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ASA NFL Fantasy ‘Buy & Sell’ Week 6 – Oct 23rd


PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Philip Rivers – Chargers vs Falcons (Draft Kings price $6500)

Philip RiversRivers goes up against a Falcons pass defense on Sunday that is one of the worst in the entire NFL. Atlanta’s defense allows the 3rd most fantasy points allowed to QB’s this year (20.3) and Rivers will have plenty of opportunities against this Falcons secondary. Rivers is 9th in the league in passing yards, 7th in completion percentage and has 12 passing TD’s on the year.  Atlanta gives up 285 passing yards per game (27th in NFL), allow foes to complete 68.5% of their passing attempts (29th in NFL) and give up 2.3 passing TD’s per game which is 30th in the league. Vegas has posted a Total on this game of 53+ points so they expect a lot of scoring by both teams. When Rivers faced a similar pass defense a few weeks ago (Raiders) he racked up 31FPPT’s. [READ MORE…]


penn-st-vs-ohio-stOHIO STATE (-20) @ PENN STATE – Saturday at 8:00 PM ET

PENN STATE – PSU had last week to prepare for this huge home game.  We’re guessing they’ll try and get the ground game going with RB Saquon Barkley against an Ohio State defense that allowed over 230 yards rushing last week @ Wisconsin.  Barkley was “struggling” a bit heading into his most recent game vs Maryland.  He had 4 consecutive “non-100 yard” games before exploding for 202 vs the Terps.  On the defensive side of the ball, the Nittany Lions have struggled to stop the run which is not a winning recipe when playing Ohio State.  In their 3 Big Ten games the Penn State defense has given up 170, 228, and 326 yards on the ground.  Now they must attempt to slow down the Big Ten’s top rushing offense with the Buckeyes putting up 300 YPG on the ground on 6.0 YPC.  [KEEP READING]


wisconsin-footballOHIO STATE (-10) @ WISCONSIN – Saturday at 8:00 PM ET

WISCONSIN – The Badgers are coming off a bye week after losing 14-7 @ Michigan the week before.  The Wisconsin offense was shut down in that game as they didn’t reach 100 yards on the ground or through the air.  It was the first time since October of 2012 that the UW offense was held under 200 total yards.  Wisconsin was hoping to get some key players back with a few weeks off and that may happen.  While star LB Vince Biegel will not play in this one, the offensive line is hoping starting guard Jon Dietzen returns.  [READ MORE] 

ASA NFL Fantasy ‘Buy & Sell’ Week 6 – Oct 16th

ASA’s position players are split up into three categories each week (2 to Buy & 1 Sell). Find out who you can invest heavily in, find value at a moderate price and one player you should avoid in your daily fantasy draft. We base our numbers from Draft Kings site and pricing.


PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Russell Wilson – Seahawks vs Falcons (Draft Kings price $6900)

russell-wilsonWilson goes up against a vulnerable Falcons pass defense on Sunday that is in a tough travel situation while the Hawks are rested and off a bye. Atlanta’s defense allows the second most fantasy points allowed to QB’s this year and Wilson is coming off a monster fantasy game two weeks ago when he racked up 26.9FPPT’s versus the Jets (4th worst in FPPT’s allowed to QB’s this year). Atlanta gives up 290 passing yards per game (26th in NFL), allow foes to complete 68.6% of their passing attempts (28th in NFL) and give up 2.8 passing TD’s per game which is last in the league. An efficient Wilson should put up big numbers Sunday. [READ MORE]


penn-st-vs-marylandMARYLAND (-1) @ PENN STATE – Saturday at 12:00 PM ET

PENN STATE – The Nits picked up a huge win in OT last week coming from behind to top Minnesota 29-26.  At halftime it looked like PSU was in big trouble down 10 and having put up only a FG in the first half.  They went into the locker room averaging just 5.1 YPP and passing for just 95 yards.  That pretty much played to the script of PSU all season as they have been outscored 92-54 in the 1st half this year.  In the 2nd half the Lions erupted for 26 points, 295 yards passing, and over 9.0 YPP.  PSU was 2-2 coming into the game and last week was pretty much dubbed a must win for a once proud program trying to turn the corner.   The reaction of the players after the win speaks volumes. [KEEP READING]

ASA’s Oct 2nd Fantasy Football Preview

ASA’s position players are split up into three categories each week limited to a pair of categories (Buy & Sell). 

