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April AL Pitching Overachievers


By: Joe Nelson

Starting pitching is the biggest component of MLB handicapping and as the first month of the season winds down there are some surprising pitchers off to great starts. Here are a few American League starters with great results through the first few weeks that may be worth fading as their valuation grows.

Mat LatosMat Latos – Chicago White Sox: Latos looked like one of the NL’s better young pitchers a few years ago with the Padres before having a few moderately successful seasons in Cincinnati. After bouncing around last season with few positive outings Latos was signed for a very cheap one-year deal by the White Sox last winter. [KEEP READING…]


An Efficient way to pick the NBA Champion

By ASAwins

SpursEfficiency ratings and rankings have become the standard measurement of teams and players and if you are not familiar with those numbers, and you’re a sports bettor, you might want to do a little research and get to know what they mean.  Very simply put Offensive Efficiency (OEFF = points scored per 100 possessions) and Defensive Efficiency (DEFF = points allowed per 100 possessions) are great ways to evaluate teams and players and how good they truly are.  The league average for OEFF this season was 106 while the defensive number was 106.8. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s MLB Future Wagers and A.L. Pennant Winner

Completely different atmosphere in the clubhouse this year, direction starts at the top and they got rid of upper management that was killing them, it’s only spring training but their 14-5 start is already showing there is a different “feel” with this year’s team, this is a very low win total and the Phillies won 63 games with a much more “toxic” clubhouse last year…that says a lot right there…[KEEP READING HERE]

NCAA Tournament Location Advantages


By: Joe Nelson of Nelly’s Sportsline

March MadnessWhile most of the NCAA tournament games will generally be played in unfamiliar venues and spacious arenas with mixed fan bases, it is worth taking a look at the travel required and the groupings of teams in each pod. Here is a brief look at some of the advantages and disadvantages presented by the selection committee this season with regards to location in the opening games. [KEEP READING HERE…]

ASA’s Bracketology – A look at the 2016 NCAA Contenders!

By: American Sports Analysts

Final 4 NCAA TournamentTwelve of the last 13 college basketball national champions have finished above, what we’ll call, the “Kenpom Line.” The KenPom Line refers to teams that finish in both the top 18 in Ken Pomeroy’s (www.kenpom.com) offensive efficiency and top 21 in his defensive efficiency rankings.  The only “outlier” that didn’t fall into the criteria listed above was UConn in 2014.  The Huskies did fall into the defensive category ranking 10th nationally but fell short of the offensive numbers.  Here are where each of the last 13 National Champions ranked in the two categories… [KEEP READING…]

Best and Worst Big Dance Draws


By: Joe Nelson of Nelly’s Sportsline

Dissecting the bracket and the decisions of the selection committee is certainly a fun topic Monday morning. Here is a quick look at some of the favorable and unfavorable draws in the bracket. Neither is indicative of ultimate success in the tournament but some teams were dealt better hands than others.

Worst Draws:

ncaa-basketball-west-virginia-northern-kentucky-850x560West Virginia (#3 East): The Mountaineers made it to the Big XII championship game, narrowly losing against #1 overall Kansason Saturday. Most power ratings project West Virginia as a clear top 10 team but they have drawn a fairly difficult path as a #3 seed, while staring at the Oklahoma team they finished ahead of and just beat as a #2 seed. Stephen F. Austin hasn’t lost a game since the calendar turned to 2016 taking a 20 game winning streak into the tournament. [READ MORE…]

Missouri Valley Conference Tournament Preview

By: Joe Nelson – Nelly Sportsline

cbbThe Missouri Valley Conference Tournament is this week Thursday, March 3 to Sunday, March 6 at the Scotttrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri. The ten-team league has had some exciting conference tournament moments and has been the mid-major conference to watch in the Big Dance with several notable wins in recent years. Here is a look at the field for 2016. [READ MORE…]

Nelly – NBA Western Conference Big 3 Schedules

Joe Nelson

Three teams are dominating the Western Conference with the Warriors, Spurs, and Thunder pacing the field. With less than two months of regular season action remaining here is a look at the teams that will have the most and the fewest games vs. those powerful teams down the stretch. [READ MORE…]


Nelly’s Super Bowl 50 Total Decision – OVER Argument

Joe NelsonSuper Bowl 50 is approaching and as usual it is a tough call. Here is a case for both totals in the big game as both the ‘over’ and the ‘under’ have a compelling case. Hear the arguments and make your decision on the winning total for Sunday’s big game.

Super Bowl 50 ‘OVER’ Argument:

Some may be viewing this year’s Super Bowl as an offense vs. defense matchup given Denver’s great defense and the high scoring of the Panthers. Carolina led the league in scoring this season and the Panthers were also a productive offensive team posting almost 367 yards per game. Denver gained over 355 yards per game as well as the Broncos were capable of moving the ball this season despite not always delivering great scoring numbers. [READ MORE…]

Nelly’s Super Bowl 50 Total Decision- UNDER Argument

Joe NelsonSuper Bowl 50 is approaching and as usual it is a tough call. Here is a case for both totals in the big game as both the ‘over’ and the ‘under’ have a compelling case. Hear the arguments and make your decision on the winning total for Sunday’s big game.

