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2017 ASA predictions – Dallas Cowboys Over or Under 9.5 Wins?
Things that make you go Hmmm? Dallas won 13 games last year with a rookie QB and they were the talk of the league for much of the season. So now the oddsmakers set their total wins at 9.5? As most will look at this and immediately take the OVER, where this number is set makes us lean UNDER. QB Dak Prescott was great last year but took many by surprise. [KEEP READING]
Rested pitching and poor timing at the Plate leads to UNDERS!
By ASA, Inc
The All-Star break has come and gone and we are back into full MLB mode as the Pennant chases start to take shape. The players have rested, enjoyed some time off, spent time with families and have allowed themselves a mental and physical break from the sport. The question is, how does that time off affect players and is there a betting advantage to be had? We’ve uncovered an interesting trend and we’re ready to share the results with you. [KEEP READING…]
2017 ASA prediction – Arizona Cardinals Over or Under 8 wins?
We’re getting some nice value with the OVER for Arizona here. Last year they entered the season with a win total of 9.5 and finished with a 7-8-1 overall record. QB Carson Palmer struggled working behind a banged up offensive line that is now healthy. Despite their sub .500 record, the Cards outgained their opponents by an average of 61 YPG. [KEEP READING…]
2017 ASA prediction – LA Rams, Over or Under 4.5 wins?
The Rams were 4-12 last year and we’re projecting a similar record in 2017. The NFL is now a scoring league and the Rams are terrible at putting the ball in the endzone. Their 14 PPG average was the worst in the NFL. They only reached 20 points four times last season. That won’t get you many wins. Jared Goff looks like the full time starter at QB but when the Rams threw him to the wolves in their final 7 games last season, he stunk. LA was 0-7 in those games and averaged 12 PPG during that final stint. [KEEP READING…]
2017 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 4.5 Wins for San Francisco 49ers
Despite a new coach and new QB, we expect the Niners to be one of the NFL’s worst again this season. We have them as an underdog in 14 of their 16 games and only a slight favorite @ home vs the Rams and @ home vs the Jags. We project they will be at least a full TD underdog in 8+ games this year. San Fran was 2-14 last year and it wasn’t as if they were close to turning the corner with 9 of those losses coming by at least 10 points. [KEEP READING…]
ASA’s 2017 NFL Projections – Seattle Seahawks
The Seahawks have the luxury of not having to travel on back to back weeks this entire season. Their only “back to back” road games come with a bye inserted in between. While we expect Arizona to be much better this year, the NFC West remains fairly weak with 4 most likely type wins vs the Rams & Niners. [KEEP READING]
Defense wins Championships!
By ASA, Inc
There is so much to be said regarding this series, and you’ve already read most of it, so it’s going to be difficult to write a comprehensive analysis in just a paragraph but we’ll do our best. The Warriors are going to win this series (-$255) and our numbers support a shorter series than most of you might think.
Golden State has one of the best rosters ever assembled in the NBA and could be compared with the Showtime Lakers of the mid-80’s along with the Bird, McHale, Parrish, Johnson roster of the Celtics around that same time. This is coming from a guy that is a diehard NBA fan who has watched games religiously for the past 35 years. To keep this as short as possible we’ll focus on the keys to the series. [KEEP READING…]
Kenny Schmitt’s Kentucky Derby Doings – Friday Update!
Well all the works are complete as of this AM. We had several Kentucky Derby contenders work this AM and also gallop this AM also. Once again this morning, Hence looked very strong as I alerted you all to his final work along with his splits. It has been noted by some that the track was harrowed after the early AM session, and therefore the times were much quicker per the experts. I can see the track being somewhat faster, but not 3/4 seconds. But that’s what makes this the greatest sport as we all get to pick which horse we want back in each race [KEEP READING…]
Don’t make this NBA Futures Bet!
We hope you had the opportunity to read our Playoff article before the post-season began and how efficiency ratings helped predict the eventual NBA Champions. In short, teams that win NBA Championships, historically must rank in the top 11 of the league in both offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency ratings in the regular season. Teams that have accomplished this feat have won the past eight Titles. [KEEP READING…]
NBA Champions need to be efficient
Efficiency rating and rankings have become the standard measurement of NBA teams and players and if you are not familiar with those numbers, and you’re a sports bettor, you might want to do a little research and get to know what they mean. Very simply put, Offensive Efficiency (OEFF = points scored per 100 possessions) and Defensive Efficiency (DEFF = points allowed per 100 possessions) are great ways to evaluate teams and players, and measure how good they truly are. The league average for OEFF/DEFF this season was 108.8. It’s no surprise the Golden State Warriors was the most efficient offense in the NBA at 115.6 points per 100 possessions while the San Antonio Spurs held the best defensive efficiency rating in the league of 103.6. [KEEP READING…]
ASA’s PICK TO WIN THE WORLD SERIES
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS at 15/1
Getting a perennial contender like the Giants at 15 to 1 to win it all is great value in our opinion. San Fran has won at least 84 games every year but one since 2009. They’ve been in the playoffs in 4 of the last 6 seasons. We expect them to get there again in 2017 as they return nearly every key cog from last year’s 87-75 wildcard team. [KEEP READING]
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