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Big Twelve Conference Future Wagers – By ASA
Baylor – UNDER 9.5 Wins – This one is tough. Baylor is very talented and their offensive skill players are as good as any in the country. The big question is, how do they respond to the loss of their head coach Art Briles who was let go in the off-season due to a wide spread sexual assault scandal? [KEEP READING]
NFL AFC East ATS Preview By Scott Rickenbach
August 5, 2016
Buffalo Bills – The Bills had a rather quiet off-season after making a lot of noise heading into the 2015 season. It didn’t help a lot as Buffalo went from 9-7 in 2014 to 8-8 in 2015. Buffalo looks poised for a similar mediocre performance this season. One thing to keep in mind about the Bills is that they have been much better at home than on the road in terms of their ATS records the past three seasons. Buffalo has gone 16-8 ATS at home and only 9-13-2 on the road. [KEEP READING]
NFLX Coaches Straight Up Records
We have put together a breakdown of all the NFL current head coaches and how they’ve done historically in the NFL exhibition season. A coaches philosophy concerning the preseason can be a useful and necessary tool when it comes to handicapping the ‘games that don’t count’.
Some coaches obviously take the approach that these games don’t matter and it’s way more important to stay healthy heading into the regular season. [KEEP READING]
NFLX QB Rotations and the Best/Worst
One critical aspect to handicapping the NFL exhibition season is knowing each teams quarterback rotations and potentially how much each QB will play. Teams with better depth or veteran backups have a decided advantage in certain games when coaches limit their starters snaps and allow their 2nd quarterback to play against opposing teams second units. [KEEP READING]
Big Ten East Future Wagers
Indiana – OVER 4.5 Wins – The Hoosiers won 6 games last year partly due to their weak non-conference slate as they were 4-0 entering Big Ten play. They began conference play with 6 straight losses before winning their final two games, both on the road, to get to a bowl game. We see a similar situation this year as the Hoosiers could easily be 3-0 in the non-conference then need just 2 Big Ten wins to push them over 4.5. [KEEP READING]
Big Ten West Future Wagers
Illinois – UNDER 4.5 Wins – The Illini came up with 5 wins last year and we look for this year’s team to take a step back. First of all, they have a brand new coaching staff which means new schemes on both sides of the ball. The feeling through/learning process usually takes a full year as teams under a new coach tend to improve quite a bit between years 1 & 2. Lovie Smith is the new head man and he last coached in college in 1995. He inherits a fairly inexperienced team with just 11 starters returning and only 38 lettermen back (the least in the Big Ten). The offense last year was bad averaging only 17 PPG in conference play but the defense was actually pretty solid. [KEEP READING]
ACC Coastal Division Future Wagers
Duke – UNDER 5.5 Wins – This is really a tough call because the Devils have a huge unknown at QB. Last year’s starter Thomas Sirk (2,600 yards passing, 800 yards rushing) tore his Achilles tendon in February and while he’s targeting a September return, we really don’t know when he’ll be back if at all. Duke won 7 games with Sirk at the helm last year but we think they’ll struggle this year if he isn’t able to play at 100%. [KEEP READING]
ACC Atlantic Division Wagers
Boston College – UNDER 6.5 Wins – Last year BC won 3 of their first 4 games and then proceeded to drop their final 8 games going 0-8 in the ACC. Offense was a major issue for this team. They scored 100 points in the first two games vs Maine & Howard and then proceeded to score 106 the REST OF THE SEASON! They averaged 17 PPG on a measly 276 YPG but as you can see, those numbers were definitely skewed by the first 2 games. [KEEP READING]
Pac 12 South Future Wagers
Arizona (Last Yr 7-6) – UNDER 6 Wins – The Wildcats won 6 regular season games last year after winning 10 in 2014. We have the Cats finishing at 6-6 again this year, however if we had to lean one way or the other, we’d probably look at the UNDER before the OVER in this one. Zona’s offense was solid last year putting up 464 yards per game in Pac 12 play. However they return just 57% of their total offensive yards and must replace 3 offensive linemen. [KEEP READING]
Pac 12 North Total Win Futures
