Texas Tech coach Kliff Kingsbury taking over the team, you can bet this will be a fast paced offense with mainly a shotgun look.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s BIG TEN REPORT – For Games on Sept 6, 2019

ILLINOIS – The Illini (-18) look to us like they’ll be an improved team this year and they began to prove that narrative on Saturday with a 42-3 win over Akron.  It was their largest margin of victory since the 2016 opener when they crushed Murray State 52-3.  The offense was led by Michigan transfer QB Brandon Peters who attempted only 23 passes (163 yards passing) but ushered his team to TD’s on each of their first 3 possessions. [KEEP READING]


We have Carolina favored in half of their games this season so we’ll lean ever so slightly to the OVER here and call for an 8-8 record.  They were projected to win 9 games last year and wound up with only 7 wins despite outgaining their opponents on the season.  6 of their 7 wins came by 8 or more points while 7 of their 9 losses came by a TD or less. [KEEP READING]


The Packers had a very poor year by their standards winning just 6 games in 2018 (1 tie as well).  With that being said, they actually outgained their opponents on the season and were probably a bit better than their overall record showed.  Aaron Rodgers had a down year completing just 62% which was the 2nd lowest number of his starting career.  [KEEP READING]


ASA’s team they are looking at for this year’s SEC best bet win total is South Carolina.  Does ASA think the Gamecocks will top their win total or go under the posted number?  Check it out by CLICKING HERE…


This is an interesting number.  The Cowboys won 10 games last year and the oddsmakers set them at just 8.5 this season.  Dallas is already a very public team so you can guarantee most are seeing this number and automatically playing this one over.  That’s when we swoop in on the UNDER 8.5 wins.  When you look closely at last year stats, Dallas was a shaky at best 10-6.  [KEEP READING…]


Who is ASA’s best bet win total in the Big 12 this year?  What team?  Over or Under?  It’s one they like a lot so be sure to take a look by CLICKING HERE…


While we do feel the Chargers weren’t quite as good as their 12-4 record might have indicated last year, to put them at 9.5 wins this year is simply too low.  We think 10-6 might actually be a worst case scenario for this team in 2019.  The one down side to the Chargers schedule is they do lose a home game vs the Chiefs which will be played in Mexico City.  KEEP READING…


Who is ASA’s Top Total win projections in the Big 10 this season?  Hint…It’s a team they are very close to and have held season tickets for 30 years!  Find out what they think of this team in 2019 by CLICKING HERE…


Who is ASA’s top total win projection in the ACC this season?  Is their Best Bet an Over or an Under?  Find out by CLICKING HERE…


How bad have the Fins been the last 2 seasons?  Their combined point differential for 2017 and 2018 was an embarrassing -226!  That includes -112 last year and -114 in 2017.  Even with that, Miami won 6 and 7 games the last 2 seasons.  Now their win total is set just at 5.  KEEP READING…

Point Train NFL Win Total Bet – July 30, 2019

Under 7.5 Wins Buffalo Bills – The Bill Over/Under win total opened at 7 but has since been bet up to 7.5 and the added value makes this an appealing wager, especially considering the Bills have been 7-9 or worse in 11 of the past fourteen seasons. KEEP READING…


Last year the Colts total win projection was set at 6.5 due to the uncertainty of QB Andrew Luck.  They went on to win 10 games with Luck throwing for over 4500 yards and 39 TD’s.  Now this total has bumped up a full 3 games for the 2019 season.  While we’re never overly comfortable siding with such a big move, we feel the Colts will get to at least 10 wins again this year.  [KEEP READING]

Point Train Week 1 College Underdog

Point Train Consultants looks at the opening weekend games in college football and in contrarian fashion, will bet opposite of the public in Week #1.