Find out who you can invest heavily in, find value at a moderate price and one player you should avoid in your daily fantasy draft.  We base most of our numbers from Draft Kings site and scoring. 


PAY TOP DOLLAR – QB – Phillip Rivers – Chargers vs Saints (Draft Kings price $6900)

Rivers goes up against a vulnerable Saints pass defense on Sunday and should put up big numbers despite missing several key targets. Even with a depleted lineup Rivers managed a 26 of 39 day for 326 yards against the Jags last Sunday.  Last year the Saints were 2nd to last in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game at 284YPPG and this season they’re allowing an average of 299YPPG which is 25th worst. San Diego is 3rd in the NFL in scoring averaging 29PPG and the Saints give up 32PPG (31st). [KEEP READING]


Michigan Go BlueWISCONSIN @ MICHIGAN (-10.5) – Saturday at 3:30 PM ET

MICHIGAN – Penn State had scored 30+ points in each of their first 3 games before Michigan held them to 10 points last week.  Wolverines dominated winning 49-10 outgaining PSU by 324 yards.  Their offense is clicking scoring 45 or more points in each of their first four games.  It will be strength on strength here as they now face a Wisconsin defense that has allowed only 3 offensive TD’s in 4 games this season. [KEEP READING]


psu-vs-michPENN STATE @ MICHIGAN (-19) – Saturday at 3:30 PM ET

MICHIGAN – The Wolverines just missed a cover last week as their line vs the Buffs opened in the -19.5 range and dropped to -17.5.  Michigan won by 17 but it wasn’t easy.  The Wolves actually had to play catch up after getting down 21-7 after the 1st quarter with their only TD coming on a blocked punt return.  From that point on, they outscored Colorado 38-7 but let’s not forget that Colorado was moving the ball at will vs Michigan before QB Liufau was injured and had to leave the game.  At that point the game was a tight one with Michigan leading 31-28.  [KEEP READING]

Kenny (FBWinners) Schmitt NFL Recaps Week 1 – Sept 15th

TITANS / VIKINGS RECAP 1st Half Analysis

Teddy BridgewaterThe Titans dominated the entire 1st half, they held the Vikings to 126 total yards in the 1st half. I don’t understand the play calling at times for the Titans. The O-Line was opening up great holes for Murray and Henry and they were gashing them. They went to the pass too many times and tried to run way too many trick plays against a FAST defense in the Vikings. This type of play calling stopped many drives. I don’t know how many rush attempts they had in the 1st half, but they only ended up with 22 total for the game. [KEEP READING]


ohio state football

OHIO STATE – Urban Meyer takes his Buckeyes into Oklahoma as a favorite.  It’s the first time since 2000 that the Sooners have been a home dog.  Since Stoops took over in 1999, the Sooner have been a home dog just 2 times winning both those games outright in easy fashion 51-6 & 31-14.  Oklahoma has a home record of 96-8 since Stoops took over…Urban Meyer, however, is a remarkable 18-0 in road games since taking over at Ohio State back in 2012.  The Buckeyes have averaged 41 PPG in those 18 road games and were held under 28 points only twice…After 2 games OSU is 2nd nationally in scoring offense averaging 62.5 PPG and 5th in total offense putting up 596 YPG…[KEEP READING]

ASA’s SEC East Future Wagers

ASA PREDICTION – Florida – UNDER 7.5 Wins Florida Gators– The Gators were a surprise last season winning 10 of their first 11 games to lock up the SEC East Title.  However, they fell flat on their face down the stretch getting whipped in their final 3 games of the season by 25, 14, and 34 points.  Their QB situation this year is very much up in the air.  Their top 2 QB’s from last year will not be around, at least at that position, this season.  Will Grier has decided to transfer and Treon Harris has moved to WR.  The Gators will most likely start a transfer under center as Austin Appleby comes from Purdue and Luke Del Rio has already been at Alabama & Oregon State. [KEEP READING]