Super Bowl 50 ‘UNDER’ Argument:

Last season’s Super Bowl featuring the Seattle Seahawks and the New England Patriots slipped just ‘over’ the total with 52 points scored on a total that closed at 47, falling from earlier numbers closer to 48.5. As we all recall it looked like even more points would be scored as an interception near the end zone effectively ended the game. [READ MORE…]



Each week there are a handful of NFL games that go down to the wire not only on the scoreboard but also relative to the pointspread. Here is a look at the outcome-impacting late game plays from Week 17 of the NFL season with several games nearly featuring a different result to wrap up the regular season.

Buffalo Bills (+3) 22, New York Jets 17 (41): Buffalo led 13-0 early in this AFC East matchup with the Jets in a win to make the playoff situation. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report – Dec 27th


PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Ben Roethlisberger  Steelers vs Ravens (Draft Kings price $6800)

imagesRoethlisberger – The Steelers are in a must win situation playing against a division rival and we expect them to put of plenty of points with Big Ben accounting for a majority of them. Pittsburgh averages over 402.9 yards per game which is the second highest number in the NFL and 6.3 yards per play which is also 2nd most. Pittsburgh average 7.8 yards per pass (4th) while the Ravens allow 7.0 yards per pass play which is 19th. This Baltimore D has given up 35 and 34 points the past two weeks and look like they’ve called it a season. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Reports – Dec 13th


PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Drew Brees – Saints vs Buccaneers (Draft Kings price $6800)

Drew BreesThe Saints and Drew Brees should put up some points against a Bucs pass defense that is 19th in the NFL in fantasy points allowed to opposing QB’s.  The Saints average 24.9PPG which is the 9th highest scoring O in the league and they throw the football 64.57% of the time which is the 7th highest percentage in the NFL.  Brees completes over 68% of his attempts and the Bucs D allows over 67% completions which is the 28th worst in the NFL. Brees had a horrible game back in Week #2 against the Bucs but we expect a much bigger day here. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Marquette vs Wisconsin Preview


Marquette @ Wisconsin, Saturday at 1:30 PM ET

These two in-state rivals meet for the 122nd time in Madison on Saturday afternoon.  Last year’s game was a low scoring slugfest with Wisconsin (-12) winning 49-38 in Milwaukee.  The Golden Eagles covered that game by one point giving the underdog the cash in this series 13 of the last 16 meetings.  Marquette began the season losing 2 of their first 3 games (losses to Belmont & Iowa) and their only win during that opening stretch was in overtime vs IUPUI.  [KEEP READING]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report – Dec 6th


CAMNEWTONPAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Cam Newton – Panthers vs Saints (Draft Kings price $7400)

The Saints defense is awful and because the Panthers use Newton in so many different ways he continues to put up monster fantasy numbers.  Newton has 7 rushing TD’s this season and 427 total yards on the ground to go along with 20 passing TD’s and nearly 2,500 passing yards. Newton should easily break his career high passing TD’s of 24 and might just do it against the Saints this Sunday. New Orleans is horrendous in terms of pass defense giving up 284 passing yards per game and 8.3 yards per pass attempt. [KEEP  READING…]


MSU footballBIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME – Saturday, Dec 5th @ Indianapolis

Michigan State -3.5 (52.5) vs Iowa, Saturday at 8:15 PM ET

MSU comes into this game with one loss vs undefeated Iowa yet Sparty is the favorite.  MSU had a “weird” year as far as the spread goes.  They were overvalued early in the season as they didn’t cover a single game in their first 6 starts losing those games by -46.5 points to the number (an average of 7.7 PPG behind the spread).  However, since that terrible spread run, MSU has covered 5 of 6 down the stretch capturing those games by a whopping +70 points above the number (an average of 11.6 PPG above the spread). [KEEP READING]



PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Drew Brees – Saints vs Texans (Draft Kings price $7300)

Drew BreesDrew Bree’s has put up some monster fantasy numbers in two of the last three weeks with 49.3FPPT’s versus the Giants and 35.38FPPT’s against the Titans. Bree’s is averaging 23.5FPPT’s per game on DK and we expect a big day against a Texans defense that has under-achieved all season.  New Orleans throws the football 62.21% of the time,0 which is the 10th highest average in the NFL.  Bree’s completes 70.66% off his attempts which is the best in the league for a 7.7 yard per catch average which ranks 5th. [KEEP READING…]


Tom BradyNew England is now an unblemished 10-0 SU this season and on a current 13-0 streak dating back to last season.  Back on October 1st you could have bet the Pats to go 16-0 at 12 to 1 and now that number has dipped as low as 4-1 at some Sportsbooks.  (Carolina is currently 11-1 and we’re not buying the Caroline-Kool Aid just yet).  Our focus is on the quarterback match ups the next 6 games for New England and how Tom Brady will stack up against his opponents. [KEEP READING…]


Joel StaveNORTHWESTERN @ WISCONSIN – This line opened with Wisconsin an 11 point favorite and has dropped to 10 as of Wednesday.  The Badgers are coming off a bye week and this is their home finale.  The host has won 8 straight in this series by an average score of 36-18.  Northwestern seems to have turned things around since a mid-October mini slump.  They started the season with 5 straight wins and then were blown out on back to back weekends vs Michigan & Iowa. [KEEP READING]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report – Nov 15th

PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Aaron Rodgers- Packers vs Lions (Draft Kings price $7500)
In Aaron Rodgers words…R-E-L-A-X Packer fans.  After facing two of the league’s top 10 teams in terms of passing efficiency defense the Packers take a giant step down against the Detroit Lions this Sunday.  Detroit is 30th in pass efficiency defense and rank near the bottom in several defensive categories including opponents completion against at 73.1% which is last in the league. [KEEP READING…]


BIG10MICHIGAN (7-2) @ INDIANA (4-5) – Current Line MICHIGAN (-13) – Opening Line (-12)

This opening line was very interesting to us.  If we rewind one week, we’ll see that undefeated, top 10 Iowa was favored by 6.5 or 7 here against Indiana.  This week the oddmakers decided to make 2 loss Michigan a 12.5 point favorite despite the fact that IU gave Iowa all they could handle last week.   That tells us that Michigan would be a 5.5 to 6 point favorite over Iowa on a neutral field. [KEEP READING…]


penn st vs NWPENN STATE (7-2) @ NORTHWESTERN (6-2) – Current Line NORTHWESTERN (-2) – OPENING LINE (-2.5)

Northwestern entered their game @ Michigan back on October 10th with a perfect 5-0 record and a defense that was ranked #1 in the nation allowing just 7 PPG.  Then the bottom fell out.  In their last 3 games (1-2 record) the Cats have lost by a combined score of 106-40.  They have been outgained in each of those 3 games by a combined 546 yards! [KEEP READING]


MICMichigan Go BlueHIGAN (5-2) @ MINNESOTA (4-3) – Current Line MICHIGAN (-13.5) – OPENING LINE (-13.5)

One of the biggest factors in handicapping this game is to try and determine how the players will react to head coach Jerry Kill stepping down earlier this week.  He was a VERY well liked head coach, we know that for sure.  Do they rally and try and win this game for him or do they come out flat because they are devastated? [KEEP READING]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report – Nov 1st

PREMIUM ROI – QB – Ryan Fitzpatrick  – Jets vs Raiders (DK price $5200)

FitzpatrickRyan Fitzpatrick – If you are looking for a value QB this week then we have you covered with Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Jets.  The Jets are looking like a potential contender in the AFC and it’s not just because of their great defense.  Fitzpatrick has put up consistent fantasy numbers this season but in the past two weeks he’s racked up 26.2 and 21.7 FPPT’s and we see that trend continuing this week against the Raiders.  Oakland is 11th in total passing yards allowed this season, 7th in completions allowed and they’ve given up 11 TD passes which is 13th worst.   Fitzpatrick doesn’t have huge yardage statistics but he’s found the end zone this season and should be in-line for another 20+ point outing here. [BUY REPORT HERE $9.99]

ASA’s NBA Total Win Bets and Future wager – Oct 27th

BucksWe like OVER 44.5 the win total for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2015/16.  The Bucks landed a huge free agent in the offseason when Greg Monroe choose them over the Knicks among other big market franchises.  Monroe was good in Detroit but in Milwaukee he figures to play a much bigger role. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 7 – Oct 22nd

VALUE PLAYER – QB – Eli Manning – NY Giants vs. Cowboys (Draft King price $6800)

Eli ManningManning had a MONSTER game two weeks against the 49ers by completing 41 of 54 pass attempts for 441 yards with 3 TD’s and 1 INT for over 32 FPPT’s.  Last week he looked awful (along with the rest of the Giants offense) against the Eagles with just 10.76FPPT’s on 24 of 38 passing with 189 yards, 1 TD and 2 INT’s.   [BUY HERE $9.99]


MSU footballINDIANA (4-3) @ MICHIGAN STATE (7-0) – Current Line MSU (-16.5) – OPENING LINE (-16.5)

The Indiana faithful were giddy a few weeks ago after starting the season 4-0.  Only two more wins and they were heading to a bowl game for the first time since 2007.  It would be just their 2nd bowl appearance since 199#!  Oops.  Now the Hoosiers sit at 4-3 after losing their first 3 conference games.  And now they get to face MSU on the road before a much needed bye.  [KEEP READING]

Nelly’s 4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Week 6

houston cougarsHouston (-24) 49, SMU 28: This game was tied at 21-21 late in the second quarter but Houston pulled away, eventually leading 49-21 halfway through the fourth quarter to get past the heavy favorite spread. SMU would score in the final four minutes with a 25-yard pass play to earn the underdog cover with the total on the game eclipsed with the final score as well. [KEEP READING…]


IowaIOWA (6-0) @ NORTHWESTERN (5-1) – Current Line IOWA (-2) – OPENING LINE IOWA (Pick-em)

This was an interesting opening line and an even more intriguing initial line move.  We thought NW would come out as a small favorite here despite their poor performance last week.  The line was released at pick-em and the first move pushed it all the way to Iowa -3 which in our opinion is a ridiculous line.   Let’s not forget just two weeks ago, Iowa was +7 @ Wisconsin, a team we have rated just barely above Northwestern. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 6 – Oct 15th



PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Tom Brady – New England Patriots (Draft Kings price $8100)

Tom BradyThe #1 fantasy quarterback in average points per game is Tom Brady at 27.7FPPT’s and he’s in line for another big day against the Colts on Sunday.  Remember how ‘deflategate’ got started last season?  Yep, it was the Colts who blew the whistle on Brady and the Patriots.  Do you think Brady’s forgotten that?  Yeah, I don’t think so.  New England has scored 31 or more points in 7 straight meetings with the Colts and put up 45 and 42 against them last season.  In the two meetings in 2014 Brady threw for just under 500 yards with 5 TD’s but did have 3 INT’s. [KEEP READING…FREE THIS WEEK]

Nelly Sports – 4th Quarter Covers – NCAAF Week 5

Memphis (-7) 24, South Florida 17: The spread on this game dropped all week opening as high as -12½ before falling to a closing line of just -7 for the Tigers on the road. South Florida made the move look smart early, leading 10-0 in the second quarter. By the end of the third quarter Memphis had taken over and after a 13-play, 92-yard touchdown drive the Tigers were up by seven heading into the final quarter. That lead was pushed to 24-10 in the fourth quarter, getting Memphis past any of the lines throughout the week. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 5 – Oct 8th


PAY TOP DOLLAR – WR Keenan Allen  – San Diego Chargers (DK price $7,200)

KEENAN ALLENKeenan Allan should have a big day against a Steelers pass defense that hasn’t lived up to past generations reputations.  Allen in tied for 5th among wide receivers in targets this season at 46 with 33 receptions for 387 yards and 3 TD’s.  He’s caught 6 passes for 20+ yards and has 119 yards after the catch.  It’s obvious he’s capable of putting up Julio Jones type numbers as he’s racked up 34.6 and 40.3 fantasy points in two games already this season.  You can get Allen for a full $2,000 cheaper than Jones this week which affords you the opportunity to spend some place else.  [BUY HERE $9.99]


NW vs MichiganNORTHWESTERN (5-0) @ MICHIGAN (4-1) – Current Line MICHIGAN (-7.5) – Opening Line (-8)

Before you look at this very low total (currently 35) and think about jumping on the OVER, let’s take a look at what these two teams have done the last 2 seasons when facing each other. Last year NW played host to Michigan as a 2-point underdog and the Wolverines came out on top 10-9. [KEEP READING]


BIG10PURDUE @ MICHIGAN STATE – Current Line MICHIGAN STATE (-22) – Opening Line (-23)

As poor as Purdue has been the last two years (1-15 Big Ten record) they have given Michigan State some problems.  Last season they played host to Sparty and lost 45-31 as a 21-point dog (cover for Boilers).  That contest was a down to the wire situation as MSU led just 38-31 with under 2:00 remaining in the game. [KEEP READING]

Best bang for your NFL Week 4 daily fantasy buck

By Scott Rickenbach

Running back
Carlos Hyde, San Francisco 49ers ($7,400) vs. Latavius Murray, Oakland Raiders ($7,500)

LataviusMurrayHyde was the daily fantasy darling of Week 1, rolling up 31.2 points on the Vikings. Since then he’s been limited to 8.1 points in Week 2 and 6.6 points in Week 3. But it’s not solely his fault. The Niners defense has been up against some potent offensive attacks, leaking 43 points to Pittsburgh and 47 points versus Arizona last Sunday. When you’re giving up that much on the scoreboard, the offense really can’t afford to run the ball. This week may be no different, with the high-powered Packers visiting Levi’s Stadium. [KEEP READING…]

Nelly Sports – 4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Week 4

Memphis (-7½) 53, Cincinnati 46: The first game of the weekend was one of the wildest as Cincinnati and Memphis traded scores most of the night in a big Thursday night matchup in the AAC. Cincinnati led 33-31 heading into the fourth quarter posting big numbers even after starting quarterback Gunner Kiel left for the second straight game with injury. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 4 – Sunday, Oct 4th

PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Cam Newton – Carolina Panthers (Draft Kings price $7000)

CAMNEWTONIf you’re looking to save a few bucks at the quarterback position I would recommend Cam Newton here.  If not, I would take a look at Aaron Rodgers as he’s simply the best QB in the league.  But I prefer more balance and don’t want to have players that a majority of other players have on their rosters.  Why Newton is worth the $7000 investment?  The Panthers have scored 8 touchdowns this season and Newton has accounted for 7 of those and the other was scored by the defense.  *This is just one sample of what you get in our  report* [BUY HERE]

By Nelly Sports – 4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Week 3

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the third weekend of college football. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Clemson (-5) over Louisville: After a very low scoring, low-output first half Louisville took the lead early in the third quarter in the big Thursday night ACC Atlantic matchup. Clemson answered and by the start of the fourth quarter the Tigers led by seven, extending that margin to 10 points after a field goal early in the fourth quarter. [KEEP READING]

Rickenbach – Best bang for your NFL Week 3 daily fantasy buck


Teddy Bridgewater, Minnesota Vikings ($6,500) vs. Tyrod Taylor, Buffalo Bills ($7,000)

