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2017 ASA prediction – Play OVER 8.5 Wins for Carolina Panthers

panthershelmetAfter making it to the Super Bowl two years ago, the Panthers won only 6 games last season.  We think they bounce back with a solid 2017 season.  We have Panthers as a pick’em or favored in 10 of their 16 games heading into the season.  In their 6 games as an underdog, only New England & Atlanta would currently be favored by more than a FG vs Carolina.  These numbers obviously change as the season progresses but prior to the start of the season, Carolina looks in decent shape to get to 9 wins or more.   While they did lose 10 games last season, let’s keep in mind that six of those losses came by a field goal or less. [KEEP READING]


2017 ASA prediction – Play UNDER 9 Wins for the NY Giants

giants1980Not only do the Giants play a tough schedule this year (ranked 8th in the NFL in strength of schedule) they play a whopping 4 games versus teams coming off a bye week.  There opening month and a half schedule is as tough as any.  They play 6 games before their bye on October 29th and 4 of those games are on the road.  Their 2 home games during that stretch are both against playoff teams from last year (Detroit & Seattle). [KEEP READING]

Big Ten Opening Week Previews – By ASA

BIG10Ohio State (-21) @ Indiana – This is a very rare conference opener during the first week of the season.  Our database goes all the way back to 1980 and OSU has NEVER been an underdog in this series.  They are 30-2-1 the last 33 meetings.  However, IU has given this Buckeye team fits as of late covering 6 straight by an average margin of 13.1 PPG. [KEEP READING]

2017 ASA NFL predictions – Philadelphia Eagles Over or Under 8 Wins?

NFL Helmets - EaglesThe Eagles started with a perfect 3-0 record last season and looked like they were headed in the right direction with rookie QB Carson Wentz at the helm.  After their bye on October 2nd, the Birds lost 4 of their next 5 but were leading with under 4:00 minutes remaining in 2 of those losses.  They ended the season with a 7-9 record but were very close to having a much better record with 6 of their 9 losses coming by a TD or less. [KEEP READING]


2017 ASA NFL predictions – Washington Redskins Over or Under 7.5 Wins?

redskinsThe offense was one of the best in the NFL last year but look for a drop off on that side of the ball.  QB Kirk Cousins has proven he can be a top 10 type QB, however he lost some serious weapons from a year ago.  His top two WR’s from last season are both gone.  Pierre Garcon, 79 catches for 1,041 yards, and DeSean Jackson, 56 catches for 1,005 yards, have both moved on taking a huge chunk out of this offense.  On top of that, offensive coordinator Sean McVay who was the orchestrator of that offense is now the head coach of the Rams.  [KEEP READING]

2017 ASA NFL predictions – Dallas Cowboys Over or Under 9.5 Wins?

nfl helmets - cowboysThings that make you go Hmmm?  Dallas won 13 games last year with a rookie QB and they were the talk of the league for much of the season.  So now the oddsmakers set their total wins at 9.5?  As most will look at this and immediately take the OVER, where this number is set makes us lean UNDER.  QB Dak Prescott was great last year but took many by surprise.  [KEEP READING]


2017 ASA NFL prediction – Arizona Cardinals Over or Under 8 wins?

NFL Helmets - CardsWe’re getting some nice value with the OVER for Arizona here.  Last year they entered the season with a win total of 9.5 and finished with a 7-8-1 overall record.  QB Carson Palmer struggled working behind a banged up offensive line that is now healthy.  Despite their sub .500 record, the Cards outgained their opponents by an average of 61 YPG. [KEEP READING…]


2017 ASA NFL prediction – LA Rams Over or Under 4.5 wins?

NFL Helmets - RamsThe Rams were 4-12 last year and we’re projecting a similar record in 2017.  The NFL is now a scoring league and the Rams are terrible at putting the ball in the endzone.  Their 14 PPG average was the worst in the NFL.  They only reached 20 points four times last season.  That won’t get you many wins.  Jared Goff looks like the full time starter at QB but when the Rams threw him to the wolves in their final 7 games last season, he stunk.  LA was 0-7 in those games and averaged 12 PPG during that final stint. [KEEP READING…]