ASA’s SEC West Future Wagers

ASA PREDICTION – Alabama – UNDER 10 WinsAlabama football – With this total set at 10, we have to lean UNDER with the Tide this year.  We can see them getting to 10 wins, however that 11th win will be very tough.  Our opinion is there is a better chance this team finishes with 9 wins than they do 11.  This team lost a ton of talent & experience at the skill positions.  In fact, only 32% of their yardage from last year returns which ranks them 119th out of 128 teams. [KEEP READING]

Rickenbach NFL NFC North ATS Preview

September 7th, 2016

NFC NorthChicago Bears – This team could be in for another rough season. They lost some key talent at the skill positions on offense but, also concerning, how long will it take for the offensive line to jell properly? The Bears had a lot of changes in that area as well. Chicago truly has big concerns entering the season when it comes to offense. The defense should be a positive for the Bears though and, after being an “over” team in recent seasons I believe we may seem some of the best value with Chicago this season on the “under” side. [KEEP READING]

Rickenbach NFL NFC West ATS Preview

September 7th, 2016

NFC WestArizona Cardinals – The Cardinals have certainly proven to be a steadily improving team year over year but after reaching the pinnacle of a divisional title last year with a stellar 13-3 record I feel a “correction” will be on order this year. I am not saying the Cards won’t have a solid straight-up record this season as certainly they should once again. [KEEP READING]

Rickenbach NFL AFC North ATS Preview

Sept 7th, 2016

Steelers, Bengals, Ravens, BrownsBaltimore Ravens – The Ravens had a solid draft that really helps their depth coming into this season. The offensive line has been bolstered and Baltimore suffered so much in the way of the “injury bug” last season that I expect a complete reversal this season. The Ravens only covered 5 of their 16 games last season and I expect to see a lot of value with Baltimore early this season as the markets may be slow to adjust to just how solid this team is when they aren’t bogged down with injuries. [KEEP READING]

Rickenbach NFL AFC South ATS Preview

Sept 7th, 2016

AFC SouthHouston Texans – Good draft on the offensive side of the ball but how quickly will those guys be key contributors is going to be the important factor for Houston early this season. Of course the offense was the focus for Texans in the off-season and they picked up some key pieces via free agency. However, the defense did lose a few pieces and has to have some drop-off after a fantastic season last year. [KEEP READING]


Rickenbach NFL AFC West ATS Preview

Sept 5th, 2016

AFC WestDenver Broncos – After going 12-4 each of the prior two seasons and 13-3 three years ago, the Broncos are in for quite a drop this year as I don’t expect them to reach double digits in victories. The offense was certainly not the strength for Denver last season but it quickly has gone from “middle of the pack” to “significant concern” as Peyton Manning has retired and Brock Osweiler is now in Houston. [KEEP READING]


Rickenbach NFL NFC South ATS Preview

August 31, 2016

NFC SOUTHAtlanta Falcons – The Falcons have gone a combined 20-28 ATS the last 3 seasons and have not had a winning season against the number in any of those 3 years. I expect to see some value with Atlanta this season as a result. They have improved their SU win totals from 4 to 6 to 8 the last three seasons and this will the 2nd year in offensive coordinator Shanahan’s offense.  [KEEP READING]

NFL NFC East ATS Preview by Scott Rickenbach

August 30, 2016

NFC EastDallas Cowboys – We all know that seasons can change in a big way with injuries and, fortunately, I did my AFC Preview first and am now putting the wraps on my NFC Preview after the Tony Romo injury. With Romo out for 6 to 10 weeks (and seemingly getting older with each injury bug that bites him) the state of the Cowboys has dramatically changed heading into this season. Certainly there is uncertainty at the QB position because Dak Prescott is a talent but things can get different in a hurry in regular season action compared to preseason games. [KEEP READING]