Teddy BridgewaterBridgewater had a surprisingly quiet Week 2 for a guy who put up 18.22 fantasy points against the Lions defense. We like quiet. Quiet means more value and we see that again in “Teddy B” facing the Chargers at home in Week 3. Bridgewater had a ho-hum day passing but broke for 21 yards rushing and a touchdown run last Sunday, and now faces a Bolts defense that gave up 363 yards to QBs last season – second most in the NFL. This year, San Diego has faced sedentary QBs in Andy Dalton and Matt Stafford, so Bridgewater is a different challenge. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 3 – Sunday, Sept 27th

(SAMPLE) POTENTIAL BUST – RB – Eddie Lacy – Green Bay Packers (Draft Kings price $7200)

Eddie Lacy

First of all, Lacy sprained an ankle last week against the Seahawks and might not be 100% here.  Next, the Packers will be up against a Chiefs defense that is #8 in the NFL in stopping the run this season.  It’s only two games but the Chiefs have allowed just 80RYPG this year, 3.7 yards per carry and that’s after facing two top 15 rushing offenses from 2014.  We also have to factor in that James Starks had a solid game in relief of Lacy last week with 95 yards on 20 carries so he could steal a few carries here too.  With the uncertain status of Lacy’s injury and the fact the Packers are playing a solid Chiefs D we feel he’s one player to stay away from this weekend. [BUY REPORT HERE…]

ASA’s Big Ten Preview for Week #4 (Sept 26th)

ohio state footballWESTERN MICHIGAN @ OHIO STATE – Current Line OHIO STATE (-31) – Opening Line (-27)

OSU’s offense is in a rut right now.  After racking up 45 PPG on 512 YPG a year ago, they are averaging 33 PPG on “just” 411 YPG.  Both of those marks for this year rank them out of the top 30 nationally and the scoring numbers include 2 defensive TD’s.  After struggling with Northern Illinois last week head coach Urban Meyer said he doesn’t know who he’ll start at QB but neither Jones nor Barrett are playing well right now.  With 4 skill players that are all Heisman type candidates, what could possibly be the problem? [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Big Ten Preview for Week #3 (Sept 19th) – Board Games Only…

Michigan Go BlueUNLV @ MICHIGAN – OPENING LINE – No line – No opener on this game as UNLV’s starting QB Decker is questionable with a hamstring injury. Decker was injured late in the 1st quarter of last week’s game vs UCLA and didn’t play the final 3 quarters. Once he went out, the Rebels went on to pass for only 4 yards over the final 3 quarters in their 37-3 loss to the Bruins as his back up Kurt Palandech is more of a runner than a drop back passer. Last week was a disappointment for UNLV as they looked for some progress after a solid week 1 performance @ Northern Illinois where despite the 38-30 loss, the Rebs had more first downs and were only -52 yards for the game. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 2 – Sunday, Sept 20th


PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Drew Brees – New Orleans Saints (Draft Kings price $7800)

Drew BreesThis is a great match up for Brees and the Saint as they host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who were last in the NFL in 2014 in opposing QB’s completion percentage, 26th in passing yards per game allowed and 22nd in passing TD’s allowed per game.  The Bucs allowed rookie QB Marcus Mariota complete 13 of 16 passes for 209 yards and FOUR TOUCHDOWNS in his first NFL start ever.  Imagine what Brees, who has passed for nearly 5,000 yards in each of the past four seasons will do to them.  Brees was 30 of 48 in the Saints opening game loss last week at Arizona with 355 yards and 1 TD.  In their two meeting last season Brees was a combined 59 of 95 for 652 yards, 3 TD’s and 6 INT’s.  Off the week #1 loss expect the Saints and Brees to bounce back here. [BUY THE REST OF THIS REPORT FOR JUST $9.99]

By Nelly Sportsline – 4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Week 2


Miami FootballMiami, FL (-17½) 44, Florida Atlantic 20: The heavy underdog looked promising most of the way and with a field goal with less than 25 minutes remaining in the game making a 20-20 tie, a major upset looked possible. The Hurricanes put together a few quick scoring drives and the field position for Miami remained strong in the game with five turnovers for the Owls who also had injuries to their starting quarterback and running back. By the end of the third quarter Miami led 37-20 and in the fourth quarter the Hurricanes added another touchdown to get past the spread, getting ‘over’ the total as well. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFL Daily Fantasy Report Week 1 – Sunday, Sept 13th


Ryan TannehillPAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Ryan Tannehill – Miami Dolphins (Draft Kings price $7400)

Word out of Miami is Tannehill improved dramatically in the off-season and his pre-season numbers bear that out.  In the pre-season Tannehill was 33 of 41 for 303 yards 3 TD’s and no picks.  He’s playing into a Redskin defense that was dead last in the NFL last year in opponent passer rating – a whopping 108.  Washington was also 30th in opponent yards per pass attempt (7.7), 28th in opponent completion percentage (66.5%), and 22nd in opponent passing yards per game (250).  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’sBIG10 Big Ten Report – Saturday, Sept 12