New Mexico State +34 @ Washington State, August 31st 10:00 PM Eastern – It’s never too early to talk college football and while we prepare for the upcoming season, we already have uncovered several great bets in the opening weekend. Our predictive analytics consider last season’s statistics, wins and losses, margin of victory etc…and formulates an outcome based solely on the numbers. [KEEP READING…]


Baltimore has been one of the more consistent franchises in the NFL winning at least 8 games in 10 of the last 11 seasons.  Last season they finished with the 3rd best point differential in the AFC and the year before they were 4th in that same category.  Seven of their 10 wins came by double digits while half of their losses (3) came either by 1-point or in OT.  This team was close to having more than 10 wins last year [KEEP READING…]

ASA NBA Free Agent Frenzy, July 7th 2019

The shifting NBA landscape Team by Team

As of July 3rd, 2019

The free agent frenzy was like a school of sharks feeding on a drifting whale carcass and the “Great White” of the NBA, Brooklyn, ate up Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant. This team is an immediate contender a year from now when Durant is back, depending on the level he returns at. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NBA Conference Finals Predictions

Who will it be coming out of the Eastern and Western Conferences in the NBA this season? Find out who ASA expects to meet in the NBA Finals this year and how they’ll get there. KEEP READING…

ASA’s Contrarian NBA Champions

So, you’re thinking about a future wager on the NBA Championship and you’re not sure who to take? We can help you with some proven statistics that accurately predict who this year’s Champion may be,and rule out the most obvious media darling pretenders. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Sweet 16 Thursday Previews

PURDUE vs TENNESSEE (-1.5 / 146.5) – Thursday at 7:30 PM ET @ Louisville, KY – The Boilers beat Old Dominion by 13 and Villanova by 26 to get here.  In their completely unexpected (by us anyway) blowout win over Nova, the Boilers shot 54% overall from the field and made 16 of their 30 three pointers.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Thursday Tourney Preview – EVERY game

St Mary’s vs Villanova (-5.5 / 130.5) – Thursday at 7:20 PM ET (Hartford, CT)

St Mary’s won WCC tourney by beating Gonzaga 60-47.  Nova won the Big East tourney winning their 3 games by margins of 11, 4 in OT, and 2 points.  Zags averaged 90 PPG on the season and St Mary’s held them to 69 & 47 points their final 2 meetings of the season.  Gaels held 6 of their final 8 opponents to 65 points or less and they play very slow ranking #347 in tempo out of 351 teams.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP PREVIEW – Northwestern vs Ohio State

OSU enters the Big Ten Championship game with an 11-1 overall record, 8-1 in the Big Ten.  Their lone loss was a bad one as Purdue trounced the Buckeyes 49-20 back on October 20th.  Last week they were a home underdog to arch rival Michigan for the first time since 2004.  [KEEP READING]


This one is for all the marbles in the Big Ten East.  The winner moves on to play Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship game next Saturday.  Both come into this game off less than stellar performances which was sort of expected given the magnitude of this one.  It was evident early on that neither was fully focused on their opponents last week. [KEEP READING]

Point Train Thursday Preview – Tulane vs Houston

The Green Wave of Tulane takes their three-game winning streak to the Lone Star state this Thursday night to take on the Cougars of Houston. With both teams sitting at 4-2 in  conference play and in a three-way tie with SMU for the west division lead in the American Athletic Conference, this game promises to be a good one. [KEEP READING]


Sparty is heading into this game off a 26-6 home loss to Ohio State.  The game was much closer than the 20-point margin however as the Buckeyes scored a TD on a fumble and recorded a safety.  OSU was able to capitalize on 3 MSU turnovers which they turned into 17 of their 26 points.  [KEEP READING]


A quick commentary on the Buckeyes.  There is something off with this team.  They are nowhere near as good as recent Buckeye teams despite their 8-1 record.  We’ve heard the team chemistry just isn’t a strength and it is starting to show on the field. [KEEP READING]

Point Train Thursday Preview Texas Tech vs TCU – Nov 2nd

Friday Night in Charlottesville, Virginia will be electric as the Cavaliers welcome the Panthers of Pittsburgh to town in a battle for division supremacy.  Virginia finds themselves in a way better position right now than most of the fanbase thought they would be to begin the year as the “Hoos” find themselves with a record of 6-2 overall and atop the ACC Coastal.  [KEEP READING]


CENTRAL FLA Vs. EAST CAROLINA – What a horrible bad beat if you had East Carolina. Central Fla, sat their starting QB and was just on cruise control for this entire game. Their backup QB was 12/20 for only 69 yards. They didn’t even try to pass the ball down field all game long.  [KEEP READING]