California (Last Yr 8-5) – UNDER 4 Wins Head man Sonny Dykes finally pushed Cal “over the hump” last season as the Bears went 8-5 (just 4-5 in conference play) and got back to a bowl for the first time since 2011. That was with Jared Goff, the #1 pick in the NFL draft under center. Things will be different this year as Goff moves on and 77% of their offensive yards overall from last year are now gone. Let’s face it, Cal had a chance to be very good last year with a great QB and very good skill position players but had a number of close wins (margins of 1, 2, 6, & 6 points) so the Bears weren’t that far from being a .500 type team. [KEEP READING]
ASA’s College Football Opening Weekend Notes
FIRST PREVIEW – LSU vs Wisconsin on Saturday, September 3rd – SEC vs BIG TEN
LSU -10 vs WISCONSIN (@ Lambeau Field) – First college game in Lambeau in over 30 years…New LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda was the Badgers DC last season…[KEEP READING]
ASA’s SUPER BOWL PREDICTION 2016
Green Bay Packers 2015 records (10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS)
OFF YPG: 334.6 (24th) – DEF YPG: 346.7 (14th)
PTS Scored: 23PPG (15th) – PTS Allowed: 20.2PPG (12th)
The Packers have made the playoffs in 6 consecutive years and 7 of the last 8. We fully expect them to make the post-season again this year and they are a nice Super Bowl Longshot at 11-1 to win it all. Green Bay’s strength of schedule this season ranks as the easiest in the entire NFL. Their opponents this year had a combined record of 117-139 a year ago. They play only 5 games vs teams that made the playoffs last season with 11 of their 16 games vs teams that were at or below .500 last year. After winning the NFC North for 4 straight seasons, the Pack finished 2nd to Minnesota last year but pushed into the playoffs as a wildcard. We fully expect them to move ahead of the Vikings this year and win the division. [KEEP READING HERE…]
April AL Pitching Overachievers
By Joe Nelson of Nelly Sports
Starting pitching is the biggest component of MLB handicapping and as the first month of the season winds down there are some surprising pitchers off to great starts. Here are a few American League starters with great results through the first few weeks that may be worth fading as their valuation grows.
Mat Latos – Chicago White Sox: Latos looked like one of the NL’s better young pitchers a few years ago with the Padres before having a few moderately successful seasons in Cincinnati. After bouncing around last season with few positive outings Latos was signed for a very cheap one-year deal by the White Sox last winter. [KEEP READING…]
An Efficient way to pick the NBA Champion
Efficiency ratings and rankings have become the standard measurement of teams and players and if you are not familiar with those numbers, and you’re a sports bettor, you might want to do a little research and get to know what they mean. Very simply put Offensive Efficiency (OEFF = points scored per 100 possessions) and Defensive Efficiency (DEFF = points allowed per 100 possessions) are great ways to evaluate teams and players and how good they truly are. The league average for OEFF this season was 106 while the defensive number was 106.8. [KEEP READING…]
ASA’s MLB Future Wagers and A.L. Pennant Winner
OVER 66.5 WINS for the PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
Completely different atmosphere in the clubhouse this year, direction starts at the top and they got rid of upper management that was killing them, it’s only spring training but their 14-5 start is already showing there is a different “feel” with this year’s team, this is a very low win total and the Phillies won 63 games with a much more “toxic” clubhouse last year…that says a lot right there…[KEEP READING HERE]
What you need to know about Daily Fantasy Sports Investing – By ASA
If you are just getting into daily fantasy football “betting” then this article will explain the different styles of daily contest you can play. Daily fantasy contests are set up with a salary cap where you pick players at different positions and earn points based on their performance. The better the players the higher their salary is which provides us with the strategy aspect of Daily Fantasy. Your goal is to pick the very best team possible while staying below the set salary cap. There are several different types of Daily Fantasy contests which we will talk about next. [KEEP READING…]
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