2017 NFL Predictions – Cleveland Browns Under 4.5 Wins

Cleveland Browns – 2016 record (1-15) – 4th in the AFC North

  • Off YPG – 311 (30th) – Def YPG – 392.4 (31st)
  • Points scored 16.5 (31st) – Points allowed 28.2 (30th)

2017 Total Win Analysis

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2017 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 4.5 Wins for the Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns HelmetHave the Browns improved enough to jump a full 4 wins in 2017?  Not in our opinion.  This team had only 1 win last year and we don’t see them getting to 5 wins this season.  This franchise has THE WORST record in the NFL since 2010 with 29 wins & 83 losses.  That’s an average of just 4 wins per season.  There is a solid chance they will be underdogs in every game this season.  They do have a chance to be small favorites at home vs Jacksonville or the NY Jets but that’s it.  They were not favored in any game last year and have been a favorite only 62 times total since the start of the 2001 season.  Will they improve on 16 PPG with Osweiler at QB?  Possibly not.  He is one of the most inaccurate passers in the NFL with 22 interceptions in his 23 games played the last 2 seasons.  The Cleveland defense was actually pretty good two years ago before getting worn down later in the year.  Last season they were flat out bad finishing 30th in YPG allowed & 31st in PPG allowed.  They allowed 27 or more points in 12 of their 16 games last season!  Unless their defense improves drastically, this offense won’t be able to keep up.  Look for another 2 or 3 win season at best from the Browns.

Against The Spread – 3-12-1 ATS record / 8 Overs, 8 Unders

  • Browns are 9-19-2 ATS (32%) as a home favorite since 2008, the worst mark in the NFL.
  • Since the start of the 2011 season, Cleveland has gone UNDER the total in 55 of their 96 games – that’s a 57% UNDER mark of the last 6 seasons.
  • The Browns have gone UNDER the total in 23 of their last 34 AFC North contests.
  • Cleveland has been absolutely dominated by division rival Pittsburgh. The Steelers have won 30 of the last 34 meetings (Pitt is 20-13-1 ATS in those meetings).
  • Since the start of the 2008 season, the Browns are just 10-44 SU (22-30-2 ATS) vs the AFC North.