After back to back poor performances vs Ohio State & Iowa, the Hoosiers played very well last week.  They caught Penn State in a vulnerable spot as the Nittany Lions were coming off down to the wire home loss to both Ohio State and Michigan State.  It showed as PSU looked sluggish at best but still came away with the 33-28 win.  The Hoosiers, now 1-5 in conference play, scored with just 49 seconds remaining to make it a 33-28 deficit.  [KEEP READING]

Kenny Schmitt NFL Tutorial – Oct 19th

Last weeks tutorial, we spoke about the lowest scoring teams in the NFL.  The Buffalo Bills were and still are the lowest scoring team in the NFL, they only managed 229 total yards and 12 first downs against Houston and they almost won the game. This week the Bills are on the road once again as they travel to Indianapolis to face the Colts and their depleted defense. [KEEP READING…]


The Wolverines had a much anticipated night game in Ann Arbor last Saturday.  They faced off against the Wisconsin Badgers and rolled to an easy 38-13 win.  The line move last week was surprising to many as Michigan opened as a 7-point favorite and went off at -10.  [KEEP READING]


VIRGINIA TECH Vs. NORTH CAROLINA – This game was dominated on the field by the Tar Heels. One note early on in this report, is that Larry Fedora has got to go real SOON!  This team is never prepared each week. It’s an embarrassing for this university.

The Tar Heels out gained the Hokies by a margin of 522 – 375 and they really dominated between the trenches as the Heels out rushed the Hokies by a margin of 235 – 154!! [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s 2018 NBA Future Wagers – Oct 15th 

We’re in a minority here but we like UNDER 48.5 win LA Lakers and here’s why. A case can be made that the current Lakers roster is not drastically better than the Cavs lineup last year. If we compare PER or player efficiency ratings from last season we see some similarities. [KEEP READING…]


CALIFORNIA Vs. ARIZONA – This game by far is MOST MISLEADING FINAL SCORE of the week.  The Golden Bears of Cal, seem to be their worst enemy. They cannot get out of their own way. The Bears dominated the Wildcats of Arizona in all facets of the game, except where it counts SCOREBOARD.  Take a look inside the numbers of this game.  [KEEP READING…]

Point Train Thursday Preview Texas Tech vs TCU – Oct 11th

This in-state matchup has favored TCU in recent history as Gary Patterson and TCU have won three of five career games against Texas Tech since Kliff Kingsbury took over the program in 2013.  Although one-sided on paper, the Red Raiders won the last time they visited Fort Worth, escaping with a 27-24 victory in double overtime. [READ MORE…]


The Badgers opened as 21.5 point favorites last week vs Nebraska however the line dropped throughout the week settling in at -17 to -18 at most spots.  The game landed right in that range with Wisconsin winning 41-24.  The Badgers dominated the ground game rolling up 370 yards on 48 carries (7.7 YPC).   [KEEP READING]


What a mess the NFL is through the 1st quarter of the season. Just ponder on this, the AFC North which is known as the BLACK & BLUE division are leading the NFL in giving up the most points to date as Pittsburgh, Cincy, & Cleveland all have allowed over 100 points scored against them.  [KEEP READING…]


The Hawkeyes come off a bye after losing at home 28-17 to Wisconsin two weeks ago.  The game was played almost dead even stat wise with each team picking up 19 first downs and Wisconsin outgaining Iowa by just 11 yards. [KEEP READING]


Total Domination 

Notre Dame Vs. Stanford – It wasn’t the luck of the Irish on Saturday night. It was an ASS WHIPPING the Irish gave the Cardinal of Stanford. The Irish totally dominated this game and as we stated last week Buyer Beware moving forward on the Irish.  If they go into Blacksburg and whip the Hokies, I cannot see how thy won’t go undefeated and make it into the NCAA Playoffs.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA – Is Roughing the QB roughing NFL Totals?

By ASA, Inc – Oct 2nd 2018

We’re four weeks into the regular season and much has been made of penalties in the NFL, namely the roughing the quarterback calls. So how has this heightened sensitivity around QB’s impacted Over/Under wagers and Totals in the NFL this season?