OREGON @ MICHIGAN STATE – OPENING LINE MICHIGAN STATE (-3.5) – These two faced off last year in Eugene and Oregon (-13) pulled away in the 2nd half for a 46-27 win.  The game was much closer than that however as MSU actually held a 27-18 lead in the 3rd quarter. After the Spartans took at 27-18 lead early in the 3rd, the Ducks went onto outscore MSU 28-0 and outyard MSU 284 to 132.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s CFB Daily Fantasy Report – Saturday, Sept 12th


Joel StaveQB Joel Stave – Wisconsin

We’ll buy Joel Stave QB Wisconsin.  Our insider reports told us Stave had made huge strides from last season with his accuracy and confidence and was going to be much improved this season.  We didn’t want anything to do with him last week when he face a Bama defense that’s loaded with NFL talent.  Stave was still pretty good, especially with no run support, going 26 of 39 for 228 yards and 2 TD’s.  This Saturday he’ll face a Miami of Ohio team that was 75th in NCAAF last year in passing yards allowed per game at 237.6YPG.  Miami Oh allowed 7.2 yards per catch last season which was also 75th nationally.  The Redhawks also allowed over 33PPG so expect plenty of points by the Badgers and Stave will have a hand in most of them. [KEEP READING…]

4th Quarter Covers – NCAA Week 1 – By Nelly’s Sportsline


Nelly SportslineGlancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the opening college football weekend. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

South Carolina (-1½) 17, North Carolina 13: The Tar Heels led for most of this game up 7-0 early and then leading 13-10 into the fourth quarter even with two red zone interceptions to wipe out long drives. In the fourth quarter the Gamecocks took the lead with a 48-yard run from Shon Carson. On the next South Carolina drive the Gamecocks were stuffed on third and short at the North Carolina 12-yard line and then opted to go for it on fourth down instead of pushing the lead to seven points with an easy kick. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Daily Fantasy Report – Saturday Sept 5th



Our first QB pick is Northern Illinois starter Drew Hare who is priced slightly lower than the “Big Guns” on Saturday.  These same two teams faced each other with UNI winning 48-34.  The Husky’s rolled up 616 total yards of offense against a horrendous UNLV defense with UNI QB – Hare racking up 285 passing yards and 3 TD’s through the air.  He also run for 74 yards with a score.  We love duel threat QB’s and on the season Hare rushed for 927 yards on 143 carries and had 8 rushing TD’s in 2014.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Daily Fantasy Report – Thursday Sept 3rd



Offensively, the Chippewas return seven starters and a majority of their overall talent, including quarterback Cooper Rush. The gun-slinging junior finished amongst the MAC’s top three in numerous offensive categories, those of which include completions (243), touchdowns (27) and passer rating (149.5). [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFC East Total Win Bets

NFC EastDallas Cowboys – 2014 record (12-4) – 1st in the NFC East – Beat Detroit in Wildcard Round, Lost to Green Bay in Divisional Round

Off YPG – 376 (8th) – Def YPG – 361 (21st)

Points scored 28.4 (5th) – Points allowed 22.1 (15th)

We realize that we can’t put too much stake in the pre-season but the Cowboys have looked terrible. They have scored a total of just 27 points in 3 games.  They were 0-2 heading into their pre-season home opener vs Minnesota and players and coaches alike were very adamant about putting together a good performance and winning.  Even with that, Dallas lost 28-14.  We think this team is REALLY going to miss DeMarco Murray. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFC South Total Win Bets

AtNFC SOUTHlanta Falcons – 2014 record (6-10) – 3rd in NFC South – No playoffs

Off YPG – 378 (7th) – Def YPG – 398 (32nd)

Points scored 23.8 PPG (12th) – Points allowed 26.1 PPG (27th)

We like the OVER here as one of our favorite total win bets in the NFL this season.  You have to ask yourself this, why did Vegas post a number of 8.5  wins for a team that won just 10 combined games that past two seasons?  They want you to bet ‘under’ that’s why. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s NFC North Total Win Bets

ChicNFC Northago Bears – 2014 record (5-11) – 4th in the NFC North – No playoffs

Off YPG – 327 (21st) – Def YPG – 377 (30th)

Points scored 19.9 PPG (23rd) – Points allowed 27.6 PPG (31st)

We would lean toward the UNDER in this one. Let’s face it, the Bears problems offensively start with the inconsistent play of QB Jay Cutler.  Cutler led the league in turnovers last season with 24 and has thrown 93 interceptions in 82 regular season starts for the Bears. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s AFC West Total Win Bets

San Diego Chargers – 2014 record (9-7) – tied for 2nd in the AFC West – No playoffs

AFC WestOff YPG – 342 (19th) – Def YPG – 338 (10th)
Points scored 21.8 (17th) – Points allowed 21.8 (12th)

We think this is an 8-8 or 9-7 type team again this season. We like the OVER a little bit mainly because we think there is a better chance they finish with 9 rather than 7 wins. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s AFC East Total Win Bets

AFC EastMiami Dolphins – 2014 record (8-8) – 3rd in AFC East – No Playoffs

Off YPG – 350 (14th) – Def YPG – 343 (12th)
Points scored 24.2 (11th) – Points allowed 23.3 (19th)

Last year the oddsmakers set this total at 8 and the Fins landed right on it with a .500 record. We think they can possibly get to 9 wins this year but don’t see them getting to 10 so we lean UNDER here. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s AFC South Total Win Bets

AFC SouthIndianapolis Colts – 2014 record (11-5) – 1st in AFC South – Beat Cincinnati in Wildcard Round, beat Denver in Divisional Round & lost to New England in AFC Championship.