Big Twelve Conference Future Wagers – By ASA

Baylor – UNDER 9.5 Wins – Baylor Bears FootballThis one is tough.  Baylor is very talented and their offensive skill players are as good as any in the country.  The big question is, how do they respond to the loss of their head coach Art Briles who was let go in the off-season due to a wide spread sexual assault scandal? [KEEP READING]

NFL AFC East ATS Preview By Scott Rickenbach

August 5, 2016

AFC EastBuffalo Bills – The Bills had a rather quiet off-season after making a lot of noise heading into the 2015 season. It didn’t help a lot as Buffalo went from 9-7 in 2014 to 8-8 in 2015. Buffalo looks poised for a similar mediocre performance this season. One thing to keep in mind about the Bills is that they have been much better at home than on the road in terms of their ATS records the past three seasons. Buffalo has gone 16-8 ATS at home and only 9-13-2 on the road. [KEEP READING]

NFLX Coaches Straight Up Records – By ASA

lineofscrimmgeWe have put together a breakdown of all the NFL current head coaches and how they’ve done historically in the NFL exhibition season. A coaches philosophy concerning the preseason can be a useful and necessary tool when it comes to handicapping the ‘games that don’t count’.

Some coaches obviously take the approach that these games don’t matter and it’s way more important to stay healthy heading into the regular season. [KEEP READING]

NFLX QB Rotations and the Best/Worst – By ASA

Tom BradyOne critical aspect to handicapping the NFL exhibition season is knowing each teams quarterback rotations and potentially how much each QB will play. Teams with better depth or veteran backups have a decided advantage in certain games when coaches limit their starters snaps and allow their 2nd quarterback to play against opposing teams second units. [KEEP READING]

Big Ten East Future Wagers – By ASA

Indiana – OVER 4.5 Wins – Indiana FootballThe Hoosiers won 6 games last year partly due to their weak non-conference slate as they were 4-0 entering Big Ten play.  They began conference play with 6 straight losses before winning their final two games, both on the road, to get to a bowl game.  We see a similar situation this year as the Hoosiers could easily be 3-0 in the non-conference then need just 2 Big Ten wins to push them over 4.5. [KEEP READING]

Big Ten West Future Wagers – By ASA

Illinois – UNDER 4.5 Wins – IllinoisThe Illini came up with 5 wins last year and we look for this year’s team to take a step back.   First of all, they have a brand new coaching staff which means new schemes on both sides of the ball.  The feeling through/learning process usually takes a full year as teams under a new coach tend to improve quite a bit between years 1 & 2.  Lovie Smith is the new head man and he last coached in college in 1995.  He inherits a fairly inexperienced team with just 11 starters returning and only 38 lettermen back (the least in the Big Ten).  The offense last year was bad averaging only 17 PPG in conference play but the defense was actually pretty solid. [KEEP READING]

ACC Coastal Division Future Wagers – By ASA

Duke – UNDER 5.5 Wins – ACC CoastalThis is really a tough call because the Devils have a huge unknown at QB.  Last year’s starter Thomas Sirk (2,600 yards passing, 800 yards rushing) tore his Achilles tendon in February and while he’s targeting a September return, we really don’t know when he’ll be back if at all.  Duke won 7 games with Sirk at the helm last year but we think they’ll struggle this year if he isn’t able to play at 100%. [KEEP READING]

ACC Atlantic Division Wagers – By ASA

Boston College – UNDER 6.5 Wins – acc atlanticLast year BC won 3 of their first 4 games and then proceeded to drop their final 8 games going 0-8 in the ACC.  Offense was a major issue for this team.  They scored 100 points in the first two games vs Maine & Howard and then proceeded to score 106 the REST OF THE SEASON!  They averaged 17 PPG on a measly 276 YPG but as you can see, those numbers were definitely skewed by the first 2 games. [KEEP READING]

Pac 12 South Future Wagers – By ASA

Pac 12 SouthArizona (Last Yr 7-6) – UNDER 6 Wins – The Wildcats won 6 regular season games last year after winning 10 in 2014. We have the Cats finishing at 6-6 again this year, however if we had to lean one way or the other, we’d probably look at the UNDER before the OVER in this one.  Zona’s offense was solid last year putting up 464 yards per game in Pac 12 play.  However they return just 57% of their total offensive yards and must replace 3 offensive linemen. [KEEP READING]