Let’s first examine points scored. In 2017 through the first four weeks of the season the average total points scored in an NFL game was 43.73 points per game. The yearly average points scored in 2017 ended up at 43.55PPG, which is slightly lower than the first four week average. [KEEP READING…]



First things first, we have to give credit when credit is due.  I was completely SHOCKED when Brian Kelly pulled a Nick Saban last week against Wake Forest. What I’m referring to is he BENCHED staring QB Brandon Wimbush before the Wake Forest game in favor of Ian Book. I wish I would’ve known about this change as we would’ve played off on Notre Dame! [KEEP READING…]


The Buckeyes were in a classic letdown spot last Saturday facing Tulane as a 37.5 point favored just one week after their big win over TCU.  Despite the tough scheduling spot for OSU, they trounced the Green Wave 49-6 and getting the cover.   [KEEP READING]

Kenny Schmitt’s Thursday Tutorial – Sept 21st

What a first two weeks of the NFL, everyone has the L.A.Rams winning the Superbowl, but remember they’ve only faced and beaten two 0-2 teams in the Oakland Raiders and the Arizona Cardinals. It looks as they tower over their division.  [KEEP READING…]

Kenny Schmitt’s NCAA MISLEADING FINALS  – Sept 18th

Notre Dame Vs. Vanderbilt – The cliche we’ve all been hearing for our entire life the Luck Of The Irish, and boy have they been lucky the past two weeks. Just two weeks ago Ball St. pushed them all over the field and came up short on the scoreboard and how lucky were the Irish this week against Vandy!  [KEEP READING…]

Tutorial Thursday – By Kenny Schmitt – Sept 13th

Our Thursday edition of our newsletter, we’re going to give you all some solid nuggets of information in the NFL that is key to handicapping each weeks scheduled games.  This type of information you’ll see below is a much different approach than trends that many handicappers use and or bettors follow each week when wagering.

Wash Vs. Indy – Well the Skins come into this game after CRUSHING the Cardinals in the desert last Sunday, on the other hand the Colts come in off a home loss to the Bengals. [KEEP READING…]


To say the Buckeyes have been impressive in their first two games with head coach Urban Meyer serving his early season suspension.  Meyer will miss this game as well before he is back on the sidelines at home vs Tulane.  [KEEP READING]  

Kenny Schmitt’s misleading NCAA Finals – Sept 11th

The Tuesday edition of our newsletter will feature, what we call NCAA misleading final scores. Remember their is much more to a game than the highlights, final score, & team rankings. We dig into the meat of the game, we look at KEY PLAYS, Yards Per Play, Turnovers, & First Downs! When handicapping football, their is much more than who’s facing each other on the gridiron! [KEEP READING…]

Point Train – Boston College at Wake Forest Week III:

*Friday, 6:30PM ET – Time change due to Hurricane Florence*

Winston-Salem is the home of Wake Forest University who host the Eagles of Boston College at BB&T Field this Thursday night with Hurricane Florence looming. Both the Demon-Deacons and the Eagles hope to open up ACC conference play with a win and improve to 3-0 on the season. [KEEP READING…]

Point Train – SMU vs TCU Preview

September 7th, 2018

For 364 days of the year, the Dallas-Fort Worth area is for the most part very friendly when it comes to college football. The one day it is not is the day the football teams of Texas Christian University and Southern Methodist University meet on the field and battle for the Iron Skillet. This year’s edition comes to us from Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas on Friday, September 7th. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Predictions Entire NFC West – LA Rams Win Bet – 2018

2018 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 9.5 Wins for LA Rams

While the Rams had an outstanding 11 win season in 2017, we think they come into this year a bit overvalued.  Their win total going into last year was set at 5.5 and now it’s a full 4 games higher at 9.5.  The Rams offense made a ridiculous jump from dead last in the NFL in 2016 averaging 14 PPG to first in the NFL (basically tied with Pats and Eagles) at 29 PPG.  [KEEP READING entire NFC West]

ASA’s NFL Predictions Entire NFC East – Philadelphia Eagles Win Bet – 2018

2018 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 10.5 Wins for the Philadelphia Eagles