Off YPG – 398 (3rd) – Def YPG – 338 (9th)
Points scored 27.1 PPG (6th) – Points allowed 23.0 (18th)

We would lean toward the OVER here. First of all, because of the terrible division they are in, you can almost pencil in the Colts as the AFC South champs barring an injury to Andrew Luck. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s AFC North Total Win Bets

Steelers, Bengals, Ravens, Browns

Baltimore Ravens – ASA prediction OVER 9 Wins:  2014 record (10-6) – 3rd in the AFC North – Made playoffs as Wildcard – Beat Pittsburgh in Wildcard Round and lost to New England in Divisional Round.

Off YPG – 365 (12th) – Def YPG – 344 (13th)
Points scored 26.1 PPG (8th) – Points allowed 19.7 (8th)

We would lean toward the OVER in this one. Baltimore finished 10-6 last season and they have historically been one of the stronger NFL franchises winning more than 8 games in 9 of their last 12 seasons.  [KEEP READING…]

Point Train Consultants SEC Future Bet

LSU (+1000)

The SEC is absolutely loaded, especially the SEC West where all seven teams have CFB Playoff aspirations. The LSU Tigers have a ton of talent and experience returning and if they can get consistent quarterback play – something that was severely lacking last year – they’ll be in the thick of the CFB Playoff race. [KEEP READING…]

Point Train Consultants Big Ten Future Bet

Wisconsin Badgers (+650)

There aren’t many legitimate “longshot” contenders to walk away with the Big Ten title this season as many view the league as a three-team horse race between Ohio State, Michigan State, and our pick, the Wisconsin Badgers. [KEEP READING…]

Point Train Consultants ACC Future Bet

Miami Hurricanes (+1200)

Al Golden had taken over a team that had been through some tough years of scholarship and bowl sanctions. This season they have a ton of youthful depth and should be in great position to contend in a weak Coastal Division and face the winner of the Atlantic Division for a chance at the ACC crown. They finished 6-7 last year, but had a number of close defeats. [KEEP READING…]

Investing in the Super Bowl Winner – By ASA

Andrew LuckWe have had tremendous success with our long-term future bets which includes picking the Super Bowl winner last year with New England before the season started at 9-1.  We also nailed our prediction on the NBA Finals with Golden State this season.  Your next investment is… [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s ACC College Football Win Bets – By ASA

ACCBoston College – OVER 5.5 Wins

  • Head coach Steve Addazio has BC moving in the right direction. After back to back bowl appearances we think they have a great shot at another, thus we lean to the OVER 5.5 wins here.  They finished 7-6 last year and three of those losses came by 4 points or less, including tight setbacks to Florida St & Clemson. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s SEC College Football Win Bets – By ASA

imgresAlabama – OVER 9.5 Wins

  • Bama has one of the toughest schedules in the nation and a retooled offense, however it’s tough to bet against Nick Saban getting to 10 wins so we won’t. As we stated, the Tide offense will probably be a work in progress early in the season with just 24% of their total yards returning (QB Sims, RB Yeldon, and WR Cooper all gone). [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s PAC 12 College Football Win Bets – By ASA

Arizona – UNDER 7 Wins

Pac12The Wildcats surprisingly won 10 games in the regular season last year. Obviously the oddsmakers are looking for a big drop in setting this year’s number at 7 for Arizona.  We look for a drop as well and will lean UNDER here.  Last year’s performance was a bit of a mirage as this team made it all the way to the Pac 12 Championship game despite being outgained 469 to 425 in conference play. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s BIG 10 College Football Win Bets – By ASA

Illinois – OVER 3.5 Wins

The Illini came up with 6 wins a year ago and we see no reason why they won’t get to at least 4 this season. Nobody in the Big Ten returns BIG10more starters than the Illini (15) and they bring back their QB Lunt which is key.  He transferred to Illinois after starting at Oklahoma State as a true frosh.  Lunt threw for 1700 yards and threw 14 TD’s to just 3 picks last year.  He’ll work behind a solid offensive line with his top RB and top 4 pass catchers all coming back.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s Big 12 College Football Win Bets – By ASA

Baylor – OVER 10 Wins

Baylor has “semi” quietly become one of the better programs in the nation under headBaylor Bears Football coach Art Briles. How many casual football fans even realize the Bears have won the last two Big 12 Conference Championships?  The main reason for that is their offense, which at times seems unstoppable. [KEEP READING…]

Beginner’s Guide to Daily Fantasy Football – By ASA

Much like sports betting football is King when it comes to daily fantasy sports and if you want to make money it has to be more than a casual hobby.  If you can’t devote a lot of time to ‘handicapping’ daily fantasy you’ll be a marginal player AT BEST and will more than likely end up losing your money in the long run.  We’re here to help you with some basic tips or strategies for the upcoming season or how to get started in daily fantasy football. [KEEP READING…]