Pac 12 North Total Win Futures – By ASA

pac-12-northCalifornia (Last Yr 8-5) – UNDER 4 Wins Head man Sonny Dykes finally pushed Cal “over the hump” last season as the Bears went 8-5 (just 4-5 in conference play) and got back to a bowl for the first time since 2011. That was with Jared Goff, the #1 pick in the NFL draft under center.  Things will be different this year as Goff moves on and 77% of their offensive yards overall from last year are now gone.  Let’s face it, Cal had a chance to be very good last year with a great QB and very good skill position players but had a number of close wins (margins of 1, 2, 6, & 6 points) so the Bears weren’t that far from being a .500 type team. [KEEP READING]

ASA’s College Football Opening Weekend Notes

LSU vs WisconsinFIRST PREVIEW – LSU vs Wisconsin on Saturday, September 3rd – SEC vs BIG TEN

LSU -10 vs WISCONSIN (@ Lambeau Field) – First college game in Lambeau in over 30 years…New LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda was the Badgers DC last season…[KEEP READING]


Green Bay Packers 2015 records (10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS)

OFF YPG: 334.6 (24th) – DEF YPG: 346.7 (14th)

PTS Scored: 23PPG (15th) – PTS Allowed: 20.2PPG (12th)

Eddie Lacy

Eddie Lacy

The Packers have made the playoffs in 6 consecutive years and 7 of the last 8.  We fully expect them to make the post-season again this year and they are a nice Super Bowl Longshot at 11-1 to win it all.  Green Bay’s strength of schedule this season ranks as the easiest in the entire NFL.  Their opponents this year had a combined record of 117-139 a year ago.  They play only 5 games vs teams that made the playoffs last season with 11 of their 16 games vs teams that were at or below .500 last year.  After winning the NFC North for 4 straight seasons, the Pack finished 2nd to Minnesota last year but pushed into the playoffs as a wildcard.  We fully expect them to move ahead of the Vikings this year and win the division. [KEEP READING HERE…]

April AL Pitching Overachievers

By Joe Nelson of Nelly Sports

SMat Latostarting pitching is the biggest component of MLB handicapping and as the first month of the season winds down there are some surprising pitchers off to great starts. Here are a few American League starters with great results through the first few weeks that may be worth fading as their valuation grows.

Mat Latos – Chicago White Sox: Latos looked like one of the NL’s better young pitchers a few years ago with the Padres before having a few moderately successful seasons in Cincinnati. After bouncing around last season with few positive outings Latos was signed for a very cheap one-year deal by the White Sox last winter. [KEEP READING…]

An Efficient way to pick the NBA Champion – By ASA

SpursEfficiency ratings and rankings have become the standard measurement of teams and players and if you are not familiar with those numbers, and you’re a sports bettor, you might want to do a little research and get to know what they mean.  Very simply put Offensive Efficiency (OEFF = points scored per 100 possessions) and Defensive Efficiency (DEFF = points allowed per 100 possessions) are great ways to evaluate teams and players and how good they truly are.  The league average for OEFF this season was 106 while the defensive number was 106.8. [KEEP READING…]

ASA’s MLB Future Wagers and A.L. Pennant Winner

Completely different atmosphere in the clubhouse this year, direction starts at the top and they got rid of upper management that was killing them, it’s only spring training but their 14-5 start is already showing there is a different “feel” with this year’s team, this is a very low win total and the Phillies won 63 games with a much more “toxic” clubhouse last year…that says a lot right there…[KEEP READING HERE]

What you need to know about Daily Fantasy Sports Investing – By ASA

If you are just getting into daily fantasy football “betting” then this article will explain the different styles of daily contest you can play.  Daily fantasy contests are set up with a salary cap where you pick players at different positions and earn points based on their performance.  The better the players the higher their salary is which provides us with the strategy aspect of Daily Fantasy.  Your goal is to pick the very best team possible while staying below the set salary cap.   There are several different types of Daily Fantasy contests which we will talk about next. [KEEP READING…]


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