2017 ASA NFL prediction – San Francisco 49ers Over or Under 4.5 Wins?

DNFL Helmets - Ninersespite a new coach and new QB, we expect the Niners to be one of the NFL’s worst again this season.  We have them as an underdog in 14 of their 16 games and only a slight favorite @ home vs the Rams and @ home vs the Jags.  We project they will be at least a full TD underdog in 8+ games this year.  San Fran was 2-14 last year and it wasn’t as if they were close to turning the corner with 9 of those losses coming by at least 10 points. [KEEP READING…]


ASA’s 2017 NFL Prediction – Seattle Seahawks Over or Under 10.5 Wins?

NFL Seahawks2017 ASA prediction – Seattle Seahawks…

The Seahawks have the luxury of not having to travel on back to back weeks this entire season.  Their only “back to back” road games come with a bye inserted in between.  While we expect Arizona to be much better this year, the NFC West remains fairly weak with 4 most likely type wins vs the Rams & Niners. [KEEP READING]

Rested pitching and poor timing at the Plate leads to UNDERS!

By ASA, Inc

MLB Total betsThe All-Star break has come and gone and we are back into full MLB mode as the Pennant  chases start to take shape. The players have rested, enjoyed some time off, spent time with families and have allowed themselves a mental and physical break from the sport. The question is, how does that time off affect players and is there a betting advantage to be had? We’ve uncovered an interesting trend and we’re ready to share the results with you. [KEEP READING…]


Defense wins Championships!

By ASA, Inc

warriorsThere is so much to be said regarding this series, and you’ve already read most of it, so it’s going to be difficult to write a comprehensive analysis in just a paragraph but we’ll do our best. The Warriors are going to win this series (-$255) and our numbers support a shorter series than most of you might think.

Golden State has one of the best rosters ever assembled in the NBA and could be compared with the Showtime Lakers of the mid-80’s along with the Bird, McHale, Parrish, Johnson roster of the Celtics around that same time. This is coming from a guy that is a diehard NBA fan who has watched games religiously for the past 35 years. To keep this as short as possible we’ll focus on the keys to the series. [KEEP READING…]

Kenny Schmitt’s Kentucky Derby Doings – Friday Update!

2017 KY DerbyWell all the works are complete as of this AM.  We had several Kentucky Derby contenders work this AM and also gallop this AM also.  Once again this morning, Hence looked very strong as I alerted you all to his final work along with his splits. It has been noted by some that the track was harrowed after the early AM session, and therefore the times were much quicker per the experts. I can see the track being somewhat faster, but not 3/4 seconds. But that’s what makes this the greatest sport as we all get to pick which horse we want back in each race [KEEP READING…]

Don’t make this NBA Futures Bet!


lebron-babyWe hope you had the opportunity to read our Playoff article before the post-season began and how efficiency ratings helped predict the eventual NBA Champions. In short, teams that win NBA Championships, historically must rank in the top 11 of the league in both offensive efficiency and defensive efficiency ratings in the regular season. Teams that have accomplished this feat have won the past eight Titles. [KEEP READING…]


NBA Champions need to be efficient


GOLDEN STATE WARRIORSEfficiency rating and rankings have become the standard measurement of NBA teams and players and if you are not familiar with those numbers, and you’re a sports bettor, you might want to do a little research and get to know what they mean.  Very simply put, Offensive Efficiency (OEFF = points scored per 100 possessions) and Defensive Efficiency (DEFF = points allowed per 100 possessions) are great ways to evaluate teams and players, and measure how good they truly are.  The league average for OEFF/DEFF this season was 108.8. It’s no surprise the Golden State Warriors was the most efficient offense in the NBA at 115.6 points per 100 possessions while the San Antonio Spurs held the best defensive efficiency rating in the league of 103.6. [KEEP READING…]



Getting a perennial contender like the Giants at 15 to 1 to win it all is great value in our opinion.  San Fran has won at least 84 games every year but one since 2009.  They’ve been in the playoffs in 4 of the last 6 seasons.  We expect them to get there again in 2017 as they return nearly every key cog from last year’s 87-75 wildcard team.  [KEEP READING]


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