What you need to know about Daily Fantasy Sports Investing – By ASA

If you are just getting into daily fantasy football “betting” then this article will explain the different styles of daily contest you can play.  Daily fantasy contests are set up with a salary cap where you pick players at different positions and earn points based on their performance.  The better the players the higher their salary is which provides us with the strategy aspect of Daily Fantasy.  Your goal is to pick the very best team possible while staying below the set salary cap.   There are several different types of Daily Fantasy contests which we will talk about next. [KEEP READING…]

Women’s World Cup Finals Bet:

If you don’t follow women’s soccer we’re here to give you a crash course and bet on the World Cup Finals on Sunday.  The USA versus Japan Final on Sunday will mark the third major tournament in a row in which the United States and Japan have met.  In the last (2011) Women’s World Cup final, Japan prevailed 3-1 over the Americans.  The same two teams squared off a year later in the 2012 Olympic Gold Medal game with USA coming out on top 2-1. [KEEP READING…]

CFL Week 1 Picks – By SBO

They’ve examined the card and have narrowed down their two favorite plays, which includes two teams who are laying at least a touchdown on the lines.

Week 1 CFL Picks
The sweet smell of pigskin is in the air as the 2015 CFL season gets underway this week. We’ve examined the card and have narrowed down our two favorite plays, which includes two teams who are laying at least a touchdown on the lines at sports gambling websites. [KEEP READING…]

NBA Draft History – Best picks Top 10 Picks of the last Decade…

Today we look at what we think are the top picks at each spot in the lottery (top 10 picks only) over the last decade (2005 – 2014). Example – who was the best #1 pick, who was the best #2 pick, etc… We list their college & the team that drafted them. What do you think? Agree or disagree? Lots of “close calls” on who is the best or who is the biggest bust…[KEEP READING…]

Who lifts the NBA’s Larry O’ Brien Trophy in 2015?

The Champion this season is the Golden State Warriors. Golden State is simply too good and by far and away the best team in the league. Statistically it’s not even close as the Warriors played in the wicked tough Western Conference AND still finished 2nd in OEFF and 1st in DEFF. [KEEP READING…]

ASA – NFL’s Easiest Schedules

Miami Dolphins – The Fins don’t face a 2014 playoff team until their 7thgame of the season.  Before their bye in week 5 Miami plays Washington, Jacksonville, Buffalo, and the NY Jets.  Coming out of the bye they play Tennessee and Houston.  [KEEP READING]

ASA – NFL’s Toughest Schedules

Carolina Panthers – Despite their 7-8-1 regular season record, the Panthers won the NFC South and made it to the playoffs last season.  With their schedule this year, we think it will be tough for them to make the post-season again this season. [KEEP READING…]

Michael Jordan vs LeBron James – Who’s the Greatest Player of All time?

First off I’ll tell you this.  You won’t find many NBA fans out there that have actually watched more games than I have over the past 40 years.  I would sneak out of bed after my parents went to sleep and watch the CBS taped delayed playoff games in the late 70’s, early 80’s.  Playoff battles between the Celtics and 76ers, Lakers and whoever came out of the East.  Classic battles between Magic and Bird.  Then came Michael Jordan, the Bad Boys, Dominique Wilkins and the start of the Spurs dynasty.  All those incredible highlights you see of Michael I was watching live when they happened and I witnessed all the other feats he would accomplish on a nightly basis! [KEEP READING…]

MLB Hot and Cold Teams – By SBO.ag

The Major League Baseball season is in full swing three weeks into the schedule, and we’ve already seen some shocking starts from clubs playing beyond and below expectations. Here are some of the hot and cold teams to keep an eye on.  [KEEP READING…]


The action is hot and heavy on the hardwood for the opening round of the NBA Playoffs. With most series hitting their midway points, we look at which teams have been cashing in – and burning bettors – when it comes to the NBA betting lines.  [KEEP READING…]

The Golden State Warriors win it all  in 2015! 

Efficiency rating and rankings have become the standard measurement of teams and players and if you are not familiar with those numbers, and you’re a sports bettor, you might want to do a little research and get to know what they mean.  Very simply put Offensive Efficiency (OEFF = points scored per 100 possessions) and Defensive Efficiency (DEFF = points allowed per 100 possessions) are great ways to evaluate teams and how good they truly are.  [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s MLB Season Total Win Bets

San Diego Padres – UNDER 84.5 Wins – San Diego hasn’t exceeded 77 wins since 2010, yet their total price here is set at 84.5 wins. The Padres had a number of flashy, high-risk moves that brought in a lot of attention, but we’re skeptical the payoff will be drastic.  They acquired Wil Myers from Tampa Bay, Matt Kemp from LA Dodgers, and Justin Upton from Atlanta. Myers has yet to blossom into the star that he was expected to be while Matt Kemp has spent far too much time on the DL in recent past. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s MLB Longshot to Win the World Series Bet

World Series Longshot – Cleveland Indians – 25/1 – Everyone remembers the improbable run by the Kansas City Royals in the playoffs, but lost in the shuffle is the fact that the Cleveland finished just three games out of a wild card spot. In the AL Central, Detroit and Kansas City are expected to regress a bit after a few key personnel losses, making the Indians a trendy pick to get back to the playoffs and reach the World Series. [KEEP READING…]


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