We often like to look toward the UNDER the year after a team has a break out type season.  They are often over valued heading into the next year.  We feel that might be the case here with the Eagles.  Even though they won 13 games last year, the oddsmakers have their total set at 10.5.  Most will look at that number and automatically take the OVER.  Not us. [KEEP READING entire NFC East]

ASA’s NFL Predictions Entire NFC South – New Orleans Saints Win Bet – 2018

2018 ASA prediction – Play OVER 9.5 Wins for the New Orleans Saints

NFC SOUTHHeading into last year our main question in regards to the Saints was can they stop anybody?  We knew the offense would be good and they were averaging an NFL best 6.3 YPP and 28 PPG.  The defense made a huge jump allowing 21 PPG which was a full TD less per game than the previous season.  [KEEP READING entire NFC South here]

ASA’s NFL Predictions Entire NFC North – Minnesota Vikings Win Bet – 2018

2018 ASA prediction – Play OVER 10 Wins for the Minnesota Vikings

We think the Vikings are the top team in the division and 10 wins might just be their floor.  Is this team a full 4 wins worse than last year?  We doubt it and that’s what it would take to finish under this number.  They made an upgrade at QB with Kirk Cousins coming in from Washington.  [KEEP READING entire NFC North here]


Duke +3 @ Northwestern, Saturday at 12 PM ET

The Blue Devils had an impressive revenge win last weekend beating Army 34-14.  After the Cadets topped Duke 21-16 last year, the Devils put a heavy emphasis on this game and played well.  Most impressive was their rush defense as they held Army to just 168 yards rushing on 47 carries (just 3.6 YPC).   [KEEP READING]

ASA’s NFL Predictions Entire AFC West – Oakland Raiders Win Bet – 2018

2018 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 8.5 Wins for the Oakland Raiders

This is a tough call for us but we’ll lean ever so slightly to the UNDER.  We look for Oakland to finish 8-8 which would keep them under this number by a half game.  We anticipate new head coach Jon Gruden will be an upgrade but it may take a year to get this team acclimated to his ways. [KEEP READING for AFC West]

ASA PREVIEW: Saturday, Aug 25th, 7:30PM ET

Hawaii @ Colorado State (-14) [58]

The Hawaii Rainbows travel to the mainland to face Mountain West rivals Colorado State in an early season conference clash. This game features a pair of teams in rebuilding mode as both have significant turnover from a season ago. [KEEP READING]

ASA’s NFL Predictions Entire AFC East – New England Patriots Win Bet – 2018

2018 ASA prediction – Play OVER 10.5 Wins for the New England Patriots

There seem to be some potential problems in Patriotville with Belichick finally rubbing some players the wrong way including Tom Brady.  As of this writing TE Gronkowski’s status is still up in the air and the defense was as bad as it’s been in years last season.  [KEEP READING for entire AFC East]

ASA’s NFL prediction Entire AFC South – Jacksonville Jaguars Win Bet

2018 ASA prediction – Play OVER 9.5 Wins for the Jacksonville Jaguars

We’re always wary of teams that are bad for a number of years and then make a big jump for one year.  The Jags won only 3 games in 2016 and pushed that to 10 wins last season.  Based on the overall numbers it was not a fluke as this team outgained and outscored teams with margins in those two categories among the best in the NFL. [KEEP READING for AFC South]

ASA’s NFL Predictions – Entire AFC North – Pittsburgh Steelers

2018 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 10.5 Wins for the Pittsburgh Steelers

We took the Steelers Over 10.5 last season but this year we’re leaning Under.  This team is getting older at key positions, especially QB where Roethlisberger is entering his 15th season.  He’s now missed 7 games over the last 3 seasons due to injury and the physical pounding is taking its toll.  [KEEP READING for entire AFC North]

Early College Football Line Movement:  By Scott Rickenbach

michigan vs notre dameComing at you from the summer desert heat of Las Vegas but looking forward to the upcoming football season. It is June 4th, 2018 and that means we are only a little over a month away from NFL Training Camps opening up followed by the Preseason NFL campaign kicking off in two months from now.  [KEEP READING]


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